Prospect Rankings

Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.

How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.

Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.

#	Player	Pos	League	Age	Org	Draft	P/GP	NHLe	P(NHL)	ETA	Upside band	Score
59	Stian Solberg	D	AHLPRO	20.6	ANA	24′ #23	0.34	12.2	60%	2.1y @22.7	101942	20.1
85	Lasse Boelius	D	LIIGAPRO	19.4	ANA*	25′ #60	0.2	8.9	53%	3.1y @22.5	01832	17.1
103	Rodwin Dionicio	D	NLPRO	22.4	ANA*	23′ #129	0.55	24.9	38%	1.7y @24.1	01341	15.8
123	James Rieber	D	USHL	18.3	ANA*	26′ #210	0.18	3.6	35%	4.7y @23	0844	14.6
134	Tarin Smith	D	WHL	20.4	ANA*	24′ #79	1.09	26.9	40%	2.8y @23.2	0038	13.8
145	Tristan Luneau	D	AHLPRO	22.6	ANA*	22′ #53	0.59	21.1	28%	1.3y @23.9	0041	13.3
166	Eric Frossard	D	OHL	18.6	ANA*	26′ #146	0.27	6.8	35%	4.4y @23	0029	12.4
183	Noah Warren	D	AHLPRO	22.1	ANA	22′ #42	0.2	7.1	40%	0.7y @22.8	0029	11.8
299	Vojtech Port	D	CZECHIAPRO	21	ANA*	23′ #161	0.05	2.1	30%	2.9y @23.9	0026	9
401	Darels Uljanskis	D	OHL	20	ANA*	24′ #214	0.62	15.2	12%	4.1y @24.1	0025	6.5
405	Tyson Hinds	D	AHLPRO	23.4	ANA	21′ #76	0.31	11.1	15%	2.4y @25.8	0024	6.4
407	Alexis Mathieu	D	LHJMQ	19.2	ANA*	25′ #136	0.23	5.2	17%	3.6y @22.8	0026	6.4
431	Drew Schock	D	NCAA	19.5	ANA*	25′ #101	0.26	8.8	20%	5.1y @24.6	0025	5.9

Who each prospect looks like

59. Stian Solberg60% NHL · 2.1y

Gustav Lindstrom 17′#38	18 pk	174 GP
Ryan Pulock 13′#15	42 pk	636 GP
Matthew Finn 12′#35	never stuck	0 GP
Robert Hagg 13′#41	22 pk	345 GP
Timothy Liljegren 17′#17	34 pk	311 GP

85. Lasse Boelius53% NHL · 3.1y

Martin Fehérváry 18′#46	27 pk	380 GP
Jacob Cederholm 16′#97	never stuck	0 GP
Alexander Romanov 18′#38	26 pk	369 GP
Gabriel Carlsson 15′#29	never stuck	81 GP
Travis Dermott 15′#34	29 pk	348 GP

103. Rodwin Dionicio38% NHL · 1.7y

Colin Miller 12′#151	41 pk	590 GP
Markus Nutivaara 15′#189	31 pk	275 GP
Andrei Mironov 15′#101	never stuck	10 GP
Lucas Carlsson 16′#110	never stuck	73 GP
Veeti Vainio 15′#141	never stuck	0 GP

123. James Rieber35% NHL · 4.7y

Gage Ausmus 13′#151	never stuck	0 GP
Connor Clifton 13′#133	24 pk	434 GP
Joakim Ryan 12′#198	16 pk	145 GP
Michael Downing 13′#97	never stuck	0 GP
Will Butcher 13′#123	45 pk	275 GP

134. Tarin Smith40% NHL · 2.8y

Joshua Mahura 16′#85	25 pk	278 GP
Calen Addison 18′#53	38 pk	152 GP
Mikey Anderson 17′#103	26 pk	425 GP
Madison Bowey 13′#53	26 pk	158 GP
Chad Krys 16′#45	never stuck	0 GP

145. Tristan Luneau28% NHL · 1.3y

Sean Durzi 18′#52	44 pk	302 GP
Josh Brook 17′#56	never stuck	0 GP
Madison Bowey 13′#53	26 pk	158 GP
Reilly Walsh 17′#81	never stuck	1 GP
Cam Dineen 16′#68	never stuck	38 GP

166. Eric Frossard35% NHL · 4.4y

Connor Clifton 13′#133	24 pk	434 GP
Brian Cooper 12′#127	never stuck	0 GP
Gage Ausmus 13′#151	never stuck	0 GP
Will Butcher 13′#123	45 pk	275 GP
Michael Brodzinski 13′#141	never stuck	0 GP

183. Noah Warren40% NHL · 0.7y

Roland McKeown 14′#50	never stuck	16 GP
Matthew Spencer 15′#44	never stuck	0 GP
Josh Jacobs 14′#41	never stuck	3 GP
Lucas Johansen 16′#28	never stuck	9 GP
Bode Wilde 18′#41	never stuck	0 GP

299. Vojtech Port30% NHL · 2.9y

Tyler Ganly 13′#156	never stuck	0 GP
Simon Bourque 15′#177	never stuck	0 GP
Anton Lindholm 14′#144	never stuck	66 GP
Maxime Lajoie 16′#133	never stuck	77 GP
Sebastian Walfridsson 17′#151	never stuck	0 GP

401. Darels Uljanskis12% NHL · 4.1y

Sami Niku 15′#198	never stuck	67 GP
Colin Miller 12′#151	41 pk	590 GP
Kyle Burroughs 13′#196	10 pk	201 GP
Jeremy Davies 16′#192	never stuck	23 GP
Benton Maass 17′#182	never stuck	0 GP

405. Tyson Hinds15% NHL · 2.4y

Ty Emberson 18′#73	27 pk	178 GP
Jacob Ragnarsson 18′#70	never stuck	0 GP
Kasper Kotkansalo 17′#71	never stuck	0 GP
Michael Prapavessis 14′#105	never stuck	0 GP
Cam Dineen 16′#68	never stuck	38 GP

407. Alexis Mathieu17% NHL · 3.6y

John Gilmour 13′#198	never stuck	37 GP
Tyler Nanne 14′#142	never stuck	0 GP
Matt Benning 12′#175	26 pk	465 GP
Matt Roy 15′#194	29 pk	517 GP
Anton Cederholm 13′#145	never stuck	0 GP