Prospect Rankings

Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.

How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.

Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.

#	Player	Pos	League	Age	Org	Draft	P/GP	NHLe	P(NHL)	ETA	Upside band	Score
148	Andrew Robinson	D	OHL	18.6	EDM*	26′ #133	0.38	9.4	35%	4.3y @22.9	0844	13.1
222	Beau Akey	D	AHLPRO	21.5	EDM*	23′ #56	0.24	8.6	40%	1.3y @22.8	0429	10.8
290	Nikita Yevseyev	D	KHLPRO	22.3	EDM*	22′ #190	0.26	16.6	30%	2.6y @24.9	0026	9.1
312	Asher Barnett	D	NCAA	19.3	EDM*	25′ #131	0.45	15.1	23%	3.5y @22.8	0029	8.8
328	Albin Sundin	D	SHLPRO	22	EDM*	24′ #183	0.18	8.5	28%	3.5y @25.5	0026	8.5
452	Bauer Berry	D	NCAA	20.8	EDM*	24′ #218	0.38	12.7	12%	3.1y @23.9	0026	5.3
557	Maximus Wanner	D	AHLPRO	23.4	EDM*	21′ #212	0.1	3.7	12%	2.7y @26.1	0015	3.1

Who each prospect looks like

148. Andrew Robinson35% NHL · 4.3y

Connor Clifton 13′#133	24 pk	434 GP
Brian Cooper 12′#127	never stuck	0 GP
Will Butcher 13′#123	45 pk	275 GP
Michael Brodzinski 13′#141	never stuck	0 GP
Gage Ausmus 13′#151	never stuck	0 GP

222. Beau Akey40% NHL · 1.3y

Roland McKeown 14′#50	never stuck	16 GP
Guillaume Brisebois 15′#66	never stuck	30 GP
Matthew Spencer 15′#44	never stuck	0 GP
Colton White 15′#97	14 pk	107 GP
Josh Jacobs 14′#41	never stuck	3 GP

290. Nikita Yevseyev30% NHL · 2.6y

Markus Nutivaara 15′#189	31 pk	275 GP
MacKenzie Weegar 13′#206	55 pk	629 GP
Lucas Carlsson 16′#110	never stuck	73 GP
Declan Chisholm 18′#150	23 pk	125 GP
Luc Snuggerud 14′#141	never stuck	0 GP

312. Asher Barnett23% NHL · 3.5y

Connor Carrick 12′#137	29 pk	242 GP
Matt Benning 12′#175	26 pk	465 GP
Jeff Taylor 14′#203	never stuck	0 GP
Zachary Leslie 13′#178	never stuck	0 GP
Brett Kulak 12′#105	25 pk	663 GP

328. Albin Sundin28% NHL · 3.5y

Anton Cederholm 13′#145	never stuck	0 GP
Dawson Barteaux 18′#168	never stuck	0 GP
Tim Berni 18′#159	never stuck	59 GP
Jakub Galvas 17′#150	never stuck	6 GP
MacKenzie Weegar 13′#206	55 pk	629 GP

452. Bauer Berry12% NHL · 3.1y

Gianluca Curcuruto 12′#182	never stuck	0 GP
Cole Candella 16′#140	never stuck	0 GP
Olivier Leblanc 14′#197	never stuck	0 GP
Blake Heinrich 13′#144	never stuck	0 GP
Matthew Hellickson 17′#214	never stuck	0 GP

557. Maximus Wanner12% NHL · 2.7y

Aleksi Makela 13′#182	never stuck	0 GP
Michael Brodzinski 13′#141	never stuck	0 GP
Petter Hansson 15′#202	never stuck	0 GP
Tyler Lewington 13′#204	never stuck	12 GP
Connor Clifton 13′#133	24 pk	434 GP