Prospect Rankings

Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.

How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.

Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.

#	Player	Pos	League	Age	Org	Draft	P/GP	NHLe	P(NHL)	ETA	Upside band	Score
19	Egor Shilov★	F	LHJMQ	18.3	COL*	26′ #43	1.3	29.9	78%	3.1y @21.4	244687	44.5
62	Beckett Hamilton	F	WHL	18.4	COL*	26′ #74	0.93	22.8	60%	3.5y @21.9	03183	31.8
269	Maxmilian Curran	F	WHL	20	COL*	24′ #161	1.32	32.5	45%	3.3y @23.3	01059	23.2
412	Jake Fisher	F	NCAAPRO	21.4	COL*	24′ #121	0.44	14.9	35%	1.4y @22.8	01158	18.3
528	Zachary L'Heureux	F	AHLPRO	23.3	COL	21′ #27	0.93	33.7	30%	1.1y @24.4	0039	14.4
564	Nikita Prishchepov	F	AHLPRO	22.5	COL*	24′ #217	0.55	19.7	23%	0.7y @23.2	0048	13.3
704	Fabian Lysell	F	AHLPRO	23.6	COL	21′ #21	0.74	26.6	25%	1y @24.6	0036	10.1
726	Christian Humphreys	F	OHL	20.5	COL*	24′ #215	1.35	33.2	20%	3.3y @23.8	0036	9.3
831	Shawn Carrier	F	LHJMQ	19.4	COL*	26′ #195	1.07	24.5	15%	3.6y @23	0041	7.2
946	Oskar Olausson	F	AHLPRO	23.8	COL	21′ #28	0.46	16.6	12%	0.8y @24.6	0026	5.6
1102	Nolan Roed	F	NCAA	20.8	COL*	25′ #214	0.5	16.8	7%	3.1y @23.9	0020	4.2
1411	Maros Jedlicka	F	AHLPRO	23.8	COL*	23′ #219	0.26	9.2	3%	now @23.9	000	0.5

Who each prospect looks like

19. Egor Shilov78% NHL · 3.1y

Daniel Sprong 15′#46	57 pk	374 GP
J.T. Compher 13′#35	52 pk	658 GP
Liam Foudy 18′#18	19 pk	105 GP
Curtis Lazar 13′#17	29 pk	617 GP
Joel Farabee 18′#14	57 pk	497 GP

62. Beckett Hamilton60% NHL · 3.5y

Jarrod Maidens 12′#82	never stuck	0 GP
J.T. Compher 13′#35	52 pk	658 GP
Daniel Sprong 15′#46	57 pk	374 GP
Jake Guentzel 13′#77	91 pk	681 GP
Eeli Tolvanen 17′#30	46 pk	423 GP

269. Maxmilian Curran45% NHL · 3.3y

Anders Bjork 14′#146	33 pk	225 GP
Myles Bell 13′#160	never stuck	0 GP
Cedric Paquette 12′#101	24 pk	448 GP
Coda Gordon 12′#165	never stuck	0 GP
Michael Eyssimont 16′#142	33 pk	269 GP

412. Jake Fisher35% NHL · 1.4y

Allan McShane 18′#97	never stuck	0 GP
Cole Ully 13′#131	never stuck	0 GP
Ben Jones 17′#189	never stuck	56 GP
Marián Studenic 17′#143	never stuck	46 GP
Paul Cotter 18′#115	27 pk	296 GP

528. Zachary L'Heureux30% NHL · 1.1y

Jonatan Berggren 18′#33	36 pk	205 GP
Robin Kovacs 15′#62	never stuck	0 GP
Boris Katchouk 16′#44	23 pk	179 GP
Morgan Klimchuk 13′#28	never stuck	1 GP
Taylor Raddysh 16′#58	39 pk	373 GP

564. Nikita Prishchepov23% NHL · 0.7y

Ryan McGregor 17′#172	never stuck	0 GP
Axel Jonsson-Fjallby 16′#147	never stuck	99 GP
Joel Vermin 13′#186	never stuck	24 GP
David Kase 15′#128	never stuck	7 GP
Andreas Johnsson 13′#202	48 pk	259 GP

704. Fabian Lysell25% NHL · 1y

Morgan Klimchuk 13′#28	never stuck	1 GP
Dominik Bokk 18′#25	never stuck	0 GP
Teddy Blueger 12′#52	42 pk	453 GP
Jayce Hawryluk 14′#32	never stuck	98 GP
Ruslan Iskhakov 18′#43	never stuck	1 GP

726. Christian Humphreys20% NHL · 3.3y

Tyler Soy 16′#205	never stuck	0 GP
Giorgio Estephan 15′#152	never stuck	0 GP
Henri Ikonen 13′#154	never stuck	0 GP
Nikita Korostelev 15′#185	never stuck	0 GP
Peter Quenneville 13′#195	never stuck	0 GP

831. Shawn Carrier15% NHL · 3.6y

Jacob McGrew 17′#159	never stuck	0 GP
Edgars Kulda 14′#193	never stuck	0 GP
Ivan Chekhovich 17′#212	never stuck	4 GP
Liam Kirk 18′#189	never stuck	0 GP
Vinnie Hinostroza 12′#169	44 pk	477 GP

946. Oskar Olausson12% NHL · 0.8y

Marcus Davidsson 17′#37	never stuck	0 GP
Cam Morrison 16′#40	never stuck	0 GP
Mitchell Heard 12′#41	never stuck	0 GP
Ryan Gropp 15′#41	never stuck	0 GP
Mitchell Moroz 12′#32	never stuck	0 GP

1102. Nolan Roed7% NHL · 3.1y

Alan Quine 13′#166	24 pk	106 GP
Blaine Byron 13′#179	never stuck	0 GP
Daniel Walcott 14′#140	never stuck	1 GP
Aarne Talvitie 17′#160	never stuck	0 GP
Cole Ully 13′#131	never stuck	0 GP

1411. Maros Jedlicka3% NHL · 0.1y

Jeremy Grégoire 13′#176	never stuck	0 GP
Gregory Chase 13′#188	never stuck	0 GP
Mitchell Hoelscher 18′#172	never stuck	0 GP
Kevin Elgestal 14′#194	never stuck	0 GP
Reid Duke 14′#169	never stuck	0 GP