Prospect Rankings
Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.
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How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.
Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.
| # | Player | Pos | League | Age | Org | Draft | P/GP | NHLe | P(NHL) | ETA | Upside band | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 485 | Jake Fisher | F | NCAAPRO | 21.4 | COL* | 24′ #121 | 0.44 | 14.9 | 35% | 1.4y @22.8 | 01158 | 18.3 |
| 540 | Francesco Dell'Elce | D | NCAAPRO | 21.2 | COL* | 25′ #77 | 0.58 | 19.6 | 45% | 1.5y @22.7 | 01343 | 16.8 |
| 651 | Zachary L'Heureux | F | AHLPRO | 23.3 | COL | 21′ #27 | 0.93 | 33.7 | 30% | 1.1y @24.4 | 0039 | 14.4 |
| 653 | Mikhail Gulyayev | D | KHLPRO | 21.3 | COL | 23′ #31 | 0.06 | 3.5 | 50% | 1.5y @22.8 | 01331 | 14.4 |
| 708 | Nikita Prishchepov | F | AHLPRO | 22.5 | COL* | 24′ #217 | 0.55 | 19.7 | 23% | 0.7y @23.2 | 0048 | 13.3 |
| 958 | Fabian Lysell | F | AHLPRO | 23.6 | COL | 21′ #21 | 0.74 | 26.6 | 25% | 1y @24.6 | 0036 | 10.1 |
| 1125 | Nikita Ishimnikov | D | KHLPRO | 21.3 | COL* | 23′ #155 | 0.08 | 5.1 | 25% | 2.7y @24 | 0024 | 7.9 |
| 1319 | Sean Behrens | D | AHLPRO | 23.4 | COL | 21′ #61 | 0.42 | 15.1 | 17% | 1.1y @24.5 | 0024 | 6.3 |
| 1385 | Oskar Olausson | F | AHLPRO | 23.8 | COL | 21′ #28 | 0.46 | 16.6 | 12% | 0.8y @24.6 | 0026 | 5.6 |
| 2046 | Maros Jedlicka | F | AHLPRO | 23.8 | COL* | 23′ #219 | 0.26 | 9.2 | 3% | now @23.9 | 000 | 0.5 |
Who each prospect looks like
485. Jake Fisher35% NHL · 1.4y
| Allan McShane 18′#97 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Cole Ully 13′#131 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Ben Jones 17′#189 | never stuck | 56 GP |
| Marián Studenic 17′#143 | never stuck | 46 GP |
| Paul Cotter 18′#115 | 27 pk | 296 GP |
540. Francesco Dell'Elce45% NHL · 1.5y
| Joey Keane 18′#88 | never stuck | 2 GP |
| Kale Clague 16′#51 | never stuck | 94 GP |
| Vince Dunn 15′#56 | 65 pk | 623 GP |
| Filip Hronek 16′#53 | 52 pk | 533 GP |
| Trevor Carrick 12′#115 | never stuck | 7 GP |
651. Zachary L'Heureux30% NHL · 1.1y
| Jonatan Berggren 18′#33 | 36 pk | 205 GP |
| Robin Kovacs 15′#62 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Boris Katchouk 16′#44 | 23 pk | 179 GP |
| Morgan Klimchuk 13′#28 | never stuck | 1 GP |
| Taylor Raddysh 16′#58 | 39 pk | 373 GP |
653. Mikhail Gulyayev50% NHL · 1.5y
| Patrick Sieloff 12′#42 | never stuck | 2 GP |
| Matthew Spencer 15′#44 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Gustav Lindstrom 17′#38 | 18 pk | 174 GP |
| Robert Hagg 13′#41 | 22 pk | 345 GP |
| Jonas Siegenthaler 15′#57 | 22 pk | 449 GP |
708. Nikita Prishchepov23% NHL · 0.7y
| Ryan McGregor 17′#172 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Axel Jonsson-Fjallby 16′#147 | never stuck | 99 GP |
| Joel Vermin 13′#186 | never stuck | 24 GP |
| David Kase 15′#128 | never stuck | 7 GP |
| Andreas Johnsson 13′#202 | 48 pk | 259 GP |
958. Fabian Lysell25% NHL · 1y
| Morgan Klimchuk 13′#28 | never stuck | 1 GP |
| Dominik Bokk 18′#25 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Teddy Blueger 12′#52 | 42 pk | 453 GP |
| Jayce Hawryluk 14′#32 | never stuck | 98 GP |
| Ruslan Iskhakov 18′#43 | never stuck | 1 GP |
1125. Nikita Ishimnikov25% NHL · 2.7y
| Anton Lindholm 14′#144 | never stuck | 66 GP |
| Simon Bourque 15′#177 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Tyler Ganly 13′#156 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Tim Berni 18′#159 | never stuck | 59 GP |
| Caleb Jones 15′#117 | 24 pk | 255 GP |
1319. Sean Behrens17% NHL · 1.1y
| Ty Emberson 18′#73 | 27 pk | 178 GP |
| Cam Dineen 16′#68 | never stuck | 38 GP |
| Casey Fitzgerald 16′#86 | never stuck | 63 GP |
| Kasper Kotkansalo 17′#71 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Sean Durzi 18′#52 | 44 pk | 302 GP |
1385. Oskar Olausson12% NHL · 0.8y
| Marcus Davidsson 17′#37 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Cam Morrison 16′#40 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Mitchell Heard 12′#41 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Ryan Gropp 15′#41 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Mitchell Moroz 12′#32 | never stuck | 0 GP |
2046. Maros Jedlicka3% NHL · 0.1y
| Jeremy Grégoire 13′#176 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Gregory Chase 13′#188 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Mitchell Hoelscher 18′#172 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Kevin Elgestal 14′#194 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Reid Duke 14′#169 | never stuck | 0 GP |