John Carlson
D2026-27 projection
70
GP
10
G
42
A
52
Pts
14
PPP
140
SOG
34
Hits
111
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 26Expected 52Ceiling 78
Goals
Floor 4Expected 10Ceiling 16
Assists
Floor 22Expected 42Ceiling 63
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 6.6% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±3.8 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 56 (injury), ceiling 76 (full health) vs 70 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±11.9 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
NHL seasons
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | PPP | PIM | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 71 | 14 | 46 | 60 | 153 | 14 | 32 | 9 |
| 2024-25 | 79 | 5 | 46 | 51 | 167 | 14 | 22 | 17 |
| 2023-24 | 82 | 10 | 42 | 52 | 176 | 21 | 40 | -7 |
| 2022-23 | 40 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 124 | 12 | 12 | -7 |
| 2021-22 | 78 | 17 | 54 | 71 | 195 | 20 | 13 | |
| 2020-21 | 52 | 10 | 34 | 44 | 128 | 12 | -5 | |
| 2019-20 | 69 | 15 | 60 | 75 | 189 | 26 | 12 | |
| 2018-19 | 80 | 13 | 57 | 70 | 185 | 34 | 21 | |
| 2017-18 | 82 | 15 | 53 | 68 | 237 | 32 | 0 | |
| 2016-17 | 72 | 9 | 28 | 37 | 180 | 10 | 7 | |
| 2015-16 | 56 | 8 | 31 | 39 | 124 | 14 | 16 | |
| 2014-15 | 82 | 12 | 43 | 55 | 193 | 28 | 11 | |
| 2013-14 | 82 | 10 | 27 | 37 | 208 | 22 | -3 |