Prospect Rankings
Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.
Org:AllANAARIBOSBUFCARCBJCGYCHICOLDALDETEDMFLALAKMINMTLNJDNSHNYINYROTTPHIPITSEASJSSTLTBLTORUTAVANVGKWPGWSH
How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.
Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.
| # | Player | Pos | League | Age | Org | Draft | P/GP | NHLe | P(NHL) | ETA | Upside band | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 94 | Bradly Nadeau | F | AHLPRO | 21.3 | CAR* | 23′ #30 | 1.08 | 38.9 | 68% | 1.7y @23 | 183264 | 30.1 |
| 290 | Ivan Ryabkin | F | AHLPRO | 19.3 | CAR* | 25′ #62 | 0.32 | 11.6 | 50% | 3.1y @22.4 | 01861 | 22.9 |
| 462 | Dominik Badinka | D | AHLPRO | 20.7 | CAR* | 24′ #34 | 0.21 | 7.4 | 57% | 2y @22.7 | 01834 | 18.6 |
| 720 | Gleb Trikozov | F | AHLPRO | 22 | CAR* | 22′ #60 | 0.24 | 8.6 | 33% | 1.5y @23.5 | 0034 | 13.1 |
| 785 | Justin Robidas | F | AHLPRO | 23.4 | CAR* | 21′ #147 | 1.03 | 37.3 | 17% | 1.1y @24.5 | 0039 | 12.3 |
| 1034 | Charles Alexis Legault | D | AHLPRO | 23 | CAR* | 23′ #139 | 0.33 | 12 | 25% | 1.9y @24.9 | 0027 | 9 |
| 1308 | Aleksi Heimosalmi | D | AHLPRO | 23.3 | CAR | 21′ #44 | 0.33 | 11.8 | 15% | 0.8y @24.1 | 0026 | 6.4 |
| 1330 | Scott Morrow | D | AHLPRO | 23.8 | CAR* | 21′ #40 | 0.56 | 20.2 | 12% | now @24 | 0020 | 6.2 |
| 1770 | Bryce Montgomery | D | AHLPRO | 23.8 | CAR* | 21′ #170 | 0.17 | 6 | 10% | 2.3y @26.1 | 0015 | 3.1 |
| 1880 | Ronan Seeley | D | AHLPRO | 24 | CAR* | 20′ #208 | 0.33 | 12 | 7% | 1.8y @25.8 | 0010 | 2.3 |
Who each prospect looks like
94. Bradly Nadeau68% NHL · 1.7y
| Jesper Boqvist 17′#36 | 34 pk | 387 GP |
| Tyler Benson 16′#32 | never stuck | 38 GP |
| Jack Drury 18′#42 | 30 pk | 268 GP |
| Artturi Lehkonen 13′#55 | 65 pk | 660 GP |
| Jonatan Berggren 18′#33 | 36 pk | 205 GP |
290. Ivan Ryabkin50% NHL · 3.1y
| Matia Marcantuoni 12′#92 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Dominic Turgeon 14′#63 | never stuck | 9 GP |
| Raphael Bussieres 12′#46 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Tyler Bertuzzi 13′#58 | 75 pk | 567 GP |
| Adrian Kempe 14′#29 | 80 pk | 711 GP |
462. Dominik Badinka57% NHL · 2y
| Gustav Lindstrom 17′#38 | 18 pk | 174 GP |
| Robert Hagg 13′#41 | 22 pk | 345 GP |
| Patrick Sieloff 12′#42 | never stuck | 2 GP |
| Andreas Englund 14′#40 | 10 pk | 200 GP |
| Jonas Siegenthaler 15′#57 | 22 pk | 449 GP |
720. Gleb Trikozov33% NHL · 1.5y
| Jake Leschyshyn 17′#62 | never stuck | 77 GP |
| Grant Mismash 17′#61 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Akil Thomas 18′#51 | never stuck | 32 GP |
| J.C. Beaudin 15′#71 | never stuck | 22 GP |
| Dylan Sadowy 14′#81 | never stuck | 0 GP |
785. Justin Robidas17% NHL · 1.1y
| Olle Lycksell 17′#168 | never stuck | 52 GP |
| Liam Kirk 18′#189 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Glenn Gawdin 15′#116 | never stuck | 13 GP |
| Pontus Holmberg 18′#156 | 29 pk | 229 GP |
| Parker Foo 17′#144 | never stuck | 0 GP |
1034. Charles Alexis Legault25% NHL · 1.9y
| Niklas Tikkinen 12′#148 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Luc Snuggerud 14′#141 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Connor Clifton 13′#133 | 24 pk | 434 GP |
| MacKenzie Weegar 13′#206 | 55 pk | 629 GP |
| Hunter Drew 18′#178 | never stuck | 2 GP |
1308. Aleksi Heimosalmi15% NHL · 0.8y
| Jared McIsaac 18′#36 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Ty Emberson 18′#73 | 27 pk | 178 GP |
| Jeremy Roy 15′#31 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Cam Dineen 16′#68 | never stuck | 38 GP |
| Dylan Blujus 12′#40 | never stuck | 0 GP |
1330. Scott Morrow12% NHL · 0.2y
| Jett Woo 18′#37 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Ville Pokka 12′#34 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Ludwig Bystrom 12′#43 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Cam Dineen 16′#68 | never stuck | 38 GP |
| Jared McIsaac 18′#36 | never stuck | 0 GP |
1770. Bryce Montgomery10% NHL · 2.3y
| Gustav Bouramman 15′#201 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Alex Kannok-Leipert 18′#161 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Sergei Boikov 15′#161 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Dmitriy Zaitsev 16′#207 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Pontus Sjalin 14′#160 | never stuck | 0 GP |
1880. Ronan Seeley7% NHL · 1.8y
| Vladislav Yeryomenko 18′#151 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| William Reilly 17′#217 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Jake Bischoff 12′#185 | never stuck | 4 GP |
| Cole Hults 17′#134 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Patrick Kudla 16′#158 | never stuck | 0 GP |