Prospect Rankings
Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.
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How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.
Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.
| # | Player | Pos | League | Age | Org | Draft | P/GP | NHLe | P(NHL) | ETA | Upside band | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | Lucas Pettersson | F | SHLPRO | 20.3 | ANA* | 24′ #35 | 0.49 | 23.6 | 68% | 2.3y @22.6 | 183068 | 32.3 |
| 91 | Austin Burnevik | F | NCAAPRO | 21.6 | ANA* | 24′ #182 | 1.06 | 35.5 | 62% | 1.4y @23 | 153358 | 30.6 |
| 178 | Anton Wahlberg | F | AHLPRO | 21.1 | ANA | 23′ #39 | 0.54 | 19.6 | 62% | 1.7y @22.8 | 122955 | 27.2 |
| 394 | Stian Solberg | D | AHLPRO | 20.6 | ANA | 24′ #23 | 0.34 | 12.2 | 60% | 2.1y @22.7 | 101942 | 20.1 |
| 497 | Nathan Gaucher | F | AHLPRO | 22.8 | ANA | 22′ #22 | 0.47 | 16.9 | 45% | 0.8y @23.6 | 01637 | 17.6 |
| 519 | Nico Myatovic | F | AHLPRO | 21.7 | ANA | 23′ #33 | 0.27 | 9.7 | 47% | 1.3y @23 | 01237 | 17.2 |
| 525 | Lasse Boelius | D | LIIGAPRO | 19.4 | ANA* | 25′ #60 | 0.2 | 8.9 | 53% | 3.1y @22.5 | 01832 | 17.1 |
| 581 | Rodwin Dionicio | D | NLPRO | 22.4 | ANA* | 23′ #129 | 0.55 | 24.9 | 38% | 1.7y @24.1 | 01341 | 15.8 |
| 608 | Yegor Sidorov | F | AHLPRO | 22.2 | ANA* | 23′ #85 | 0.43 | 15.4 | 35% | 1.2y @23.4 | 01037 | 15.2 |
| 666 | Carey Terrance | F | AHLPRO | 21.3 | ANA* | 23′ #59 | 0.25 | 9 | 38% | 1.6y @22.9 | 0037 | 14.2 |
| 710 | Tristan Luneau | D | AHLPRO | 22.6 | ANA* | 22′ #53 | 0.59 | 21.1 | 28% | 1.3y @23.9 | 0041 | 13.3 |
| 789 | Connor Hvidston | F | NCAAPRO | 21.9 | ANA* | 22′ #139 | 0.5 | 16.8 | 25% | 1.1y @23 | 0037 | 12.2 |
| 813 | Noah Warren | D | AHLPRO | 22.1 | ANA | 22′ #42 | 0.2 | 7.1 | 40% | 0.7y @22.8 | 0029 | 11.8 |
| 1024 | Coulson Pitre | F | AHLPRO | 21.7 | ANA* | 23′ #65 | 0.2 | 7.2 | 25% | 1.7y @23.4 | 0028 | 9.1 |
| 1036 | Vojtech Port | D | CZECHIAPRO | 21 | ANA* | 23′ #161 | 0.05 | 2.1 | 30% | 2.9y @23.9 | 0026 | 9 |
| 1309 | Tyson Hinds | D | AHLPRO | 23.4 | ANA | 21′ #76 | 0.31 | 11.1 | 15% | 2.4y @25.8 | 0024 | 6.4 |
| 1806 | Sean Tschigerl | F | NCAAPRO | 23.4 | ANA* | 21′ #130 | 0.37 | 12.5 | 10% | 2.4y @25.8 | 000 | 2.9 |
| 1947 | Kyle Kukkonen | F | NCAAPRO | 23.8 | ANA* | 21′ #162 | 0.21 | 7.2 | 5% | 1.6y @25.4 | 000 | 1.6 |
Who each prospect looks like
64. Lucas Pettersson68% NHL · 2.3y
| Vladislav Kamenev 14′#42 | never stuck | 66 GP |
| Tanner Pearson 12′#30 | 53 pk | 778 GP |
| Jesse Ylonen 18′#35 | 35 pk | 111 GP |
| Bo Groulx 18′#54 | never stuck | 78 GP |
| Adrian Kempe 14′#29 | 80 pk | 711 GP |
91. Austin Burnevik62% NHL · 1.4y
| Jacob Peterson 17′#132 | never stuck | 83 GP |
| Alan Quine 13′#166 | 24 pk | 106 GP |
| Riley Damiani 18′#137 | never stuck | 7 GP |
| Connor Brown 12′#156 | 51 pk | 676 GP |
| Riley Barber 12′#167 | never stuck | 16 GP |
178. Anton Wahlberg62% NHL · 1.7y
| Rasmus Asplund 16′#33 | 32 pk | 189 GP |
| Ivan Barbashev 14′#33 | 61 pk | 667 GP |
| Nikita Scherbak 14′#26 | never stuck | 37 GP |
| Ryan McLeod 18′#40 | 55 pk | 379 GP |
| Adam Erne 13′#33 | 36 pk | 424 GP |
394. Stian Solberg60% NHL · 2.1y
| Gustav Lindstrom 17′#38 | 18 pk | 174 GP |
| Ryan Pulock 13′#15 | 42 pk | 636 GP |
| Matthew Finn 12′#35 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Robert Hagg 13′#41 | 22 pk | 345 GP |
| Timothy Liljegren 17′#17 | 34 pk | 311 GP |
497. Nathan Gaucher45% NHL · 0.8y
| Pontus Aberg 12′#37 | 42 pk | 132 GP |
| Morgan Klimchuk 13′#28 | never stuck | 1 GP |
| Nicolas Kerdiles 12′#36 | never stuck | 3 GP |
| Pascal Laberge 16′#36 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Jayce Hawryluk 14′#32 | never stuck | 98 GP |
519. Nico Myatovic47% NHL · 1.3y
| Remi Elie 13′#40 | 16 pk | 107 GP |
| Phillip Di Giuseppe 12′#38 | 34 pk | 302 GP |
| Valentin Zykov 13′#37 | never stuck | 55 GP |
| Vaclav Karabacek 14′#49 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Aleksi Heponiemi 17′#40 | never stuck | 25 GP |
525. Lasse Boelius53% NHL · 3.1y
| Martin Fehérváry 18′#46 | 27 pk | 380 GP |
| Jacob Cederholm 16′#97 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Alexander Romanov 18′#38 | 26 pk | 369 GP |
| Gabriel Carlsson 15′#29 | never stuck | 81 GP |
| Travis Dermott 15′#34 | 29 pk | 348 GP |
581. Rodwin Dionicio38% NHL · 1.7y
| Colin Miller 12′#151 | 41 pk | 590 GP |
| Markus Nutivaara 15′#189 | 31 pk | 275 GP |
| Andrei Mironov 15′#101 | never stuck | 10 GP |
| Lucas Carlsson 16′#110 | never stuck | 73 GP |
| Veeti Vainio 15′#141 | never stuck | 0 GP |
608. Yegor Sidorov35% NHL · 1.2y
| Gemel Smith 12′#104 | never stuck | 91 GP |
| Jordan Martinook 12′#58 | 37 pk | 797 GP |
| Scott Kosmachuk 12′#70 | never stuck | 8 GP |
| Fabian Zetterlund 17′#63 | 46 pk | 329 GP |
| Ryan Kujawinski 13′#73 | never stuck | 0 GP |
666. Carey Terrance38% NHL · 1.6y
| Chandler Stephenson 12′#77 | 66 pk | 653 GP |
| Vaclav Karabacek 14′#49 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Valentin Zykov 13′#37 | never stuck | 55 GP |
| Remi Elie 13′#40 | 16 pk | 107 GP |
| Scott Kosmachuk 12′#70 | never stuck | 8 GP |
710. Tristan Luneau28% NHL · 1.3y
| Sean Durzi 18′#52 | 44 pk | 302 GP |
| Josh Brook 17′#56 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Madison Bowey 13′#53 | 26 pk | 158 GP |
| Reilly Walsh 17′#81 | never stuck | 1 GP |
| Cam Dineen 16′#68 | never stuck | 38 GP |
789. Connor Hvidston25% NHL · 1.1y
| Clark Bishop 14′#127 | never stuck | 53 GP |
| Paul Cotter 18′#115 | 27 pk | 296 GP |
| Axel Jonsson-Fjallby 16′#147 | never stuck | 99 GP |
| Mikhail Vorobyev 15′#104 | never stuck | 35 GP |
| Conor Garland 15′#123 | 65 pk | 556 GP |