Prospect Rankings

Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.

How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.

Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.

#	Player	Pos	League	Age	Org	Draft	P/GP	NHLe	P(NHL)	ETA	Upside band	Score
90	Jonas Kemps	D	USHL	18.6	FLA*	26′ #98	0.16	3.1	42%	4.2y @22.8	01644	16.7
203	Vladislav Lukashevich	D	NCAAPRO	23.2	FLA*	21′ #120	0.64	21.4	33%	1.2y @24.4	0036	11.2
231	Matvei Shuravin	D	KHLPRO	20.4	FLA*	24′ #97	0.05	3	40%	2.4y @22.8	0727	10.7
251	Ludvig Jansson	D	AHLPRO	22.6	FLA*	22′ #125	0.35	12.8	30%	2.3y @24.9	0027	10.2
323	Marek Alscher	D	AHLPRO	22.4	FLA*	22′ #93	0.21	7.6	28%	2.1y @24.5	0026	8.6
342	Albert Wikman	D	SHLPRO	21.4	FLA*	23′ #127	0.11	5.3	25%	1.9y @23.3	0022	8.1
454	Braden Hache	D	AHLPRO	23.2	FLA*	21′ #210	0.15	5.5	17%	2.6y @25.8	0024	5.2

Who each prospect looks like

90. Jonas Kemps42% NHL · 4.2y

Gage Ausmus 13′#151	never stuck	0 GP
Connor Clifton 13′#133	24 pk	434 GP
Brian Cooper 12′#127	never stuck	0 GP
Will Butcher 13′#123	45 pk	275 GP
Matt Grzelcyk 12′#85	44 pk	596 GP

203. Vladislav Lukashevich33% NHL · 1.2y

Jacob Moverare 16′#112	13 pk	109 GP
Casey Fitzgerald 16′#86	never stuck	63 GP
Veeti Vainio 15′#141	never stuck	0 GP
Mikael Wikstrand 12′#196	never stuck	0 GP
Vojtech Budik 16′#130	never stuck	0 GP

231. Matvei Shuravin40% NHL · 2.4y

Maxime Lajoie 16′#133	never stuck	77 GP
Adam Pelech 12′#65	29 pk	642 GP
Tyler Ganly 13′#156	never stuck	0 GP
Colton White 15′#97	14 pk	107 GP
Caleb Jones 15′#117	24 pk	255 GP

251. Ludvig Jansson30% NHL · 2.3y

Luc Snuggerud 14′#141	never stuck	0 GP
Linus Hogberg 16′#139	never stuck	5 GP
Tarmo Reunanen 16′#98	never stuck	4 GP
Connor Hobbs 15′#143	never stuck	0 GP
William Lagesson 14′#91	11 pk	107 GP

323. Marek Alscher28% NHL · 2.1y

Jake Walman 14′#82	52 pk	320 GP
Mark Friedman 14′#86	never stuck	93 GP
Dmitri Samorukov 17′#84	never stuck	3 GP
Jakub Galvas 17′#150	never stuck	6 GP
Connor Hobbs 15′#143	never stuck	0 GP

342. Albert Wikman25% NHL · 1.9y

Dylan Labbe 13′#107	never stuck	0 GP
Blake Siebenaler 14′#77	never stuck	0 GP
Antti Palojarvi 17′#186	never stuck	0 GP
Jonas Siegenthaler 15′#57	22 pk	449 GP
Anton Cederholm 13′#145	never stuck	0 GP

454. Braden Hache17% NHL · 2.6y

Michael Brodzinski 13′#141	never stuck	0 GP
Aleksi Makela 13′#182	never stuck	0 GP
Colby Williams 15′#173	never stuck	0 GP
Connor Clifton 13′#133	24 pk	434 GP
Tyler Lewington 13′#204	never stuck	12 GP