Prospect Rankings

Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.

How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.

Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.

#	Player	Pos	League	Age	Org	Draft	P/GP	NHLe	P(NHL)	ETA	Upside band	Score
6	Nikita Klepov★	F	OHL	18.1	ANA	26′ #15	1.45	35.6	93%	2.1y @20.2	435794	59
32	Roger McQueen	F	NCAA	19.9	ANA	25′ #10	0.75	25.2	65%	2.2y @22.1	203571	37.3
38	Mathis Preston★	F	WHL	18.1	ANA*	26′ #50	0.93	22.8	65%	3.7y @21.8	03383	35.2
233	Noah Kosick	F	WHL	18	ANA*	26′ #192	0.83	20.4	47%	4y @22	01958	25.1
256	Rian Chudzinski	F	LHJMQ	18.6	ANA*	26′ #82	0.7	16.2	47%	3.5y @22.1	0357	24.3
351	Maxim Massé	F	LHJMQ	20.4	ANA*	24′ #66	1.62	37.2	45%	2.5y @22.9	01658	21.5
649	James Rieber	D	USHL	18.3	ANA*	26′ #210	0.18	3.6	35%	4.7y @23	0844	14.6
684	Tarin Smith	D	WHL	20.4	ANA*	24′ #79	1.09	26.9	40%	2.8y @23.2	0038	13.8
781	Eric Frossard	D	OHL	18.6	ANA*	26′ #146	0.27	6.8	35%	4.4y @23	0029	12.4
840	Brady Turko	F	WHL	18.9	ANA*	25′ #200	0.55	13.4	23%	4.6y @23.5	0046	11.5
932	Eric Nilson	F	NCAA	19.3	ANA*	25′ #45	0.31	10.6	28%	3.8y @23.1	0032	10.5
953	Ethan Procyszyn	F	OHL	20.1	ANA*	24′ #68	0.91	22.3	23%	3.5y @23.6	0034	10.2
1046	Emile Guite	F	LHJMQ	19.2	ANA*	25′ #159	1.1	25.3	15%	3.8y @23	0041	8.9
1138	Noah Read	F	OHL	19.6	ANA*	25′ #72	0.34	8.4	23%	5.4y @25	0031	7.7
1296	Darels Uljanskis	D	OHL	20	ANA*	24′ #214	0.62	15.2	12%	4.1y @24.1	0025	6.5
1314	Alexis Mathieu	D	LHJMQ	19.2	ANA*	25′ #136	0.23	5.2	17%	3.6y @22.8	0026	6.4
1366	Drew Schock	D	NCAA	19.5	ANA*	25′ #101	0.26	8.8	20%	5.1y @24.6	0025	5.9
1425	Alexandre Blais	F	NCAA	20.8	ANA*	24′ #100	0.5	16.8	10%	2.1y @22.9	0020	5.3

Who each prospect looks like

6. Nikita Klepov93% NHL · 2.1y

Clayton Keller 16′#7	91 pk	683 GP
Alex Nylander 16′#8	53 pk	126 GP
Mikhail Grigorenko 12′#12	31 pk	249 GP
Joel Farabee 18′#14	57 pk	497 GP
Curtis Lazar 13′#17	29 pk	617 GP

32. Roger McQueen65% NHL · 2.2y

Jake DeBrusk 15′#14	64 pk	628 GP
Vitali Kravtsov 18′#9	never stuck	64 GP
Michael McLeod 16′#12	35 pk	287 GP
Jack Roslovic 15′#25	58 pk	595 GP
Nick Ritchie 14′#10	48 pk	481 GP

38. Mathis Preston65% NHL · 3.7y

J.T. Compher 13′#35	52 pk	658 GP
Eeli Tolvanen 17′#30	46 pk	423 GP
Scott Laughton 12′#20	45 pk	745 GP
Jarrod Maidens 12′#82	never stuck	0 GP
Daniel Sprong 15′#46	57 pk	374 GP

233. Noah Kosick47% NHL · 4y

Jarrod Maidens 12′#82	never stuck	0 GP
Tyler Moy 15′#175	never stuck	0 GP
Hudson Fasching 13′#118	32 pk	175 GP
J.T. Compher 13′#35	52 pk	658 GP
Thomas Di Pauli 12′#100	never stuck	2 GP

256. Rian Chudzinski47% NHL · 3.5y

Jarrod Maidens 12′#82	never stuck	0 GP
Tyler Motte 13′#121	34 pk	455 GP
Shane Eiserman 14′#100	never stuck	0 GP
Alexandre Texier 17′#45	46 pk	283 GP
Thomas Di Pauli 12′#100	never stuck	2 GP

351. Maxim Massé45% NHL · 2.5y

Stelio Mattheos 17′#73	never stuck	0 GP
Michael Amadio 14′#90	35 pk	522 GP
Pavel Buchnevich 13′#75	87 pk	674 GP
Brendan Leipsic 12′#89	33 pk	187 GP
Cole Cassels 13′#85	never stuck	0 GP

649. James Rieber35% NHL · 4.7y

Gage Ausmus 13′#151	never stuck	0 GP
Connor Clifton 13′#133	24 pk	434 GP
Joakim Ryan 12′#198	16 pk	145 GP
Michael Downing 13′#97	never stuck	0 GP
Will Butcher 13′#123	45 pk	275 GP

684. Tarin Smith40% NHL · 2.8y

Joshua Mahura 16′#85	25 pk	278 GP
Calen Addison 18′#53	38 pk	152 GP
Mikey Anderson 17′#103	26 pk	425 GP
Madison Bowey 13′#53	26 pk	158 GP
Chad Krys 16′#45	never stuck	0 GP

781. Eric Frossard35% NHL · 4.4y

Connor Clifton 13′#133	24 pk	434 GP
Brian Cooper 12′#127	never stuck	0 GP
Gage Ausmus 13′#151	never stuck	0 GP
Will Butcher 13′#123	45 pk	275 GP
Michael Brodzinski 13′#141	never stuck	0 GP

840. Brady Turko23% NHL · 4.6y

Luke Johnson 13′#134	never stuck	32 GP
Dominik Kubalik 13′#191	56 pk	357 GP
Jonne Tammela 15′#118	never stuck	0 GP
Matthew Deblouw 12′#186	never stuck	0 GP
Shane Eiserman 14′#100	never stuck	0 GP

932. Eric Nilson28% NHL · 3.8y

Joni Ikonen 17′#58	never stuck	0 GP
Fabian Zetterlund 17′#63	46 pk	329 GP
Mackenzie MacEachern 12′#67	16 pk	131 GP
Connor Hurley 13′#38	never stuck	0 GP
David Gustafsson 18′#60	15 pk	149 GP

953. Ethan Procyszyn23% NHL · 3.5y

Ben Johnson 12′#90	never stuck	0 GP
Jordan Martinook 12′#58	37 pk	797 GP
Steven Hodges 12′#84	never stuck	0 GP
John Piccinich 14′#103	never stuck	0 GP
Dylan Sadowy 14′#81	never stuck	0 GP