Prospect Rankings
Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.
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How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.
Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.
| # | Player | Pos | League | Age | Org | Draft | P/GP | NHLe | P(NHL) | ETA | Upside band | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 778 | Dalyn Wakely | F | NCAAPRO | 22.5 | EDM* | 24′ #192 | 0.54 | 18.3 | 20% | 1.2y @23.7 | 0036 | 12.5 |
| 1057 | Asher Barnett | D | NCAA | 19.3 | EDM* | 25′ #131 | 0.45 | 15.1 | 23% | 3.5y @22.8 | 0029 | 8.8 |
| 1426 | Bauer Berry | D | NCAA | 20.8 | EDM* | 24′ #218 | 0.38 | 12.7 | 12% | 3.1y @23.9 | 0026 | 5.3 |
| 1572 | Aidan Park | F | NCAA | 20.6 | EDM* | 25′ #223 | 0.4 | 13.4 | 12% | 3.3y @23.9 | 0020 | 4.3 |
Who each prospect looks like
778. Dalyn Wakely20% NHL · 1.2y
| Joel Vermin 13′#186 | never stuck | 24 GP |
| Pavel Koltygin 17′#176 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Axel Jonsson-Fjallby 16′#147 | never stuck | 99 GP |
| Ryan McGregor 17′#172 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Cameron Hughes 15′#165 | never stuck | 5 GP |
1057. Asher Barnett23% NHL · 3.5y
| Connor Carrick 12′#137 | 29 pk | 242 GP |
| Matt Benning 12′#175 | 26 pk | 465 GP |
| Jeff Taylor 14′#203 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Zachary Leslie 13′#178 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Brett Kulak 12′#105 | 25 pk | 663 GP |
1426. Bauer Berry12% NHL · 3.1y
| Gianluca Curcuruto 12′#182 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Cole Candella 16′#140 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Olivier Leblanc 14′#197 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Blake Heinrich 13′#144 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Matthew Hellickson 17′#214 | never stuck | 0 GP |
1572. Aidan Park12% NHL · 3.3y
| Anton Zlobin 12′#173 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Christopher Paquette 16′#148 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Maksim Sushko 17′#107 | never stuck | 2 GP |
| Miguel Fidler 14′#143 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Cole Ully 13′#131 | never stuck | 0 GP |