John Tavares
C2026-27 projection
74
GP
31
G
37
A
68
Pts
20
PPP
178
SOG
76
Hits
28
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 37Expected 68Ceiling 98
Goals
Floor 18Expected 31Ceiling 43
Assists
Floor 19Expected 37Ceiling 55
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 16.1% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±6.3 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 59 (injury), ceiling 80 (full health) vs 74 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±10.4 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
NHL seasons
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | PPP | PIM | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 82 | 31 | 40 | 71 | 192 | 21 | 28 | -28 |
| 2024-25 | 75 | 38 | 36 | 74 | 200 | 20 | 46 | 10 |
| 2023-24 | 80 | 29 | 36 | 65 | 279 | 20 | 30 | 2 |
| 2022-23 | 80 | 36 | 44 | 80 | 277 | 39 | 34 | -7 |
| 2021-22 | 79 | 27 | 49 | 76 | 237 | 32 | -8 | |
| 2020-21 | 56 | 19 | 31 | 50 | 163 | 14 | 12 | |
| 2019-20 | 63 | 26 | 34 | 60 | 197 | 24 | -7 | |
| 2018-19 | 82 | 47 | 41 | 88 | 286 | 34 | 19 | |
| 2017-18 | 82 | 37 | 47 | 84 | 257 | 26 | -12 | |
| 2016-17 | 77 | 28 | 38 | 66 | 260 | 38 | 4 | |
| 2015-16 | 78 | 33 | 37 | 70 | 250 | 38 | 6 | |
| 2014-15 | 82 | 38 | 48 | 86 | 278 | 46 | 5 | |
| 2013-14 | 59 | 24 | 42 | 66 | 188 | 40 | -6 |