Kodo HockeyProspect Rankings
Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.
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How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.
Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.
| # | Player | Pos | League | Age | Org | Draft | P/GP | NHLe | P(NHL) | ETA | Upside band | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Ryan Roobroeck★ | F | OHL | 18.9 | CHI* | 26′ #35 | 1.18 | 29.1 | 80% | 2.1y @21 | 244285 | 45 |
| 34 | Vaclav Nestrasil | F | NCAA | 19.4 | CHI | 25′ #25 | 0.91 | 30.7 | 65% | 2.6y @22 | 193571 | 35.8 |
| 46 | Anton Frondell | F | SHLPRO | 19.3 | CHI | 25′ #3 | 0.65 | 31.5 | 72% | 3.1y @22.4 | 193065 | 33.9 |
| 62 | Roman Kantserov | F | KHLPRO | 21.9 | CHI | 23′ #44 | 1.02 | 64.1 | 53% | 1.3y @23.2 | 03077 | 32.5 |
| 66 | Xavier Villeneuve | D | LHJMQ | 18.9 | CHI* | 26′ #34 | 1.03 | 23.6 | 68% | 2.2y @21.1 | 152964 | 32.1 |
| 97 | Nick Lardis | F | AHLPRO | 21.1 | CHI | 23′ #67 | 0.91 | 33 | 68% | 1.8y @22.9 | 183258 | 30 |
| 274 | Mason West | F | USHL | 19 | CHI | 25′ #29 | 0.66 | 12.9 | 50% | 3y @22 | 01568 | 23.7 |
| 282 | Marek Vanacker | F | OHL | 20.4 | CHI* | 24′ #27 | 1.37 | 33.6 | 47% | 2.4y @22.8 | 02049 | 23.2 |
| 323 | Jiri Felcman | F | NLPRO | 21.3 | CHI | 23′ #93 | 0.38 | 17.3 | 45% | 1.6y @22.9 | 01559 | 22.1 |
| 381 | Nathan Behm | F | WHL | 19.3 | CHI* | 25′ #66 | 1.28 | 31.6 | 42% | 3.5y @22.8 | 02349 | 20.6 |
| 392 | Julius Sumpf | F | NCAAPRO | 21.6 | CHI* | 25′ #98 | 0.58 | 19.6 | 45% | 1.4y @23 | 01558 | 20.3 |
| 425 | John Mustard | F | NCAA | 20 | CHI* | 24′ #67 | 0.81 | 27.1 | 38% | 3.6y @23.6 | 01559 | 19.6 |
| 437 | Sam Rinzel | D | AHLPRO | 22.2 | CHI | 22′ #25 | 0.61 | 22 | 45% | 1y @23.2 | 01645 | 19.2 |
| 490 | Kevin Korchinski | D | AHLPRO | 22.2 | CHI* | 22′ #7 | 0.49 | 17.7 | 45% | 0.6y @22.8 | 01642 | 18 |
| 543 | Sacha Boisvert | F | NCAA | 20.4 | CHI | 24′ #18 | 0.65 | 22 | 35% | 2.5y @22.9 | 0446 | 16.6 |
| 633 | Gavin Hayes | F | AHLPRO | 22.3 | CHI | 22′ #66 | 0.46 | 16.5 | 35% | 1.2y @23.5 | 0437 | 14.9 |
| 746 | Alexander Ivanov | D | VHLPRO | 18.2 | CHI* | 26′ #194 | 0.08 | 2 | 42% | 4.3y @22.5 | 01129 | 12.9 |
| 763 | Samuel Savoie | F | AHLPRO | 22.4 | CHI | 22′ #81 | 0.42 | 15.1 | 30% | 1y @23.4 | 0037 | 12.6 |
| 775 | Jack Pridham | F | OHL | 20.9 | CHI* | 24′ #92 | 1.38 | 34.1 | 25% | 2.5y @23.4 | 0035 | 12.5 |
| 1023 | Martin Misiak | F | AHLPRO | 21.9 | CHI* | 23′ #55 | 0.24 | 8.6 | 28% | 1.6y @23.5 | 0027 | 9.1 |
| 1117 | Parker Holmes | F | OHL | 19.5 | CHI* | 25′ #107 | 0.35 | 8.5 | 17% | 4.6y @24.1 | 0031 | 8.1 |
| 1208 | Alex Pharand | F | OHL | 21.6 | CHI* | 23′ #99 | 0.65 | 16.1 | 15% | 1.4y @23 | 0023 | 7.1 |
| 1327 | Anthony (AJ) Spellacy | F | OHL | 20.5 | CHI | 24′ #72 | 0.63 | 15.4 | 15% | 2.4y @22.9 | 0021 | 6.3 |
| 1331 | Nolan Allan | D | AHLPRO | 23.3 | CHI* | 21′ #32 | 0.28 | 10.1 | 12% | 0.8y @24.1 | 0026 | 6.2 |
| 1412 | Milton Oscarson | F | SHLPRO | 23.5 | CHI* | 23′ #167 | 0.37 | 17.7 | 12% | 3.3y @26.8 | 0027 | 5.4 |
| 1498 | Ashton Cumby | D | WHL | 21.1 | CHI* | 25′ #162 | 0.29 | 7.1 | 12% | 3.8y @24.9 | 0019 | 4.7 |
| 1510 | Ethan Del Mastro | D | AHLPRO | 23.6 | CHI* | 21′ #105 | 0.4 | 14.4 | 12% | 1.3y @24.9 | 0019 | 4.5 |
| 1658 | Victor Stjernborg | F | SHLPRO | 23.2 | CHI* | 21′ #108 | 0.29 | 13.8 | 12% | 4.2y @27.4 | 0020 | 3.7 |
| 1840 | Riku Tohila | F | MESTISPRO | 22.7 | CHI* | 22′ #199 | 0.29 | 7 | 5% | 1.2y @23.9 | 0012 | 2.6 |
Who each prospect looks like
18. Ryan Roobroeck80% NHL · 2.1y
| Jaret Anderson-Dolan 17′#41 | 27 pk | 134 GP |
| Hunter Shinkaruk 13′#24 | never stuck | 15 GP |
| Nikolay Goldobin 14′#27 | 35 pk | 125 GP |
| Jake Guentzel 13′#77 | 91 pk | 681 GP |
| Janne Kuokkanen 16′#43 | 41 pk | 119 GP |
34. Vaclav Nestrasil65% NHL · 2.6y
| Jared McCann 14′#24 | 73 pk | 720 GP |
| Christian Fischer 15′#32 | 34 pk | 523 GP |
| Sonny Milano 14′#16 | 42 pk | 344 GP |
| Jayce Hawryluk 14′#32 | never stuck | 98 GP |
| Janne Kuokkanen 16′#43 | 41 pk | 119 GP |
46. Anton Frondell72% NHL · 3.1y
| Jakub Vrana 14′#13 | 62 pk | 406 GP |
| Grigori Denisenko 18′#15 | never stuck | 33 GP |
| Michael Dal Colle 14′#5 | 20 pk | 112 GP |
| Jake DeBrusk 15′#14 | 64 pk | 628 GP |
| Joel Eriksson Ek 15′#20 | 68 pk | 614 GP |
62. Roman Kantserov53% NHL · 1.3y
| Kirill Kaprizov 15′#135 | 112 pk | 397 GP |
| Pavel Buchnevich 13′#75 | 87 pk | 674 GP |
| Ivan Morozov 18′#61 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Jonathan Dahlen 16′#42 | never stuck | 61 GP |
| Nikolai Kovalenko 18′#171 | never stuck | 57 GP |
66. Xavier Villeneuve68% NHL · 2.2y
| Henri Jokiharju 17′#29 | 30 pk | 448 GP |
| Jordan Schmaltz 12′#25 | never stuck | 42 GP |
| Olli Maatta 12′#22 | 55 pk | 804 GP |
| Erik Brannstrom 17′#15 | 36 pk | 294 GP |
| Jeremy Roy 15′#31 | never stuck | 0 GP |
97. Nick Lardis68% NHL · 1.8y
| Artturi Lehkonen 13′#55 | 65 pk | 660 GP |
| Carl Grundstrom 16′#57 | 27 pk | 339 GP |
| Anton Slepyshev 13′#88 | 20 pk | 102 GP |
| Nick Sorensen 13′#45 | never stuck | 5 GP |
| Jesper Boqvist 17′#36 | 34 pk | 387 GP |
274. Mason West50% NHL · 3y
| Fabian Zetterlund 17′#63 | 46 pk | 329 GP |
| Isac Lundeström 18′#23 | 30 pk | 405 GP |
| Connor Hurley 13′#38 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Alexander Volkov 17′#48 | never stuck | 46 GP |
| Joni Ikonen 17′#58 | never stuck | 0 GP |
282. Marek Vanacker47% NHL · 2.4y
| Kieffer Bellows 16′#19 | 35 pk | 114 GP |
| Adam Erne 13′#33 | 36 pk | 424 GP |
| Brendan Lemieux 14′#31 | 25 pk | 307 GP |
| John Quenneville 14′#30 | never stuck | 42 GP |
| Nicolas Aube-Kubel 14′#48 | 34 pk | 310 GP |
323. Jiri Felcman45% NHL · 1.6y
| Mikhail Vorobyev 15′#104 | never stuck | 35 GP |
| Paul Cotter 18′#115 | 27 pk | 296 GP |
| JC Lipon 13′#91 | never stuck | 9 GP |
| Philipp Kurashev 18′#120 | 59 pk | 360 GP |
| Michael Amadio 14′#90 | 35 pk | 522 GP |
381. Nathan Behm42% NHL · 3.5y
| Jack Studnicka 17′#53 | 14 pk | 126 GP |
| Janne Kuokkanen 16′#43 | 41 pk | 119 GP |
| Christian Fischer 15′#32 | 34 pk | 523 GP |
| Allan McShane 18′#97 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Kevin Roy 12′#97 | never stuck | 28 GP |
392. Julius Sumpf45% NHL · 1.4y
| Mikhail Vorobyev 15′#104 | never stuck | 35 GP |
| Michael Amadio 14′#90 | 35 pk | 522 GP |
| Paul Cotter 18′#115 | 27 pk | 296 GP |
| Brendan Leipsic 12′#89 | 33 pk | 187 GP |
| JC Lipon 13′#91 | never stuck | 9 GP |
425. John Mustard38% NHL · 3.6y
| Jordan Martinook 12′#58 | 37 pk | 797 GP |
| Jesse Gabrielle 15′#105 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Nick Baptiste 13′#69 | never stuck | 47 GP |
| Ross Colton 16′#118 | 41 pk | 404 GP |
| Yan Pavel Laplante 13′#62 | never stuck | 0 GP |