Prospect Rankings

Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.

How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.

Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.

#	Player	Pos	League	Age	Org	Draft	P/GP	NHLe	P(NHL)	ETA	Upside band	Score
64	Theodore Lechner	D	USHL	18	COL*	26′ #152	0.1	1.9	45%	4.4y @22.4	01650	19.8
89	Francesco Dell'Elce	D	NCAAPRO	21.2	COL*	25′ #77	0.58	19.6	45%	1.5y @22.7	01343	16.8
124	Mikhail Gulyayev	D	KHLPRO	21.3	COL	23′ #31	0.06	3.5	50%	1.5y @22.8	01331	14.4
126	Ondrej Ruml	D	OHL	18.4	COL*	26′ #214	0.42	10.4	35%	4.5y @22.9	0844	14.3
346	Nikita Ishimnikov	D	KHLPRO	21.3	COL*	23′ #155	0.08	5.1	25%	2.7y @24	0024	7.9
410	Sean Behrens	D	AHLPRO	23.4	COL	21′ #61	0.42	15.1	17%	1.1y @24.5	0024	6.3
421	Linus Funck	D	OHL	19.3	COL*	25′ #118	0.34	8.3	17%	3.5y @22.8	0026	6
446	Cole Tuminaro	D	USHL	19.6	COL*	26′ #140	0.3	5.8	17%	3.7y @23.3	0025	5.5

Who each prospect looks like

64. Theodore Lechner45% NHL · 4.4y

Joakim Ryan 12′#198	16 pk	145 GP
Tanner Faith 14′#139	never stuck	0 GP
Michael Downing 13′#97	never stuck	0 GP
Filip Westerlund 17′#44	never stuck	0 GP
Gage Ausmus 13′#151	never stuck	0 GP

89. Francesco Dell'Elce45% NHL · 1.5y

Joey Keane 18′#88	never stuck	2 GP
Kale Clague 16′#51	never stuck	94 GP
Vince Dunn 15′#56	65 pk	623 GP
Filip Hronek 16′#53	52 pk	533 GP
Trevor Carrick 12′#115	never stuck	7 GP

124. Mikhail Gulyayev50% NHL · 1.5y

Patrick Sieloff 12′#42	never stuck	2 GP
Matthew Spencer 15′#44	never stuck	0 GP
Gustav Lindstrom 17′#38	18 pk	174 GP
Robert Hagg 13′#41	22 pk	345 GP
Jonas Siegenthaler 15′#57	22 pk	449 GP

126. Ondrej Ruml35% NHL · 4.5y

Connor Clifton 13′#133	24 pk	434 GP
Michael Brodzinski 13′#141	never stuck	0 GP
Gage Ausmus 13′#151	never stuck	0 GP
Will Butcher 13′#123	45 pk	275 GP
Brian Cooper 12′#127	never stuck	0 GP

346. Nikita Ishimnikov25% NHL · 2.7y

Anton Lindholm 14′#144	never stuck	66 GP
Simon Bourque 15′#177	never stuck	0 GP
Tyler Ganly 13′#156	never stuck	0 GP
Tim Berni 18′#159	never stuck	59 GP
Caleb Jones 15′#117	24 pk	255 GP

410. Sean Behrens17% NHL · 1.1y

Ty Emberson 18′#73	27 pk	178 GP
Cam Dineen 16′#68	never stuck	38 GP
Casey Fitzgerald 16′#86	never stuck	63 GP
Kasper Kotkansalo 17′#71	never stuck	0 GP
Sean Durzi 18′#52	44 pk	302 GP

421. Linus Funck17% NHL · 3.5y

Teemu Kivihalme 13′#140	never stuck	0 GP
Jeff Taylor 14′#203	never stuck	0 GP
Jaccob Slavin 12′#120	44 pk	784 GP
Veeti Vainio 15′#141	never stuck	0 GP
Nico Gross 18′#101	never stuck	0 GP

446. Cole Tuminaro17% NHL · 3.7y

Blake Hillman 16′#173	never stuck	4 GP
Spencer Stastney 18′#131	25 pk	117 GP
Jake Massie 15′#156	never stuck	0 GP
Adam Smith 16′#198	never stuck	0 GP
Ryan Rehill 14′#131	never stuck	0 GP