Prospect Rankings

Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.

How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.

Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.

#	Player	Pos	League	Age	Org	Draft	P/GP	NHLe	P(NHL)	ETA	Upside band	Score
6	Nikita Klepov★	F	OHL	18.1	ANA	26′ #15	1.45	35.6	93%	2.1y @20.2	435794	59
26	Roger McQueen	F	NCAA	19.9	ANA	25′ #10	0.75	25.2	65%	2.2y @22.1	203571	37.3
32	Mathis Preston★	F	WHL	18.1	ANA*	26′ #50	0.93	22.8	65%	3.7y @21.8	03383	35.2
56	Lucas Pettersson	F	SHLPRO	20.3	ANA*	24′ #35	0.49	23.6	68%	2.3y @22.6	183068	32.3
81	Austin Burnevik	F	NCAAPRO	21.6	ANA*	24′ #182	1.06	35.5	62%	1.4y @23	153358	30.6
167	Anton Wahlberg	F	AHLPRO	21.1	ANA	23′ #39	0.54	19.6	62%	1.7y @22.8	122955	27.2
220	Noah Kosick	F	WHL	18	ANA*	26′ #192	0.83	20.4	47%	4y @22	01958	25.1
242	Rian Chudzinski	F	LHJMQ	18.6	ANA*	26′ #82	0.7	16.2	47%	3.5y @22.1	0357	24.3
310	Maxim Massé	F	LHJMQ	20.4	ANA*	24′ #66	1.62	37.2	45%	2.5y @22.9	01658	21.5
421	Nathan Gaucher	F	AHLPRO	22.8	ANA	22′ #22	0.47	16.9	45%	0.8y @23.6	01637	17.6
437	Nico Myatovic	F	AHLPRO	21.7	ANA	23′ #33	0.27	9.7	47%	1.3y @23	01237	17.2
500	Yegor Sidorov	F	AHLPRO	22.2	ANA*	23′ #85	0.43	15.4	35%	1.2y @23.4	01037	15.2
539	Carey Terrance	F	AHLPRO	21.3	ANA*	23′ #59	0.25	9	38%	1.6y @22.9	0037	14.2
620	Connor Hvidston	F	NCAAPRO	21.9	ANA*	22′ #139	0.5	16.8	25%	1.1y @23	0037	12.2
650	Brady Turko	F	WHL	18.9	ANA*	25′ #200	0.55	13.4	23%	4.6y @23.5	0046	11.5
691	Eric Nilson	F	NCAA	19.3	ANA*	25′ #45	0.31	10.6	28%	3.8y @23.1	0032	10.5
701	Ethan Procyszyn	F	OHL	20.1	ANA*	24′ #68	0.91	22.3	23%	3.5y @23.6	0034	10.2
734	Coulson Pitre	F	AHLPRO	21.7	ANA*	23′ #65	0.2	7.2	25%	1.7y @23.4	0028	9.1
740	Emile Guite	F	LHJMQ	19.2	ANA*	25′ #159	1.1	25.3	15%	3.8y @23	0041	8.9
787	Noah Read	F	OHL	19.6	ANA*	25′ #72	0.34	8.4	23%	5.4y @25	0031	7.7
974	Alexandre Blais	F	NCAA	20.8	ANA*	24′ #100	0.5	16.8	10%	2.1y @22.9	0020	5.3
1241	Sean Tschigerl	F	NCAAPRO	23.4	ANA*	21′ #130	0.37	12.5	10%	2.4y @25.8	000	2.9
1341	Kyle Kukkonen	F	NCAAPRO	23.8	ANA*	21′ #162	0.21	7.2	5%	1.6y @25.4	000	1.6

Who each prospect looks like

6. Nikita Klepov93% NHL · 2.1y

Clayton Keller 16′#7	91 pk	683 GP
Alex Nylander 16′#8	53 pk	126 GP
Mikhail Grigorenko 12′#12	31 pk	249 GP
Joel Farabee 18′#14	57 pk	497 GP
Curtis Lazar 13′#17	29 pk	617 GP

26. Roger McQueen65% NHL · 2.2y

Jake DeBrusk 15′#14	64 pk	628 GP
Vitali Kravtsov 18′#9	never stuck	64 GP
Michael McLeod 16′#12	35 pk	287 GP
Jack Roslovic 15′#25	58 pk	595 GP
Nick Ritchie 14′#10	48 pk	481 GP

32. Mathis Preston65% NHL · 3.7y

J.T. Compher 13′#35	52 pk	658 GP
Eeli Tolvanen 17′#30	46 pk	423 GP
Scott Laughton 12′#20	45 pk	745 GP
Jarrod Maidens 12′#82	never stuck	0 GP
Daniel Sprong 15′#46	57 pk	374 GP

56. Lucas Pettersson68% NHL · 2.3y

Vladislav Kamenev 14′#42	never stuck	66 GP
Tanner Pearson 12′#30	53 pk	778 GP
Jesse Ylonen 18′#35	35 pk	111 GP
Bo Groulx 18′#54	never stuck	78 GP
Adrian Kempe 14′#29	80 pk	711 GP

81. Austin Burnevik62% NHL · 1.4y

Jacob Peterson 17′#132	never stuck	83 GP
Alan Quine 13′#166	24 pk	106 GP
Riley Damiani 18′#137	never stuck	7 GP
Connor Brown 12′#156	51 pk	676 GP
Riley Barber 12′#167	never stuck	16 GP

167. Anton Wahlberg62% NHL · 1.7y

Rasmus Asplund 16′#33	32 pk	189 GP
Ivan Barbashev 14′#33	61 pk	667 GP
Nikita Scherbak 14′#26	never stuck	37 GP
Ryan McLeod 18′#40	55 pk	379 GP
Adam Erne 13′#33	36 pk	424 GP

220. Noah Kosick47% NHL · 4y

Jarrod Maidens 12′#82	never stuck	0 GP
Tyler Moy 15′#175	never stuck	0 GP
Hudson Fasching 13′#118	32 pk	175 GP
J.T. Compher 13′#35	52 pk	658 GP
Thomas Di Pauli 12′#100	never stuck	2 GP

242. Rian Chudzinski47% NHL · 3.5y

Jarrod Maidens 12′#82	never stuck	0 GP
Tyler Motte 13′#121	34 pk	455 GP
Shane Eiserman 14′#100	never stuck	0 GP
Alexandre Texier 17′#45	46 pk	283 GP
Thomas Di Pauli 12′#100	never stuck	2 GP

310. Maxim Massé45% NHL · 2.5y

Stelio Mattheos 17′#73	never stuck	0 GP
Michael Amadio 14′#90	35 pk	522 GP
Pavel Buchnevich 13′#75	87 pk	674 GP
Brendan Leipsic 12′#89	33 pk	187 GP
Cole Cassels 13′#85	never stuck	0 GP

421. Nathan Gaucher45% NHL · 0.8y

Pontus Aberg 12′#37	42 pk	132 GP
Morgan Klimchuk 13′#28	never stuck	1 GP
Nicolas Kerdiles 12′#36	never stuck	3 GP
Pascal Laberge 16′#36	never stuck	0 GP
Jayce Hawryluk 14′#32	never stuck	98 GP

437. Nico Myatovic47% NHL · 1.3y

Remi Elie 13′#40	16 pk	107 GP
Phillip Di Giuseppe 12′#38	34 pk	302 GP
Valentin Zykov 13′#37	never stuck	55 GP
Vaclav Karabacek 14′#49	never stuck	0 GP
Aleksi Heponiemi 17′#40	never stuck	25 GP

500. Yegor Sidorov35% NHL · 1.2y

Gemel Smith 12′#104	never stuck	91 GP
Jordan Martinook 12′#58	37 pk	797 GP
Scott Kosmachuk 12′#70	never stuck	8 GP
Fabian Zetterlund 17′#63	46 pk	329 GP
Ryan Kujawinski 13′#73	never stuck	0 GP