Prospect Rankings
Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.
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How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.
Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.
| # | Player | Pos | League | Age | Org | Draft | P/GP | NHLe | P(NHL) | ETA | Upside band | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 256 | Rian Chudzinski | F | LHJMQ | 18.6 | ANA* | 26′ #82 | 0.7 | 16.2 | 47% | 3.5y @22.1 | 0357 | 24.3 |
| 351 | Maxim Massé | F | LHJMQ | 20.4 | ANA* | 24′ #66 | 1.62 | 37.2 | 45% | 2.5y @22.9 | 01658 | 21.5 |
| 1046 | Emile Guite | F | LHJMQ | 19.2 | ANA* | 25′ #159 | 1.1 | 25.3 | 15% | 3.8y @23 | 0041 | 8.9 |
| 1314 | Alexis Mathieu | D | LHJMQ | 19.2 | ANA* | 25′ #136 | 0.23 | 5.2 | 17% | 3.6y @22.8 | 0026 | 6.4 |
Who each prospect looks like
256. Rian Chudzinski47% NHL · 3.5y
| Jarrod Maidens 12′#82 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Tyler Motte 13′#121 | 34 pk | 455 GP |
| Shane Eiserman 14′#100 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Alexandre Texier 17′#45 | 46 pk | 283 GP |
| Thomas Di Pauli 12′#100 | never stuck | 2 GP |
351. Maxim Massé45% NHL · 2.5y
| Stelio Mattheos 17′#73 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Michael Amadio 14′#90 | 35 pk | 522 GP |
| Pavel Buchnevich 13′#75 | 87 pk | 674 GP |
| Brendan Leipsic 12′#89 | 33 pk | 187 GP |
| Cole Cassels 13′#85 | never stuck | 0 GP |
1046. Emile Guite15% NHL · 3.8y
| Vinnie Hinostroza 12′#169 | 44 pk | 477 GP |
| Dominic Toninato 12′#126 | 20 pk | 197 GP |
| Brian Pinho 13′#174 | never stuck | 2 GP |
| John McCarron 12′#153 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Jacob McGrew 17′#159 | never stuck | 0 GP |
1314. Alexis Mathieu17% NHL · 3.6y
| John Gilmour 13′#198 | never stuck | 37 GP |
| Tyler Nanne 14′#142 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Matt Benning 12′#175 | 26 pk | 465 GP |
| Matt Roy 15′#194 | 29 pk | 517 GP |
| Anton Cederholm 13′#145 | never stuck | 0 GP |