Prospect Rankings

Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.

How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.

Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.

#	Player	Pos	League	Age	Org	Draft	P/GP	NHLe	P(NHL)	ETA	Upside band	Score
20	Egor Shilov★	F	LHJMQ	18.3	COL*	26′ #43	1.3	29.9	78%	3.1y @21.4	244687	44.5
71	Beckett Hamilton	F	WHL	18.4	COL*	26′ #74	0.93	22.8	60%	3.5y @21.9	03183	31.8
284	Maxmilian Curran	F	WHL	20	COL*	24′ #161	1.32	32.5	45%	3.3y @23.3	01059	23.2
420	Theodore Lechner	D	USHL	18	COL*	26′ #152	0.1	1.9	45%	4.4y @22.4	01650	19.8
485	Jake Fisher	F	NCAAPRO	21.4	COL*	24′ #121	0.44	14.9	35%	1.4y @22.8	01158	18.3
540	Francesco Dell'Elce	D	NCAAPRO	21.2	COL*	25′ #77	0.58	19.6	45%	1.5y @22.7	01343	16.8
651	Zachary L'Heureux	F	AHLPRO	23.3	COL	21′ #27	0.93	33.7	30%	1.1y @24.4	0039	14.4
653	Mikhail Gulyayev	D	KHLPRO	21.3	COL	23′ #31	0.06	3.5	50%	1.5y @22.8	01331	14.4
657	Ondrej Ruml	D	OHL	18.4	COL*	26′ #214	0.42	10.4	35%	4.5y @22.9	0844	14.3
708	Nikita Prishchepov	F	AHLPRO	22.5	COL*	24′ #217	0.55	19.7	23%	0.7y @23.2	0048	13.3
958	Fabian Lysell	F	AHLPRO	23.6	COL	21′ #21	0.74	26.6	25%	1y @24.6	0036	10.1
1008	Christian Humphreys	F	OHL	20.5	COL*	24′ #215	1.35	33.2	20%	3.3y @23.8	0036	9.3
1125	Nikita Ishimnikov	D	KHLPRO	21.3	COL*	23′ #155	0.08	5.1	25%	2.7y @24	0024	7.9
1196	Shawn Carrier	F	LHJMQ	19.4	COL*	26′ #195	1.07	24.5	15%	3.6y @23	0041	7.2
1319	Sean Behrens	D	AHLPRO	23.4	COL	21′ #61	0.42	15.1	17%	1.1y @24.5	0024	6.3
1347	Linus Funck	D	OHL	19.3	COL*	25′ #118	0.34	8.3	17%	3.5y @22.8	0026	6
1385	Oskar Olausson	F	AHLPRO	23.8	COL	21′ #28	0.46	16.6	12%	0.8y @24.6	0026	5.6
1402	Cole Tuminaro	D	USHL	19.6	COL*	26′ #140	0.3	5.8	17%	3.7y @23.3	0025	5.5
1606	Nolan Roed	F	NCAA	20.8	COL*	25′ #214	0.5	16.8	7%	3.1y @23.9	0020	4.2
1857	Alex Gagne	D	AHLPRO	24	COL	21′ #192	0.22	8.1	7%	2.5y @26.5	0010	2.5
2046	Maros Jedlicka	F	AHLPRO	23.8	COL*	23′ #219	0.26	9.2	3%	now @23.9	000	0.5

Who each prospect looks like

20. Egor Shilov78% NHL · 3.1y

Daniel Sprong 15′#46	57 pk	374 GP
J.T. Compher 13′#35	52 pk	658 GP
Liam Foudy 18′#18	19 pk	105 GP
Curtis Lazar 13′#17	29 pk	617 GP
Joel Farabee 18′#14	57 pk	497 GP

71. Beckett Hamilton60% NHL · 3.5y

Jarrod Maidens 12′#82	never stuck	0 GP
J.T. Compher 13′#35	52 pk	658 GP
Daniel Sprong 15′#46	57 pk	374 GP
Jake Guentzel 13′#77	91 pk	681 GP
Eeli Tolvanen 17′#30	46 pk	423 GP

284. Maxmilian Curran45% NHL · 3.3y

Anders Bjork 14′#146	33 pk	225 GP
Myles Bell 13′#160	never stuck	0 GP
Cedric Paquette 12′#101	24 pk	448 GP
Coda Gordon 12′#165	never stuck	0 GP
Michael Eyssimont 16′#142	33 pk	269 GP

420. Theodore Lechner45% NHL · 4.4y

Joakim Ryan 12′#198	16 pk	145 GP
Tanner Faith 14′#139	never stuck	0 GP
Michael Downing 13′#97	never stuck	0 GP
Filip Westerlund 17′#44	never stuck	0 GP
Gage Ausmus 13′#151	never stuck	0 GP

485. Jake Fisher35% NHL · 1.4y

Allan McShane 18′#97	never stuck	0 GP
Cole Ully 13′#131	never stuck	0 GP
Ben Jones 17′#189	never stuck	56 GP
Marián Studenic 17′#143	never stuck	46 GP
Paul Cotter 18′#115	27 pk	296 GP

540. Francesco Dell'Elce45% NHL · 1.5y

Joey Keane 18′#88	never stuck	2 GP
Kale Clague 16′#51	never stuck	94 GP
Vince Dunn 15′#56	65 pk	623 GP
Filip Hronek 16′#53	52 pk	533 GP
Trevor Carrick 12′#115	never stuck	7 GP

651. Zachary L'Heureux30% NHL · 1.1y

Jonatan Berggren 18′#33	36 pk	205 GP
Robin Kovacs 15′#62	never stuck	0 GP
Boris Katchouk 16′#44	23 pk	179 GP
Morgan Klimchuk 13′#28	never stuck	1 GP
Taylor Raddysh 16′#58	39 pk	373 GP

653. Mikhail Gulyayev50% NHL · 1.5y

Patrick Sieloff 12′#42	never stuck	2 GP
Matthew Spencer 15′#44	never stuck	0 GP
Gustav Lindstrom 17′#38	18 pk	174 GP
Robert Hagg 13′#41	22 pk	345 GP
Jonas Siegenthaler 15′#57	22 pk	449 GP

657. Ondrej Ruml35% NHL · 4.5y

Connor Clifton 13′#133	24 pk	434 GP
Michael Brodzinski 13′#141	never stuck	0 GP
Gage Ausmus 13′#151	never stuck	0 GP
Will Butcher 13′#123	45 pk	275 GP
Brian Cooper 12′#127	never stuck	0 GP

708. Nikita Prishchepov23% NHL · 0.7y

Ryan McGregor 17′#172	never stuck	0 GP
Axel Jonsson-Fjallby 16′#147	never stuck	99 GP
Joel Vermin 13′#186	never stuck	24 GP
David Kase 15′#128	never stuck	7 GP
Andreas Johnsson 13′#202	48 pk	259 GP

958. Fabian Lysell25% NHL · 1y

Morgan Klimchuk 13′#28	never stuck	1 GP
Dominik Bokk 18′#25	never stuck	0 GP
Teddy Blueger 12′#52	42 pk	453 GP
Jayce Hawryluk 14′#32	never stuck	98 GP
Ruslan Iskhakov 18′#43	never stuck	1 GP

1008. Christian Humphreys20% NHL · 3.3y

Tyler Soy 16′#205	never stuck	0 GP
Giorgio Estephan 15′#152	never stuck	0 GP
Henri Ikonen 13′#154	never stuck	0 GP
Nikita Korostelev 15′#185	never stuck	0 GP
Peter Quenneville 13′#195	never stuck	0 GP