Kodo HockeyProspect Rankings
Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.
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How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.
Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.
| # | Player | Pos | League | Age | Org | Draft | P/GP | NHLe | P(NHL) | ETA | Upside band | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | James Hagens★ | F | NCAA | 19.8 | BOS | 25′ #7 | 1.38 | 46.5 | 88% | 1.2y @21 | 416297 | 60 |
| 150 | Matvei Kotkov | F | MHL | 18 | BOS* | 26′ #104 | 0.86 | 12.7 | 50% | 3.9y @21.9 | 02483 | 27.8 |
| 155 | Christopher Pelosi | F | NCAAPRO | 21.5 | BOS* | 23′ #92 | 0.97 | 32.7 | 62% | 1.5y @23 | 73155 | 27.5 |
| 209 | Dean Letourneau | F | NCAA | 20.5 | BOS | 24′ #25 | 1.08 | 36.4 | 53% | 2.3y @22.8 | 02553 | 25.8 |
| 256 | Beckett Hendrickson | F | NCAAPRO | 21.2 | BOS* | 23′ #124 | 0.56 | 18.7 | 47% | 1.6y @22.8 | 02558 | 23.8 |
| 312 | Matthew Poitras | F | AHLPRO | 22.4 | BOS* | 22′ #54 | 0.64 | 23 | 53% | 1.2y @23.6 | 02438 | 21.3 |
| 427 | Dans Locmelis | F | AHLPRO | 22.6 | BOS | 22′ #119 | 0.65 | 23.5 | 35% | 1.5y @24.1 | 01237 | 17.5 |
| 545 | Ryan Walsh | F | NCAAPRO | 23 | BOS* | 23′ #188 | 1 | 33.6 | 25% | 1.4y @24.4 | 0041 | 13.9 |
| 625 | Casper Nassen | F | NCAAPRO | 22.4 | BOS* | 23′ #214 | 0.5 | 16.8 | 20% | 0.6y @23 | 0036 | 12.1 |
| 754 | Cooper Simpson | F | USHL | 19.5 | BOS* | 25′ #79 | 1.21 | 23.9 | 25% | 3.6y @23.1 | 0038 | 8.7 |
| 779 | William Moore | F | NCAA | 19.4 | BOS* | 25′ #51 | 0.3 | 10.2 | 25% | 4.1y @23.5 | 0032 | 8.1 |
| 872 | Cole Chandler | F | LHJMQ | 19.3 | BOS* | 25′ #133 | 0.84 | 19.3 | 15% | 3.8y @23.1 | 0020 | 6.8 |
| 925 | Brett Harrison | F | AHLPRO | 23.1 | BOS* | 21′ #85 | 0.37 | 13.2 | 15% | 1y @24.1 | 0022 | 6 |
| 985 | Brett Harrison | F | AHLPRO | 23.2 | BOS* | 21′ #85 | 0.37 | 13.3 | 12% | 1y @24.2 | 0020 | 5.1 |
| 1315 | Jonathan Morello | F | NCAA | 20.1 | BOS* | 24′ #154 | 0.36 | 12.1 | 3% | 2.6y @22.7 | 000 | 2 |
| 1355 | Kalle Vaisanen | F | AHLPRO | 23.6 | BOS | 21′ #106 | 0.08 | 2.8 | 7% | 1.2y @24.8 | 000 | 1.4 |
| 1412 | Kirill Yemelyanov | F | MHL | 19.6 | BOS* | 25′ #165 | 1.04 | 15.3 | 0% | — | 000 | 0 |
Who each prospect looks like
5. James Hagens88% NHL · 1.2y
| Timo Meier 15′#9 | 81 pk | 698 GP |
| Robby Fabbri 14′#21 | 49 pk | 463 GP |
| Mitch Marner 15′#4 | 110 pk | 738 GP |
| Luke Kunin 16′#15 | 41 pk | 496 GP |
| Barrett Hayton 18′#5 | 46 pk | 358 GP |
150. Matvei Kotkov50% NHL · 3.9y
| Hudson Fasching 13′#118 | 32 pk | 175 GP |
| Thomas Di Pauli 12′#100 | never stuck | 2 GP |
| Alex Formenton 17′#47 | 33 pk | 109 GP |
| Ivan Morozov 18′#61 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Riley Barber 12′#167 | never stuck | 16 GP |
155. Christopher Pelosi62% NHL · 1.5y
| Artturi Lehkonen 13′#55 | 65 pk | 660 GP |
| Anton Slepyshev 13′#88 | 20 pk | 102 GP |
| Jacob Peterson 17′#132 | never stuck | 83 GP |
| Alan Quine 13′#166 | 24 pk | 106 GP |
| Rudolfs Balcers 15′#142 | 34 pk | 170 GP |
209. Dean Letourneau53% NHL · 2.3y
| Brendan Lemieux 14′#31 | 25 pk | 307 GP |
| Adam Erne 13′#33 | 36 pk | 424 GP |
| Kieffer Bellows 16′#19 | 35 pk | 114 GP |
| John Quenneville 14′#30 | never stuck | 42 GP |
| Boris Katchouk 16′#44 | 23 pk | 179 GP |
256. Beckett Hendrickson47% NHL · 1.6y
| Philipp Kurashev 18′#120 | 59 pk | 360 GP |
| Michael Amadio 14′#90 | 35 pk | 522 GP |
| Mikhail Vorobyev 15′#104 | never stuck | 35 GP |
| Andreas Athanasiou 12′#110 | 58 pk | 495 GP |
| Sasha Chmelevski 17′#185 | never stuck | 24 GP |
312. Matthew Poitras53% NHL · 1.2y
| Nicolas Aube-Kubel 14′#48 | 34 pk | 310 GP |
| Alexander Volkov 17′#48 | never stuck | 46 GP |
| Jayce Hawryluk 14′#32 | never stuck | 98 GP |
| Kevin Stenlund 15′#58 | 28 pk | 368 GP |
| Juho Lammikko 14′#65 | 16 pk | 183 GP |
427. Dans Locmelis35% NHL · 1.5y
| Michael Bunting 14′#117 | 74 pk | 418 GP |
| Garrett Pilon 16′#87 | never stuck | 3 GP |
| Connor Dewar 18′#92 | 32 pk | 316 GP |
| Jonathan Davidsson 17′#170 | never stuck | 6 GP |
| Cameron Hughes 15′#165 | never stuck | 5 GP |
545. Ryan Walsh25% NHL · 1.4y
| Olle Lycksell 17′#168 | never stuck | 52 GP |
| Mason Appleton 15′#168 | 37 pk | 465 GP |
| Liam Kirk 18′#189 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Glenn Gawdin 15′#116 | never stuck | 13 GP |
| Maxim Mamin 16′#175 | never stuck | 73 GP |
625. Casper Nassen20% NHL · 0.6y
| Joel Vermin 13′#186 | never stuck | 24 GP |
| Pavel Koltygin 17′#176 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Ryan McGregor 17′#172 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Axel Jonsson-Fjallby 16′#147 | never stuck | 99 GP |
| Gabriel Fontaine 16′#171 | never stuck | 0 GP |
754. Cooper Simpson25% NHL · 3.6y
| Jonathan Ang 16′#94 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Scott Kosmachuk 12′#70 | never stuck | 8 GP |
| Brad Morrison 15′#113 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Tanner Kaspick 16′#119 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Riley Stotts 18′#83 | never stuck | 0 GP |
779. William Moore25% NHL · 4.1y
| Mackenzie MacEachern 12′#67 | 16 pk | 131 GP |
| Joni Ikonen 17′#58 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Tyrell Goulbourne 13′#72 | never stuck | 11 GP |
| Linus Lindstrom 16′#96 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Fabian Zetterlund 17′#63 | 46 pk | 329 GP |
872. Cole Chandler15% NHL · 3.8y
| Frederik Tiffels 15′#167 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| John McCarron 12′#153 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Dominic Toninato 12′#126 | 20 pk | 197 GP |
| Arnaud Durandeau 17′#165 | never stuck | 4 GP |
| Alexander Delnov 12′#114 | never stuck | 0 GP |