Prospect Rankings

Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.

How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.

Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.

#	Player	Pos	League	Age	Org	Draft	P/GP	NHLe	P(NHL)	ETA	Upside band	Score
22	Cole Reschny★	F	NCAA	19.4	CGY	25′ #18	0.97	32.7	72%	2.4y @21.8	233979	41.8
37	Cullen Potter	F	NCAA	19.6	CGY	25′ #32	1.08	36.4	62%	2y @21.6	193473	35.3
57	Ethan Wyttenbach★	F	NCAA	19.5	CGY	25′ #144	1.48	49.6	55%	2.6y @22.1	03077	33
229	Trevor Hoskin	F	NCAAPRO	22.3	CGY*	24′ #106	1.03	34.6	50%	1y @23.3	02764	25.3
777	Jaden Lipinski	F	NCAAPRO	21.7	CGY*	23′ #112	0.4	13.4	23%	1.5y @23.2	0046	12.5
849	Tyson Gross	F	NCAAPRO	23.9	CGY	—	1.14	38.3	17%	0.7y @24.6	0055	11.4
934	Abram Wiebe	D	NCAAPRO	23	CGY	—	0.72	24.4	30%	1.2y @24.2	0031	10.4
963	Eric Jamieson	D	NCAAPRO	21.1	CGY*	24′ #177	0.42	14.1	28%	2.3y @23.4	0026	10.1
1027	Cade Littler	F	NCAAPRO	22.1	CGY*	22′ #219	0.37	12.5	15%	0.9y @23	0027	9.1
1439	Luke Misa	F	NCAA	20.7	CGY*	24′ #150	0.51	17.3	10%	2.7y @23.4	0013	5.2

Who each prospect looks like

22. Cole Reschny72% NHL · 2.4y

Sonny Milano 14′#16	42 pk	344 GP
Mathew Barzal 15′#16	85 pk	611 GP
Joshua Ho-Sang 14′#28	never stuck	53 GP
Nick Schmaltz 14′#20	77 pk	670 GP
Jared McCann 14′#24	73 pk	720 GP

37. Cullen Potter62% NHL · 2y

Ivan Barbashev 14′#33	61 pk	667 GP
Sam Steel 16′#30	41 pk	491 GP
Joe Veleno 18′#30	29 pk	367 GP
Maxime Comtois 17′#50	49 pk	211 GP
Akil Thomas 18′#51	never stuck	32 GP

57. Ethan Wyttenbach55% NHL · 2.6y

Christian Dvorak 14′#58	52 pk	614 GP
Justin Almeida 18′#129	never stuck	0 GP
Troy Terry 15′#148	77 pk	488 GP
Jan Jenik 18′#65	never stuck	24 GP
Kevin Labanc 14′#171	56 pk	512 GP

229. Trevor Hoskin50% NHL · 1y

Jacob Peterson 17′#132	never stuck	83 GP
Mattias Janmark 13′#79	38 pk	680 GP
Mason Appleton 15′#168	37 pk	465 GP
Rourke Chartier 14′#149	never stuck	56 GP
Riley Damiani 18′#137	never stuck	7 GP

777. Jaden Lipinski23% NHL · 1.5y

JC Lipon 13′#91	never stuck	9 GP
Paul Cotter 18′#115	27 pk	296 GP
Mikhail Vorobyev 15′#104	never stuck	35 GP
Jonathan Gruden 18′#95	never stuck	16 GP
Clark Bishop 14′#127	never stuck	53 GP

849. Tyson Gross17% NHL · 0.7y

Liam Kirk 18′#189	never stuck	0 GP
Nikita Gusev 12′#202	never stuck	97 GP
Dominik Lakatos 17′#157	never stuck	0 GP
Sebastian Repo 17′#184	never stuck	0 GP
Tomas Hyka 12′#171	never stuck	27 GP

934. Abram Wiebe30% NHL · 1.2y

Christian Djoos 12′#195	25 pk	155 GP
Colin Miller 12′#151	41 pk	590 GP
Veeti Vainio 15′#141	never stuck	0 GP
Markus Nutivaara 15′#189	31 pk	275 GP
Mikael Wikstrand 12′#196	never stuck	0 GP

963. Eric Jamieson28% NHL · 2.3y

Christian Jaros 15′#139	never stuck	94 GP
Trevor Carrick 12′#115	never stuck	7 GP
Brandon Crawley 17′#123	never stuck	0 GP
Cale Fleury 17′#87	11 pk	100 GP
Declan Chisholm 18′#150	23 pk	125 GP

1027. Cade Littler15% NHL · 0.9y

Gabriel Fontaine 16′#171	never stuck	0 GP
Pavel Koltygin 17′#176	never stuck	0 GP
Joel Vermin 13′#186	never stuck	24 GP
Ben Jones 17′#189	never stuck	56 GP
Oskar Steen 16′#165	never stuck	60 GP

1439. Luke Misa10% NHL · 2.7y

Cole Ully 13′#131	never stuck	0 GP
Anton Zlobin 12′#173	never stuck	0 GP
Taylor Leier 12′#117	never stuck	55 GP
Jakob Stukel 16′#154	never stuck	0 GP
Alan Quine 13′#166	24 pk	106 GP