Tomas Hertl
C2026-27 projection
74
GP
26
G
31
A
57
Pts
22
PPP
169
SOG
98
Hits
45
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 31Expected 57Ceiling 83
Goals
Floor 15Expected 26Ceiling 37
Assists
Floor 16Expected 31Ceiling 46
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 14.4% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±5.8 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 59 (injury), ceiling 80 (full health) vs 74 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±8.7 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
NHL seasons
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | PPP | PIM | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 82 | 24 | 34 | 58 | 202 | 25 | 39 | -17 |
| 2024-25 | 73 | 32 | 29 | 61 | 177 | 23 | 20 | -3 |
| 2023-24 | 54 | 17 | 21 | 38 | 124 | 11 | 22 | -28 |
| 2022-23 | 79 | 22 | 41 | 63 | 183 | 22 | 42 | -36 |
| 2021-22 | 82 | 30 | 34 | 64 | 205 | 30 | -9 | |
| 2020-21 | 50 | 19 | 24 | 43 | 112 | 27 | 1 | |
| 2019-20 | 48 | 16 | 20 | 36 | 117 | 16 | -18 | |
| 2018-19 | 77 | 35 | 39 | 74 | 176 | 18 | 5 | |
| 2017-18 | 79 | 22 | 24 | 46 | 175 | 41 | -2 | |
| 2016-17 | 49 | 10 | 12 | 22 | 100 | 14 | -8 | |
| 2015-16 | 81 | 21 | 25 | 46 | 202 | 26 | 16 | |
| 2014-15 | 82 | 13 | 18 | 31 | 145 | 16 | -5 | |
| 2013-14 | 37 | 15 | 10 | 25 | 98 | 4 | 11 |