Prospect Rankings

Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.

How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.

Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.

#	Player	Pos	League	Age	Org	Draft	P/GP	NHLe	P(NHL)	ETA	Upside band	Score
114	William Whitelaw	F	NCAAPRO	21.5	CBJ*	23′ #66	0.87	29.3	65%	1.6y @23.1	183155	28.6
173	Alessandro Di Iorio	F	OHL	18.4	CBJ*	26′ #94	0.69	16.9	50%	3.7y @22.1	02483	27.1
189	Anttoni Uronen	F	LIIGAPRO	18.2	CBJ*	26′ #182	0.37	16.4	55%	4.4y @22.6	02559	26.8
275	Luca Pinelli	F	AHLPRO	21.4	CBJ*	23′ #114	0.68	24.4	53%	1.7y @23.1	02553	22.9
284	Luca Del Bel Belluz	F	AHLPRO	22.8	CBJ*	22′ #44	1.05	38	42%	1.1y @23.9	02365	22.3
369	Evan Jardine	F	USHL	18.8	CBJ*	26′ #121	1.15	22.7	38%	4y @22.8	0056	19.2
409	Oiva Keskinen	F	LIIGAPRO	22.5	CBJ*	23′ #194	0.76	33.4	35%	1.3y @23.8	01948	18.4
449	Jonas Woo	F	WHL	19.8	CBJ*	26′ #185	1.54	37.8	35%	3.7y @23.5	0051	16.8
523	Cayden Lindstrom	F	NCAA	20.5	CBJ	24′ #4	0.32	10.8	38%	1.6y @22.1	0036	14.6
563	Kirill Dolzhenkov	F	KHLPRO	22.3	CBJ*	22′ #109	0.26	16.6	28%	1.5y @23.8	0037	13.3
575	Jordan Dumais	F	AHLPRO	22.3	CBJ*	22′ #96	0.39	14.1	28%	1.2y @23.5	0433	13.1
746	Jeremy Loranger	F	NCAA	19.2	CBJ*	25′ #198	0.68	22.8	15%	3.8y @23	0044	8.8
751	Owen Griffin	F	OHL	19.4	CBJ*	25′ #160	1.02	25	23%	3.6y @23	0041	8.7
784	Tyler Peddle	F	LHJMQ	21.6	CBJ*	23′ #224	0.31	7.2	20%	1.8y @23.4	0025	7.8
830	Charlie Elick	F	WHL	20.6	CBJ*	24′ #36	0.32	7.8	20%	2.3y @22.9	0029	7.2
1364	James Malatesta	F	AHLPRO	23.2	CBJ*	21′ #133	0.32	11.4	5%	4.1y @27.3	000	1.3
1367	Martin Rysavy	F	CZECHIAPRO	23.5	CBJ*	21′ #197	0.27	11.6	5%	3.8y @27.3	000	1.3

Who each prospect looks like

114. William Whitelaw65% NHL · 1.6y

Anton Slepyshev 13′#88	20 pk	102 GP
Artturi Lehkonen 13′#55	65 pk	660 GP
Nick Sorensen 13′#45	never stuck	5 GP
Filip Hallander 18′#58	never stuck	16 GP
Sven Andrighetto 13′#86	36 pk	216 GP

173. Alessandro Di Iorio50% NHL · 3.7y

Jarrod Maidens 12′#82	never stuck	0 GP
Ivan Morozov 18′#61	never stuck	0 GP
Thomas Di Pauli 12′#100	never stuck	2 GP
Shane Eiserman 14′#100	never stuck	0 GP
J.T. Compher 13′#35	52 pk	658 GP

189. Anttoni Uronen55% NHL · 4.4y

Taylor Leier 12′#117	never stuck	55 GP
Matia Marcantuoni 12′#92	never stuck	0 GP
Maksim Sushko 17′#107	never stuck	2 GP
Bogdan Yakimov 13′#83	never stuck	1 GP
Mathieu Joseph 15′#120	40 pk	471 GP

275. Luca Pinelli53% NHL · 1.7y

Michael Amadio 14′#90	35 pk	522 GP
Charles Hudon 12′#122	34 pk	134 GP
Brendan Leipsic 12′#89	33 pk	187 GP
Sven Andrighetto 13′#86	36 pk	216 GP
Rudolfs Balcers 15′#142	34 pk	170 GP

284. Luca Del Bel Belluz42% NHL · 1.1y

Taylor Raddysh 16′#58	39 pk	373 GP
Boris Katchouk 16′#44	23 pk	179 GP
Jonatan Berggren 18′#33	36 pk	205 GP
Mattias Janmark 13′#79	38 pk	680 GP
Nick Sorensen 13′#45	never stuck	5 GP

369. Evan Jardine38% NHL · 4y

Jake Guentzel 13′#77	91 pk	681 GP
Luke Johnson 13′#134	never stuck	32 GP
Jonne Tammela 15′#118	never stuck	0 GP
Shane Eiserman 14′#100	never stuck	0 GP
Jarrod Maidens 12′#82	never stuck	0 GP

409. Oiva Keskinen35% NHL · 1.3y

Maxim Mamin 16′#175	never stuck	73 GP
Jacob Peterson 17′#132	never stuck	83 GP
Jonathan Davidsson 17′#170	never stuck	6 GP
Olle Lycksell 17′#168	never stuck	52 GP
Mason Appleton 15′#168	37 pk	465 GP

449. Jonas Woo35% NHL · 3.7y

Kevin Labanc 14′#171	56 pk	512 GP
Eric Locke 13′#189	never stuck	0 GP
Justin Almeida 18′#129	never stuck	0 GP
Anders Bjork 14′#146	33 pk	225 GP
Myles Bell 13′#160	never stuck	0 GP

523. Cayden Lindstrom38% NHL · 1.6y

Michael Dal Colle 14′#5	20 pk	112 GP
Grigori Denisenko 18′#15	never stuck	33 GP
Brendan Perlini 14′#12	33 pk	262 GP
German Rubtsov 16′#22	never stuck	4 GP
Sebastian Collberg 12′#33	never stuck	0 GP

563. Kirill Dolzhenkov28% NHL · 1.5y

Brad Morrison 15′#113	never stuck	0 GP
Gemel Smith 12′#104	never stuck	91 GP
Marián Studenic 17′#143	never stuck	46 GP
Garrett Pilon 16′#87	never stuck	3 GP
Mikhail Maltsev 16′#102	never stuck	56 GP

575. Jordan Dumais28% NHL · 1.2y

Jonathan Gruden 18′#95	never stuck	16 GP
Jonathan Ang 16′#94	never stuck	0 GP
Brad Morrison 15′#113	never stuck	0 GP
Jimmy Lodge 13′#84	never stuck	0 GP
Gemel Smith 12′#104	never stuck	91 GP

746. Jeremy Loranger15% NHL · 3.8y

Vinnie Hinostroza 12′#169	44 pk	477 GP
Frederik Tiffels 15′#167	never stuck	0 GP
John McCarron 12′#153	never stuck	0 GP
Dominic Toninato 12′#126	20 pk	197 GP
Brian Pinho 13′#174	never stuck	2 GP