Prospect Rankings

Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.

How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.
Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.
#PlayerPosLeagueAgeOrgDraftP/GPNHLeP(NHL)ETAUpside bandScore
6Nikita KlepovFOHL18.1ANA26′ #151.4535.693%2.1y @20.2
435794
59
781Eric FrossardDOHL18.6ANA*26′ #1460.276.835%4.4y @23
0029
12.4
953Ethan ProcyszynFOHL20.1ANA*24′ #680.9122.323%3.5y @23.6
0034
10.2
1138Noah ReadFOHL19.6ANA*25′ #720.348.423%5.4y @25
0031
7.7
1296Darels UljanskisDOHL20ANA*24′ #2140.6215.212%4.1y @24.1
0025
6.5
6. Nikita Klepov93% NHL · 2.1y
Clayton Keller 16#791 pk683 GP
Alex Nylander 16#853 pk126 GP
Mikhail Grigorenko 12#1231 pk249 GP
Joel Farabee 18#1457 pk497 GP
Curtis Lazar 13#1729 pk617 GP
781. Eric Frossard35% NHL · 4.4y
Connor Clifton 13#13324 pk434 GP
Brian Cooper 12#127never stuck0 GP
Gage Ausmus 13#151never stuck0 GP
Will Butcher 13#12345 pk275 GP
Michael Brodzinski 13#141never stuck0 GP
953. Ethan Procyszyn23% NHL · 3.5y
Ben Johnson 12#90never stuck0 GP
Jordan Martinook 12#5837 pk797 GP
Steven Hodges 12#84never stuck0 GP
John Piccinich 14#103never stuck0 GP
Dylan Sadowy 14#81never stuck0 GP
1138. Noah Read23% NHL · 5.4y
Tyrell Goulbourne 13#72never stuck11 GP
Lane Zablocki 17#79never stuck0 GP
Joey Dudek 14#152never stuck0 GP
Linus Lindstrom 16#96never stuck0 GP
Mackenzie MacEachern 12#6716 pk131 GP
1296. Darels Uljanskis12% NHL · 4.1y
Sami Niku 15#198never stuck67 GP
Colin Miller 12#15141 pk590 GP
Kyle Burroughs 13#19610 pk201 GP
Jeremy Davies 16#192never stuck23 GP
Benton Maass 17#182never stuck0 GP