Prospect Rankings

Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.

How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.

Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.

#	Player	Pos	League	Age	Org	Draft	P/GP	NHLe	P(NHL)	ETA	Upside band	Score
201	Anttoni Uronen	F	LIIGAPRO	18.2	CBJ*	26′ #182	0.37	16.4	55%	4.4y @22.6	02559	26.8
482	Oiva Keskinen	F	LIIGAPRO	22.5	CBJ	23′ #194	0.76	33.4	35%	1.3y @23.8	01948	18.4

Who each prospect looks like

201. Anttoni Uronen55% NHL · 4.4y

Taylor Leier 12′#117	never stuck	55 GP
Matia Marcantuoni 12′#92	never stuck	0 GP
Maksim Sushko 17′#107	never stuck	2 GP
Bogdan Yakimov 13′#83	never stuck	1 GP
Mathieu Joseph 15′#120	40 pk	471 GP

482. Oiva Keskinen35% NHL · 1.3y

Maxim Mamin 16′#175	never stuck	73 GP
Jacob Peterson 17′#132	never stuck	83 GP
Jonathan Davidsson 17′#170	never stuck	6 GP
Olle Lycksell 17′#168	never stuck	52 GP
Mason Appleton 15′#168	37 pk	465 GP