Projection comparison
Every public projection on the site, beside ours. Consensus is the average of the outside lists that carry a player; vs field is our number minus that, so a positive figure is a player we are alone on. Spread is how far the outside lists are from each other, which is a different question from whether they agree with us.
Per game divides each list by its OWN games projection, which is where most of the disagreement on this page actually lives: two sources can agree on the points and differ completely on whether he plays. A blank is a blank — a source that does not carry a player shows nothing rather than a zero. Sources are read from the same table the draft workbook blends from, so anything added there appears here too.
| Player | Tm | Pos | 2025-26 | Ours▾ | Daily Faceoff | LineupExperts | DtZ | Consensus | vs field | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Robertson | DAL | L | 96 | 97.7 | 92.0 | 94.0 | 94.0 | 93.3 | +4.4 | 2.0 |
| Kyle Connor | WPG | L | 92 | 90.4 | 87.0 | 86.0 | 86.0 | 86.3 | +4.1 | 1.0 |
| Matt Boldy | MIN | L | 85 | 87.2 | 84.0 | 84.0 | 83.0 | 83.7 | +3.5 | 1.0 |
| Kirill Kaprizov | MIN | L | 89 | 86.9 | 91.0 | 99.0 | 97.0 | 95.7 | -8.8 | 8.0 |
| Lucas Raymond | DET | L | 76 | 84.8 | 79.0 | 73.0 | 79.0 | 77.0 | +7.8 | 6.0 |
| Brandon Hagel | TBL | L | 74 | 84.5 | 80.0 | 93.0 | 78.0 | 83.7 | +0.8 | 15.0 |
| Artemi Panarin | LAK | L | 84 | 84.2 | 88.0 | 87.0 | 88.0 | 87.7 | -3.5 | 1.0 |
| Jesper Bratt | NJD | L | 71 | 79.3 | 87.0 | 79.0 | 78.0 | 81.3 | -2.0 | 9.0 |
| Matthew Tkachuk | FLA | L | 34 | 79.2 | 74.0 | 81.0 | 73.0 | 76.0 | +3.2 | 8.0 |
| Brady Tkachuk | FLA | L | 59 | 77.0 | 71.0 | 65.0 | 65.0 | 67.0 | +10.0 | 6.0 |
| Juraj Slafkovský | MTL | L | 73 | 75.6 | 71.0 | 69.0 | 67.0 | 69.0 | +6.6 | 4.0 |
| Filip Forsberg | NSH | L | 75 | 72.4 | 79.0 | 72.0 | 76.0 | 75.7 | -3.3 | 7.0 |
| Cutter Gauthier | ANA | L | 69 | 69.6 | 72.0 | 72.0 | 70.0 | 71.3 | -1.7 | 2.0 |
| Matthew Knies | TOR | L | 66 | 68.1 | 59.0 | 65.0 | 63.0 | 62.3 | +5.8 | 6.0 |
| Nikolaj Ehlers | CAR | L | 71 | 65.7 | 67.0 | 65.0 | 66.0 | 66.0 | -0.3 | 2.0 |
| William Eklund | OTT | L | 53 | 63.6 | 58.0 | 58.0 | 57.0 | 57.7 | +5.9 | 1.0 |
| Kevin Fiala | LAK | L | 40 | 59.1 | 57.0 | 60.0 | 65.0 | 60.7 | -1.6 | 8.0 |
| Zach Hyman | EDM | L | 52 | 58.5 | 62.0 | 63.0 | 58.0 | 61.0 | -2.5 | 5.0 |
| Alexis Lafrenière | NYR | L | 57 | 58.1 | 60.0 | 63.0 | 56.0 | 59.7 | -1.6 | 7.0 |
| Dylan Holloway | STL | L | 51 | 57.4 | 63.0 | 74.0 | 58.0 | 65.0 | -7.6 | 16.0 |
| Carter Verhaeghe | FLA | L | 55 | 57.3 | 58.0 | 48.0 | 59.0 | 55.0 | +2.3 | 11.0 |
| Jared McCann | SEA | L | 40 | 56.3 | 55.0 | 61.0 | 61.0 | 59.0 | -2.7 | 6.0 |
| Brad Marchand | FLA | L | 54 | 55.5 | 56.0 | 49.0 | 58.0 | 54.3 | +1.2 | 9.0 |
| Ivan Barbashev | VGK | L | 61 | 55.2 | 57.0 | 54.0 | 51.0 | 54.0 | +1.2 | 6.0 |
| Aliaksei Protas | WSH | L | 52 | 53.0 | 52.0 | 55.0 | 56.0 | 54.3 | -1.3 | 4.0 |
| Gavin McKenna | TOR | L | — | 53.0 | 45.0 | 54.0 | 54.0 | 51.0 | +2.0 | 9.0 |
| Pavel Buchnevich | STL | L | 48 | 51.7 | 50.0 | 45.0 | 52.0 | 49.0 | +2.7 | 7.0 |
| Alex Ovechkin | WSH | L | 64 | 51.5 | 58.0 | 53.0 | 69.0 | 60.0 | -8.5 | 16.0 |
| Tyler Bertuzzi | CHI | L | 58 | 51.2 | 46.0 | 49.0 | 52.0 | 49.0 | +2.2 | 6.0 |
| Artturi Lehkonen | COL | L | 48 | 48.6 | 46.0 | 50.0 | 48.0 | 48.0 | +0.6 | 4.0 |
| Mason Marchment | SJS | L | 45 | 48.1 | 48.0 | 50.0 | 48.0 | 48.7 | -0.6 | 2.0 |
| Zach Benson | BUF | L | 43 | 45.4 | 45.0 | 50.0 | 49.0 | 48.0 | -2.6 | 5.0 |
| Chris Kreider | ANA | L | 50 | 44.1 | 48.0 | 47.0 | 47.0 | 47.3 | -3.2 | 1.0 |
| Viktor Arvidsson | DET | L | 54 | 44.0 | 46.0 | 63.0 | 42.0 | 50.3 | -6.3 | 21.0 |
| Jonathan Huberdeau | CGY | L | 25 | 43.8 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 48.0 | 49.3 | -5.5 | 2.0 |
| Jake DeBrusk | VAN | L | 42 | 43.6 | 45.0 | 42.0 | 48.0 | 45.0 | -1.4 | 6.0 |
| Anders Lee | UTA | L | 42 | 41.7 | 43.0 | 36.0 | 41.0 | 40.0 | +1.7 | 7.0 |
| Ivar Stenberg | SJS | L | — | 41.0 | 38.0 | 49.0 | 41.0 | 42.7 | -1.7 | 11.0 |
| Taylor Hall | CAR | L | 48 | 40.5 | — | 46.0 | 43.0 | 44.5 | -4.0 | 3.0 |
| Cole Perfetti | WPG | L | 32 | 40.5 | 47.0 | 56.0 | 46.0 | 49.7 | -9.2 | 10.0 |
| Will Cuylle | NYR | L | 38 | 40.1 | 44.0 | 42.0 | 45.0 | 43.7 | -3.6 | 3.0 |
| Jason Zucker | BUF | L | 45 | 39.8 | 47.0 | 49.0 | 50.0 | 48.7 | -8.9 | 3.0 |
| Jake Neighbours | STL | L | 36 | 39.8 | 44.0 | 47.0 | 43.0 | 44.7 | -4.9 | 4.0 |
| Trevor Moore | LAK | L | 32 | 38.6 | — | 34.0 | 39.0 | 36.5 | +2.1 | 5.0 |
| Emmitt Finnie | DET | L | 30 | 38.0 | 37.0 | 32.0 | 41.0 | 36.7 | +1.3 | 9.0 |
| Matias Maccelli | NYI | L | 39 | 37.0 | — | 40.0 | 37.0 | 38.5 | -1.5 | 3.0 |
| Dmitri Voronkov | CBJ | L | 32 | 36.3 | — | 38.0 | 33.0 | 35.5 | +0.8 | 5.0 |
| Blake Coleman | MIN | L | 35 | 35.7 | 44.0 | 37.0 | 41.0 | 40.7 | -5.0 | 7.0 |
| Jamie Benn | DAL | L | 36 | 35.4 | — | 39.0 | 41.0 | 40.0 | -4.6 | 2.0 |
| Gabriel Landeskog | COL | L | 35 | 35.1 | 33.0 | 49.0 | 47.0 | 43.0 | -7.9 | 16.0 |
| Bobby McMann | SEA | L | 46 | 35.1 | 44.0 | 48.0 | 45.0 | 45.7 | -10.6 | 4.0 |
| Fabian Zetterlund | OTT | L | 33 | 34.9 | — | 33.0 | 34.0 | 33.5 | +1.4 | 1.0 |
| Lawson Crouse | UTA | L | 44 | 34.4 | 34.0 | 41.0 | 39.0 | 38.0 | -3.6 | 7.0 |
| Kiefer Sherwood | SJS | L | 36 | 33.2 | 38.0 | 35.0 | 42.0 | 38.3 | -5.1 | 7.0 |
| Joel Farabee | CGY | L | 38 | 32.9 | — | 34.0 | 38.0 | 36.0 | -3.1 | 4.0 |
| Andre Burakovsky | OTT | L | 33 | 31.1 | — | 36.0 | 37.0 | 36.5 | -5.4 | 1.0 |
| Andrei Kuzmenko | PIT | L | 25 | 30.8 | — | 31.0 | 46.0 | 38.5 | -7.7 | 15.0 |
| Igor Chernyshov | SJS | L | 19 | 30.8 | 42.0 | 47.0 | 48.0 | 45.7 | -14.9 | 6.0 |
| Nick Robertson | PIT | L | 32 | 29.6 | — | 34.0 | 33.0 | 33.5 | -3.9 | 1.0 |
| Alex Killorn | ANA | L | 33 | 29.0 | — | 27.0 | 39.0 | 33.0 | -4.0 | 12.0 |
| Emil Heineman | NYI | L | 31 | 27.8 | — | 33.0 | 38.0 | 35.5 | -7.7 | 5.0 |
| Ross Colton | NSH | L | 24 | 27.5 | — | 34.0 | 36.0 | 35.0 | -7.5 | 2.0 |
| Michael Carcone | UTA | L | 31 | 26.8 | — | 25.0 | 27.0 | 26.0 | +0.8 | 2.0 |
| Jordan Martinook | CAR | L | 29 | 26.4 | — | 27.0 | 33.0 | 30.0 | -3.6 | 6.0 |
| Alex Iafallo | WPG | L | 29 | 26.2 | — | 20.0 | 30.0 | 25.0 | +1.2 | 10.0 |
| Bradly Nadeau | CAR | L | 3 | 24.0 | — | 22.0 | — | 22.0 | +2.0 | — |
| Drew O'Connor | VAN | L | 29 | 23.8 | — | 25.0 | 32.0 | 28.5 | -4.7 | 7.0 |
| Warren Foegele | OTT | L | 17 | 23.4 | — | 26.0 | 34.0 | 30.0 | -6.6 | 8.0 |
| A.J. Greer | ANA | L | 32 | 22.3 | — | 23.0 | 23.0 | 23.0 | -0.7 | 0.0 |
| Anthony Duclair | NYI | L | 27 | 21.7 | — | 23.0 | 25.0 | 24.0 | -2.3 | 2.0 |
| Sandis Vilmanis | FLA | L | 5 | 21.0 | — | — | 17.0 | 17.0 | +4.0 | — |
| Alexandre Texier | MTL | L | 21 | 20.1 | — | 28.0 | 20.0 | 24.0 | -3.9 | 8.0 |
| Nick Lardis | CHI | L | 15 | 20.1 | 25.0 | 30.0 | 34.0 | 29.7 | -9.6 | 9.0 |
| Andrew Mangiapane | CHI | L | 16 | 19.5 | — | 18.0 | 22.0 | 20.0 | -0.5 | 4.0 |
| Liam Ohgren | VAN | L | 18 | 18.7 | — | 27.0 | 28.0 | 27.5 | -8.8 | 1.0 |
| Tye Kartye | NYR | L | 22 | 18.2 | — | 24.0 | 24.0 | 24.0 | -5.8 | 0.0 |
| Tanner Jeannot | BOS | L | 22 | 17.6 | — | 19.0 | 20.0 | 19.5 | -1.9 | 1.0 |
| Nick Cousins | OTT | L | 23 | 17.3 | — | 20.0 | 24.0 | 22.0 | -4.7 | 4.0 |
| Eric Robinson | CAR | L | 18 | 16.6 | — | 20.0 | 25.0 | 22.5 | -5.9 | 5.0 |
| Alex Bump | PHI | L | 9 | 16.0 | — | 35.0 | 38.0 | 36.5 | -20.5 | 3.0 |
| Adam Sykora | NYR | L | 4 | 15.0 | — | 12.0 | — | 12.0 | +3.0 | — |
| Dakota Joshua | TOR | L | 18 | 14.8 | — | 21.0 | 28.0 | 24.5 | -9.7 | 7.0 |
| Ondrej Palat | NYI | L | 15 | 14.7 | — | 16.0 | 25.0 | 20.5 | -5.8 | 9.0 |
| William Carrier | CAR | L | 18 | 14.1 | — | 17.0 | 20.0 | 18.5 | -4.4 | 3.0 |
| Paul Cotter | VAN | L | 15 | 14.0 | — | 15.0 | 22.0 | 18.5 | -4.5 | 7.0 |
| Cole Koepke | WPG | L | 17 | 13.1 | — | 17.0 | 18.0 | 17.5 | -4.4 | 1.0 |
| Trevor Connelly | VGK | L | — | 13.1 | — | 23.0 | — | 23.0 | -9.9 | — |
| Samuel Honzek | CGY | L | 4 | 13.0 | — | 21.0 | 23.0 | 22.0 | -9.0 | 2.0 |
| Marcus Foligno | MIN | L | 13 | 10.9 | — | 19.0 | 25.0 | 22.0 | -11.1 | 6.0 |
| Lukas Reichel | BOS | L | 8 | 10.3 | — | 16.0 | 27.0 | 21.5 | -11.2 | 11.0 |
| Miles Wood | CBJ | L | 14 | 10.2 | — | 19.0 | 21.0 | 20.0 | -9.8 | 2.0 |
| Cole Reinhardt | FLA | L | 15 | 10.0 | — | 17.0 | 18.0 | 17.5 | -7.5 | 1.0 |
| Beck Malenstyn | BUF | L | 14 | 8.7 | — | 12.0 | 17.0 | 14.5 | -5.8 | 5.0 |
| Jeffrey Viel | TBL | L | 10 | 8.2 | — | 15.0 | 21.0 | 18.0 | -9.8 | 6.0 |
| Isaac Howard | EDM | L | 5 | 7.4 | 27.0 | 21.0 | 29.0 | 25.7 | -18.3 | 8.0 |
| Jordan Greenway | CHI | L | 6 | 7.1 | — | 16.0 | 20.0 | 18.0 | -10.9 | 4.0 |
| Reid Schaefer | NSH | L | 8 | 7.0 | — | 14.0 | 20.0 | 17.0 | -10.0 | 6.0 |
| Cole Eiserman | NYI | L | — | 6.9 | — | 14.0 | — | 14.0 | -7.1 | — |
| Jakob Pelletier | TBL | L | 0 | 6.7 | — | 29.0 | — | 29.0 | -22.3 | — |
| Daniil But | UTA | L | 7 | 6.4 | — | 10.0 | 30.0 | 20.0 | -13.6 | 20.0 |
| Zachary L'Heureux | COL | L | 5 | 6.3 | — | 19.0 | 26.0 | 22.5 | -16.2 | 7.0 |
| Ryan Lomberg | CBJ | L | 9 | 6.0 | — | 12.0 | 11.0 | 11.5 | -5.5 | 1.0 |
| Andrew Cristall | WSH | L | — | 5.7 | — | 23.0 | — | 23.0 | -17.3 | — |
| Conor Sheary | BUF | L | 18 | 5.5 | — | 14.0 | 25.0 | 19.5 | -14.0 | 11.0 |
| Danton Heinen | CBJ | L | 12 | 5.0 | — | 20.0 | 22.0 | 21.0 | -16.0 | 2.0 |
| Ilya Protas | WSH | L | 4 | 5.0 | 39.0 | 55.0 | 30.0 | 41.3 | -36.3 | 25.0 |
| Sonny Milano | WSH | L | 8 | 4.9 | — | 24.0 | — | 24.0 | -19.1 | — |
| Elmer Soderblom | PIT | L | 13 | 4.6 | — | 24.0 | 23.0 | 23.5 | -18.9 | 1.0 |
| Jeff Malott | ANA | L | 9 | 4.0 | — | 10.0 | 12.0 | 11.0 | -7.0 | 2.0 |
| Quentin Musty | SJS | L | — | 3.9 | — | 13.0 | — | 13.0 | -9.1 | — |
| Joel Kiviranta | DAL | L | 9 | 3.4 | — | 13.0 | 18.0 | 15.5 | -12.1 | 5.0 |
| Viljami Marjala | EDM | L | — | 3.0 | — | 9.0 | — | 9.0 | -6.0 | — |
| Nils Hoglander | NSH | L | 5 | 2.7 | — | 22.0 | 23.0 | 22.5 | -19.8 | 1.0 |
| Dylan Duke | TBL | L | 0 | 2.7 | — | 13.0 | — | 13.0 | -10.3 | — |
| Nathan Walker | STL | L | 11 | 2.6 | — | 14.0 | 20.0 | 17.0 | -14.4 | 6.0 |
| Ivan Miroshnichenko | WSH | L | 3 | 2.6 | — | 16.0 | — | 16.0 | -13.4 | — |
| Colby Barlow | WPG | L | — | 2.6 | — | 14.0 | — | 14.0 | -11.4 | — |
| Ross Johnston | STL | L | 14 | 2.5 | — | 10.0 | 10.0 | 10.0 | -7.5 | 0.0 |
| Brandon Tanev | UTA | L | 3 | 2.1 | — | 11.0 | 13.0 | 12.0 | -9.9 | 2.0 |
| Noah Gregor | WPG | L | 9 | 2.1 | — | 10.0 | 11.0 | 10.5 | -8.4 | 1.0 |
| Rutger McGroarty | PIT | L | 6 | 2.1 | — | 22.0 | 27.0 | 24.5 | -22.4 | 5.0 |
| Landon Slaggert | CHI | L | 7 | 1.8 | — | 10.0 | 17.0 | 13.5 | -11.7 | 7.0 |
| Arshdeep Bains | VAN | L | 5 | 1.3 | — | 10.0 | — | 10.0 | -8.7 | — |
| Mikael Pyyhtia | CBJ | L | 1 | 1.2 | — | 10.0 | — | 10.0 | -8.8 | — |
| Max Jones | EDM | L | 5 | 0.9 | — | 11.0 | — | 11.0 | -10.1 | — |
| Brett Berard | MTL | L | 0 | 0.7 | — | 19.0 | — | 19.0 | -18.3 | — |
| Joshua Roy | MTL | L | 0 | 0.7 | — | 20.0 | — | 20.0 | -19.3 | — |
| Michael Pezzetta | TOR | L | 0 | 0.6 | — | 7.0 | — | 7.0 | -6.4 | — |
| Jonah Gadjovich | FLA | L | 3 | 0.6 | — | 9.0 | — | 9.0 | -8.4 | — |
| Nicolas Deslauriers | CAR | L | 2 | 0.3 | — | 5.0 | 10.0 | 7.5 | -7.2 | 5.0 |
| Kurtis MacDermid | OTT | L | 1 | 0.2 | — | 1.0 | 8.0 | 4.5 | -4.3 | 7.0 |
Showing 131 of 131. Every figure is the source's own published projection, matched to our player list; nothing is scaled, pro-rated or inferred.