Tom Wilson
R2026-27 projection
75
GP
28
G
31
A
59
Pts
14
PPP
151
SOG
194
Hits
58
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 32Expected 59Ceiling 85
Goals
Floor 16Expected 28Ceiling 39
Assists
Floor 16Expected 31Ceiling 47
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 17.1% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±5.9 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 60 (injury), ceiling 81 (full health) vs 75 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±8.8 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
NHL seasons
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | PPP | PIM | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 72 | 30 | 32 | 62 | 153 | 12 | 117 | 15 |
| 2024-25 | 81 | 33 | 32 | 65 | 169 | 17 | 100 | 20 |
| 2023-24 | 74 | 18 | 17 | 35 | 169 | 10 | 133 | -19 |
| 2022-23 | 33 | 13 | 9 | 22 | 82 | 5 | 78 | -13 |
| 2021-22 | 78 | 24 | 28 | 52 | 151 | 98 | 13 | |
| 2020-21 | 47 | 13 | 20 | 33 | 83 | 96 | 1 | |
| 2019-20 | 68 | 21 | 23 | 44 | 154 | 93 | -3 | |
| 2018-19 | 63 | 22 | 18 | 40 | 130 | 128 | 11 | |
| 2017-18 | 78 | 14 | 21 | 35 | 123 | 187 | 10 | |
| 2016-17 | 82 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 95 | 133 | 9 | |
| 2015-16 | 82 | 7 | 16 | 23 | 99 | 163 | 3 | |
| 2014-15 | 67 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 79 | 172 | -1 | |
| 2013-14 | 82 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 63 | 151 | 1 |