Prospect Rankings

Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.

How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.

Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.

#	Player	Pos	League	Age	Org	Draft	P/GP	NHLe	P(NHL)	ETA	Upside band	Score
71	Dominik Badinka	D	AHLPRO	20.7	CAR*	24′ #34	0.21	7.4	57%	2y @22.7	01834	18.6
73	William Hakansson	D	SHLPRO	18.9	CAR*	26′ #51	0.09	4.4	55%	3.5y @22.4	01834	18.5
128	Noel Fransén	D	ALLSVENSKANPRO	20.7	CAR*	24′ #69	0.37	11.5	45%	1.5y @22.2	01331	14.2
135	Alexander Siryatsky	D	KHLPRO	20	CAR*	24′ #124	0.14	8.5	42%	2.3y @22.3	01129	13.8
247	Simon Forsmark	D	SHLPRO	22.8	CAR*	22′ #101	0.27	13.3	30%	2.1y @24.9	0027	10.3
298	Charles Alexis Legault	D	AHLPRO	23	CAR*	23′ #139	0.33	12	25%	1.9y @24.9	0027	9
339	Kurban Limatov	D	MHL	19.4	CAR*	25′ #67	0.65	9.6	30%	3.4y @22.8	0026	8.3
404	Aleksi Heimosalmi	D	AHLPRO	23.3	CAR	21′ #44	0.33	11.8	15%	0.8y @24.1	0026	6.4
415	Scott Morrow	D	AHLPRO	23.8	CAR*	21′ #40	0.56	20.2	12%	now @24	0020	6.2
516	Timur Kol	D	MHL	20	CAR*	24′ #168	0.83	12.2	10%	5.4y @25.4	0018	4
556	Bryce Montgomery	D	AHLPRO	23.8	CAR*	21′ #170	0.17	6	10%	2.3y @26.1	0015	3.1
593	Ronan Seeley	D	AHLPRO	24	CAR*	20′ #208	0.33	12	7%	1.8y @25.8	0010	2.3
612	Roman Shokhrin	D	MHL	20.5	CAR*	24′ #184	0.33	4.9	5%	5.3y @25.8	000	1.6

Who each prospect looks like

71. Dominik Badinka57% NHL · 2y

Gustav Lindstrom 17′#38	18 pk	174 GP
Robert Hagg 13′#41	22 pk	345 GP
Patrick Sieloff 12′#42	never stuck	2 GP
Andreas Englund 14′#40	10 pk	200 GP
Jonas Siegenthaler 15′#57	22 pk	449 GP

73. William Hakansson55% NHL · 3.5y

Martin Fehérváry 18′#46	27 pk	380 GP
Jacob Cederholm 16′#97	never stuck	0 GP
Gabriel Carlsson 15′#29	never stuck	81 GP
Alexander Romanov 18′#38	26 pk	369 GP
Urho Vaakanainen 17′#18	27 pk	221 GP

128. Noel Fransén45% NHL · 1.5y

Cale Fleury 17′#87	11 pk	100 GP
Blake Siebenaler 14′#77	never stuck	0 GP
Robert Hagg 13′#41	22 pk	345 GP
Gustav Lindstrom 17′#38	18 pk	174 GP
Jonas Siegenthaler 15′#57	22 pk	449 GP

135. Alexander Siryatsky42% NHL · 2.3y

Cale Fleury 17′#87	11 pk	100 GP
Jacob Cederholm 16′#97	never stuck	0 GP
Maxime Lajoie 16′#133	never stuck	77 GP
Colton White 15′#97	14 pk	107 GP
Trevor Carrick 12′#115	never stuck	7 GP

247. Simon Forsmark30% NHL · 2.1y

Linus Hogberg 16′#139	never stuck	5 GP
Tarmo Reunanen 16′#98	never stuck	4 GP
Luc Snuggerud 14′#141	never stuck	0 GP
Frederic Allard 16′#78	never stuck	4 GP
William Lagesson 14′#91	11 pk	107 GP

298. Charles Alexis Legault25% NHL · 1.9y

Niklas Tikkinen 12′#148	never stuck	0 GP
Luc Snuggerud 14′#141	never stuck	0 GP
Connor Clifton 13′#133	24 pk	434 GP
MacKenzie Weegar 13′#206	55 pk	629 GP
Hunter Drew 18′#178	never stuck	2 GP

339. Kurban Limatov30% NHL · 3.4y

Ryan Lindgren 16′#49	29 pk	481 GP
Dmitry Semykin 18′#90	never stuck	0 GP
Dylan Labbe 13′#107	never stuck	0 GP
Patrick Sieloff 12′#42	never stuck	2 GP
Brendan Guhle 15′#51	never stuck	65 GP

404. Aleksi Heimosalmi15% NHL · 0.8y

Jared McIsaac 18′#36	never stuck	0 GP
Ty Emberson 18′#73	27 pk	178 GP
Jeremy Roy 15′#31	never stuck	0 GP
Cam Dineen 16′#68	never stuck	38 GP
Dylan Blujus 12′#40	never stuck	0 GP

415. Scott Morrow12% NHL · 0.2y

Jett Woo 18′#37	never stuck	0 GP
Ville Pokka 12′#34	never stuck	0 GP
Ludwig Bystrom 12′#43	never stuck	0 GP
Cam Dineen 16′#68	never stuck	38 GP
Jared McIsaac 18′#36	never stuck	0 GP

516. Timur Kol10% NHL · 5.4y

Sami Niku 15′#198	never stuck	67 GP
Calle Sjalin 17′#145	never stuck	0 GP
Colin Miller 12′#151	41 pk	590 GP
Linus Hogberg 16′#139	never stuck	5 GP
Victor Berglund 17′#195	never stuck	0 GP

556. Bryce Montgomery10% NHL · 2.3y

Gustav Bouramman 15′#201	never stuck	0 GP
Alex Kannok-Leipert 18′#161	never stuck	0 GP
Sergei Boikov 15′#161	never stuck	0 GP
Dmitriy Zaitsev 16′#207	never stuck	0 GP
Pontus Sjalin 14′#160	never stuck	0 GP

593. Ronan Seeley7% NHL · 1.8y

Vladislav Yeryomenko 18′#151	never stuck	0 GP
William Reilly 17′#217	never stuck	0 GP
Jake Bischoff 12′#185	never stuck	4 GP
Cole Hults 17′#134	never stuck	0 GP
Patrick Kudla 16′#158	never stuck	0 GP