Prospect Rankings
Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.
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How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.
Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.
| # | Player | Pos | League | Age | Org | Draft | P/GP | NHLe | P(NHL) | ETA | Upside band | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Ryan Roobroeck★ | F | OHL | 18.9 | CHI* | 26′ #35 | 1.18 | 29.1 | 80% | 2.1y @21 | 244285 | 45 |
| 34 | Vaclav Nestrasil | F | NCAA | 19.4 | CHI | 25′ #25 | 0.91 | 30.7 | 65% | 2.6y @22 | 193571 | 35.8 |
| 66 | Xavier Villeneuve | D | LHJMQ | 18.9 | CHI* | 26′ #34 | 1.03 | 23.6 | 68% | 2.2y @21.1 | 152964 | 32.1 |
| 274 | Mason West | F | USHL | 19 | CHI | 25′ #29 | 0.66 | 12.9 | 50% | 3y @22 | 01568 | 23.7 |
| 282 | Marek Vanacker | F | OHL | 20.4 | CHI* | 24′ #27 | 1.37 | 33.6 | 47% | 2.4y @22.8 | 02049 | 23.2 |
| 381 | Nathan Behm | F | WHL | 19.3 | CHI* | 25′ #66 | 1.28 | 31.6 | 42% | 3.5y @22.8 | 02349 | 20.6 |
| 425 | John Mustard | F | NCAA | 20 | CHI* | 24′ #67 | 0.81 | 27.1 | 38% | 3.6y @23.6 | 01559 | 19.6 |
| 543 | Sacha Boisvert | F | NCAA | 20.4 | CHI | 24′ #18 | 0.65 | 22 | 35% | 2.5y @22.9 | 0446 | 16.6 |
| 775 | Jack Pridham | F | OHL | 20.9 | CHI* | 24′ #92 | 1.38 | 34.1 | 25% | 2.5y @23.4 | 0035 | 12.5 |
| 1117 | Parker Holmes | F | OHL | 19.5 | CHI* | 25′ #107 | 0.35 | 8.5 | 17% | 4.6y @24.1 | 0031 | 8.1 |
| 1208 | Alex Pharand | F | OHL | 21.6 | CHI* | 23′ #99 | 0.65 | 16.1 | 15% | 1.4y @23 | 0023 | 7.1 |
| 1327 | Anthony (AJ) Spellacy | F | OHL | 20.5 | CHI* | 24′ #72 | 0.63 | 15.4 | 15% | 2.4y @22.9 | 0021 | 6.3 |
| 1498 | Ashton Cumby | D | WHL | 21.1 | CHI* | 25′ #162 | 0.29 | 7.1 | 12% | 3.8y @24.9 | 0019 | 4.7 |
Who each prospect looks like
18. Ryan Roobroeck80% NHL · 2.1y
| Jaret Anderson-Dolan 17′#41 | 27 pk | 134 GP |
| Hunter Shinkaruk 13′#24 | never stuck | 15 GP |
| Nikolay Goldobin 14′#27 | 35 pk | 125 GP |
| Jake Guentzel 13′#77 | 91 pk | 681 GP |
| Janne Kuokkanen 16′#43 | 41 pk | 119 GP |
34. Vaclav Nestrasil65% NHL · 2.6y
| Jared McCann 14′#24 | 73 pk | 720 GP |
| Christian Fischer 15′#32 | 34 pk | 523 GP |
| Sonny Milano 14′#16 | 42 pk | 344 GP |
| Jayce Hawryluk 14′#32 | never stuck | 98 GP |
| Janne Kuokkanen 16′#43 | 41 pk | 119 GP |
66. Xavier Villeneuve68% NHL · 2.2y
| Henri Jokiharju 17′#29 | 30 pk | 448 GP |
| Jordan Schmaltz 12′#25 | never stuck | 42 GP |
| Olli Maatta 12′#22 | 55 pk | 804 GP |
| Erik Brannstrom 17′#15 | 36 pk | 294 GP |
| Jeremy Roy 15′#31 | never stuck | 0 GP |
274. Mason West50% NHL · 3y
| Fabian Zetterlund 17′#63 | 46 pk | 329 GP |
| Isac Lundeström 18′#23 | 30 pk | 405 GP |
| Connor Hurley 13′#38 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Alexander Volkov 17′#48 | never stuck | 46 GP |
| Joni Ikonen 17′#58 | never stuck | 0 GP |
282. Marek Vanacker47% NHL · 2.4y
| Kieffer Bellows 16′#19 | 35 pk | 114 GP |
| Adam Erne 13′#33 | 36 pk | 424 GP |
| Brendan Lemieux 14′#31 | 25 pk | 307 GP |
| John Quenneville 14′#30 | never stuck | 42 GP |
| Nicolas Aube-Kubel 14′#48 | 34 pk | 310 GP |
381. Nathan Behm42% NHL · 3.5y
| Jack Studnicka 17′#53 | 14 pk | 126 GP |
| Janne Kuokkanen 16′#43 | 41 pk | 119 GP |
| Christian Fischer 15′#32 | 34 pk | 523 GP |
| Allan McShane 18′#97 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Kevin Roy 12′#97 | never stuck | 28 GP |
425. John Mustard38% NHL · 3.6y
| Jordan Martinook 12′#58 | 37 pk | 797 GP |
| Jesse Gabrielle 15′#105 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Nick Baptiste 13′#69 | never stuck | 47 GP |
| Ross Colton 16′#118 | 41 pk | 404 GP |
| Yan Pavel Laplante 13′#62 | never stuck | 0 GP |
543. Sacha Boisvert35% NHL · 2.5y
| Jonatan Berggren 18′#33 | 36 pk | 205 GP |
| Sebastian Collberg 12′#33 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Nick Merkley 15′#30 | never stuck | 41 GP |
| German Rubtsov 16′#22 | never stuck | 4 GP |
| Pascal Laberge 16′#36 | never stuck | 0 GP |
775. Jack Pridham25% NHL · 2.5y
| Blake McLaughlin 18′#79 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Logan Hutsko 18′#89 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Evan Barratt 17′#90 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Noah Cates 17′#137 | 47 pk | 317 GP |
| Jake Leschyshyn 17′#62 | never stuck | 77 GP |
1117. Parker Holmes17% NHL · 4.6y
| Linus Lindstrom 16′#96 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Mackenzie MacEachern 12′#67 | 16 pk | 131 GP |
| Jonny Brodzinski 13′#148 | 31 pk | 264 GP |
| Kyle Schempp 14′#155 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Joni Ikonen 17′#58 | never stuck | 0 GP |
1208. Alex Pharand15% NHL · 1.4y
| Cole Ully 13′#131 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Taylor Leier 12′#117 | never stuck | 55 GP |
| Grant Mismash 17′#61 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Alan Quine 13′#166 | 24 pk | 106 GP |
| Max Willman 14′#121 | never stuck | 68 GP |
1327. Anthony (AJ) Spellacy15% NHL · 2.4y
| Keegan Iverson 14′#85 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Grant Mismash 17′#61 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Artur Kayumov 16′#50 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Taylor Leier 12′#117 | never stuck | 55 GP |
| Tyler Bertuzzi 13′#58 | 75 pk | 567 GP |