Prospect Rankings
Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.
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How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.
Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.
| # | Player | Pos | League | Age | Org | Draft | P/GP | NHLe | P(NHL) | ETA | Upside band | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1112 | Kurban Limatov | D | MHL | 19.4 | CAR* | 25′ #67 | 0.65 | 9.6 | 30% | 3.4y @22.8 | 0026 | 8.3 |
| 1629 | Timur Kol | D | MHL | 20 | CAR* | 24′ #168 | 0.83 | 12.2 | 10% | 5.4y @25.4 | 0018 | 4 |
| 1961 | Roman Shokhrin | D | MHL | 20.5 | CAR* | 24′ #184 | 0.33 | 4.9 | 5% | 5.3y @25.8 | 000 | 1.6 |
Who each prospect looks like
1112. Kurban Limatov30% NHL · 3.4y
| Ryan Lindgren 16′#49 | 29 pk | 481 GP |
| Dmitry Semykin 18′#90 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Dylan Labbe 13′#107 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Patrick Sieloff 12′#42 | never stuck | 2 GP |
| Brendan Guhle 15′#51 | never stuck | 65 GP |
1629. Timur Kol10% NHL · 5.4y
| Sami Niku 15′#198 | never stuck | 67 GP |
| Calle Sjalin 17′#145 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Colin Miller 12′#151 | 41 pk | 590 GP |
| Linus Hogberg 16′#139 | never stuck | 5 GP |
| Victor Berglund 17′#195 | never stuck | 0 GP |
1961. Roman Shokhrin5% NHL · 5.3y
| Jacob Golden 17′#147 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Robin Norell 13′#111 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Radim Salda 18′#206 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Matthew Hellickson 17′#214 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Brandon Crawley 17′#123 | never stuck | 0 GP |