Prospect Rankings
Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.
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How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.
Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.
| # | Player | Pos | League | Age | Org | Draft | P/GP | NHLe | P(NHL) | ETA | Upside band | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | Anton Frondell | F | SHLPRO | 19.3 | CHI | 25′ #3 | 0.65 | 31.5 | 72% | 3.1y @22.4 | 193065 | 33.9 |
| 62 | Roman Kantserov | F | KHLPRO | 21.9 | CHI | 23′ #44 | 1.02 | 64.1 | 53% | 1.3y @23.2 | 03077 | 32.5 |
| 97 | Nick Lardis | F | AHLPRO | 21.1 | CHI | 23′ #67 | 0.91 | 33 | 68% | 1.8y @22.9 | 183258 | 30 |
| 323 | Jiri Felcman | F | NLPRO | 21.3 | CHI* | 23′ #93 | 0.38 | 17.3 | 45% | 1.6y @22.9 | 01559 | 22.1 |
| 392 | Julius Sumpf | F | NCAAPRO | 21.6 | CHI* | 25′ #98 | 0.58 | 19.6 | 45% | 1.4y @23 | 01558 | 20.3 |
| 437 | Sam Rinzel | D | AHLPRO | 22.2 | CHI | 22′ #25 | 0.61 | 22 | 45% | 1y @23.2 | 01645 | 19.2 |
| 490 | Kevin Korchinski | D | AHLPRO | 22.2 | CHI | 22′ #7 | 0.49 | 17.7 | 45% | 0.6y @22.8 | 01642 | 18 |
| 633 | Gavin Hayes | F | AHLPRO | 22.3 | CHI* | 22′ #66 | 0.46 | 16.5 | 35% | 1.2y @23.5 | 0437 | 14.9 |
| 746 | Alexander Ivanov | D | VHLPRO | 18.2 | CHI* | 26′ #194 | 0.08 | 2 | 42% | 4.3y @22.5 | 01129 | 12.9 |
| 763 | Samuel Savoie | F | AHLPRO | 22.4 | CHI* | 22′ #81 | 0.42 | 15.1 | 30% | 1y @23.4 | 0037 | 12.6 |
| 1023 | Martin Misiak | F | AHLPRO | 21.9 | CHI* | 23′ #55 | 0.24 | 8.6 | 28% | 1.6y @23.5 | 0027 | 9.1 |
| 1331 | Nolan Allan | D | AHLPRO | 23.3 | CHI* | 21′ #32 | 0.28 | 10.1 | 12% | 0.8y @24.1 | 0026 | 6.2 |
| 1412 | Milton Oscarson | F | SHLPRO | 23.5 | CHI* | 23′ #167 | 0.37 | 17.7 | 12% | 3.3y @26.8 | 0027 | 5.4 |
| 1510 | Ethan Del Mastro | D | AHLPRO | 23.6 | CHI | 21′ #105 | 0.4 | 14.4 | 12% | 1.3y @24.9 | 0019 | 4.5 |
| 1658 | Victor Stjernborg | F | SHLPRO | 23.2 | CHI* | 21′ #108 | 0.29 | 13.8 | 12% | 4.2y @27.4 | 0020 | 3.7 |
| 1840 | Riku Tohila | F | MESTISPRO | 22.7 | CHI* | 22′ #199 | 0.29 | 7 | 5% | 1.2y @23.9 | 0012 | 2.6 |
Who each prospect looks like
46. Anton Frondell72% NHL · 3.1y
| Jakub Vrana 14′#13 | 62 pk | 406 GP |
| Grigori Denisenko 18′#15 | never stuck | 33 GP |
| Michael Dal Colle 14′#5 | 20 pk | 112 GP |
| Jake DeBrusk 15′#14 | 64 pk | 628 GP |
| Joel Eriksson Ek 15′#20 | 68 pk | 614 GP |
62. Roman Kantserov53% NHL · 1.3y
| Kirill Kaprizov 15′#135 | 112 pk | 397 GP |
| Pavel Buchnevich 13′#75 | 87 pk | 674 GP |
| Ivan Morozov 18′#61 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Jonathan Dahlen 16′#42 | never stuck | 61 GP |
| Nikolai Kovalenko 18′#171 | never stuck | 57 GP |
97. Nick Lardis68% NHL · 1.8y
| Artturi Lehkonen 13′#55 | 65 pk | 660 GP |
| Carl Grundstrom 16′#57 | 27 pk | 339 GP |
| Anton Slepyshev 13′#88 | 20 pk | 102 GP |
| Nick Sorensen 13′#45 | never stuck | 5 GP |
| Jesper Boqvist 17′#36 | 34 pk | 387 GP |
323. Jiri Felcman45% NHL · 1.6y
| Mikhail Vorobyev 15′#104 | never stuck | 35 GP |
| Paul Cotter 18′#115 | 27 pk | 296 GP |
| JC Lipon 13′#91 | never stuck | 9 GP |
| Philipp Kurashev 18′#120 | 59 pk | 360 GP |
| Michael Amadio 14′#90 | 35 pk | 522 GP |
392. Julius Sumpf45% NHL · 1.4y
| Mikhail Vorobyev 15′#104 | never stuck | 35 GP |
| Michael Amadio 14′#90 | 35 pk | 522 GP |
| Paul Cotter 18′#115 | 27 pk | 296 GP |
| Brendan Leipsic 12′#89 | 33 pk | 187 GP |
| JC Lipon 13′#91 | never stuck | 9 GP |
437. Sam Rinzel45% NHL · 1y
| Jordan Schmaltz 12′#25 | never stuck | 42 GP |
| Josh Brook 17′#56 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Sean Durzi 18′#52 | 44 pk | 302 GP |
| Tony DeAngelo 14′#19 | 65 pk | 482 GP |
| Robin Salo 17′#46 | never stuck | 32 GP |
490. Kevin Korchinski45% NHL · 0.6y
| Olli Juolevi 16′#5 | never stuck | 41 GP |
| Haydn Fleury 14′#7 | 26 pk | 345 GP |
| Cal Foote 17′#14 | 14 pk | 145 GP |
| Travis Sanheim 14′#17 | 45 pk | 660 GP |
| Julius Honka 14′#14 | never stuck | 87 GP |
633. Gavin Hayes35% NHL · 1.2y
| Jordan Martinook 12′#58 | 37 pk | 797 GP |
| Fabian Zetterlund 17′#63 | 46 pk | 329 GP |
| Jansen Harkins 15′#47 | 20 pk | 305 GP |
| Keegan Kolesar 15′#69 | 30 pk | 439 GP |
| Ryan Kujawinski 13′#73 | never stuck | 0 GP |
746. Alexander Ivanov42% NHL · 4.3y
| Jacob Cederholm 16′#97 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Martin Fehérváry 18′#46 | 27 pk | 380 GP |
| Maxime Lajoie 16′#133 | never stuck | 77 GP |
| Gabriel Carlsson 15′#29 | never stuck | 81 GP |
| Gustav Forsling 14′#126 | 43 pk | 557 GP |
763. Samuel Savoie30% NHL · 1y
| Jonathan Gruden 18′#95 | never stuck | 16 GP |
| Brad Morrison 15′#113 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Ryan Kujawinski 13′#73 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| J.C. Beaudin 15′#71 | never stuck | 22 GP |
| Jonathan Ang 16′#94 | never stuck | 0 GP |
1023. Martin Misiak28% NHL · 1.6y
| Alex Schoenborn 14′#72 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Aleksi Heponiemi 17′#40 | never stuck | 25 GP |
| Remi Elie 13′#40 | 16 pk | 107 GP |
| Vaclav Karabacek 14′#49 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Jakub Lauko 18′#77 | 25 pk | 139 GP |
1331. Nolan Allan12% NHL · 0.8y
| Jeremy Roy 15′#31 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Jared McIsaac 18′#36 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Dylan Blujus 12′#40 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Julius Bergman 14′#46 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Bode Wilde 18′#41 | never stuck | 0 GP |