Matvei Michkov
R2026-27 projection
78
GP
24
G
37
A
61
Pts
17
PPP
182
SOG
33
Hits
22
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 32Expected 61Ceiling 87
Goals
Floor 13Expected 24Ceiling 33
Assists
Floor 19Expected 37Ceiling 53
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 12.1% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±5.6 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 62 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 78 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±10.4 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.