2026-27 Projections

Full-category forecasts by projected points. Method: four seasons of rates (2022-23 → 2025-26), recency-weighted (6/3/1.5/1 × games played) → regressed to position baseline by sample size, age-adjusted, goals blended with expected goals, 84-game season. Backtest-validated. The Upside view re-weights the scoring stats toward each player's recent ceiling — a draft-board read that trades accuracy for upside; Expected is the accuracy-optimal default.

These are the model's numbers. Think one is wrong? Set your own in the Advanced Projection Sandbox →

Rank by my categoriestick the ones your league counts — the order and the # column follow
#PlayerTeamPosRolePPTOIGPAgeGAP+/-PPPSHPSOGFOWHITBLK
1Jason Robertson DAL · LDALLL2PP118.28127.2425497+15.237026935336
2Kyle Connor WPG · LWPGLL1PP120.77929.8375391+1.623225713025
3Kirill Kaprizov MIN · LMINLL1PP121.07229.4414586+9.631024804727
4Brandon Hagel TBL · LTBLLL1PP119.28028.1374885+25.8133225235247
5Matt Boldy MIN · LMINLL2PP118.87825.5374885+9.2303267565757
6Artemi Panarin LAK · LLAKLL1PP119.57634.9295584-4.125021211314
7Lucas Raymond DET · LDETLL1PP118.58124.5275684-3.632018714631
8Matthew Tkachuk FLA · LFLALL2PP117.46828.8295179-2.630020868718
9Jesper Bratt NJD · LNJDLL1PP118.18128.2235578-4.825218037629
10Brady Tkachuk FLA · LFLALL1PP118.27627334376+2.227129721722227
11Juraj Slafkovský MTL · LMTLLL1PP117.97822.5284472+3.22501751512668
12Filip Forsberg NSH · LNSHLL1PP119.17932.1333871-5.6260242812637
13Matthew Knies TOR · LTORLL1PP118.38024264368-11.9171149116335
14Nikolaj Ehlers CAR · LCARLL1PP117.67630.6234366+8.825018592626
15William Eklund OTT · LOTTLL1PP117.77924204363-18.1191173166751
16Alex Ovechkin WSH · LWSHLL3PP115.56441312960-1.5190209111014
17Cutter Gauthier ANA · LANALL1PP119.06822.7312859+0.4170245715826
18Kevin Fiala LAK · LLAKLL2PP117.97730.2283159-8.6240201115628
19Zach Hyman EDM · LEDMLL1PP119.37234.3352459+13.017019216623
20Dylan Holloway STL · LSTLLL1PP117.96725243458+9.51101724114543
21Alexis Lafrenière NYR · LNYRLL1PP118.48125243457-5.6130166119336
22Brad Marchand FLA · LFLALL3PP215.96438.4253257-9.921116355723
23Jared McCann SEA · LSEALL1PP117.47630.3253256-2.7181170585238
24Ivan Barbashev VGK · LVGKLL116.37930.8213455+16.9501181613237
25Aliaksei Protas WSH · LWSHLL216.07525.7232952+15.813145253139
26Pavel Buchnevich STL · LSTLLL2PP116.67931.5213152-2.7151138923536
27Tyler Bertuzzi CHI · LCHILL2PP116.97831.6262551-16.0190142385926
28Connor McMichael STL · LSTLLL2PP216.67725.7183149+5.9711442154341
29Mason Marchment SJS · LSJSLL2PP217.17431.3202848+13.090129159230
30Artturi Lehkonen COL · LCOLLL1PP218.87031.2232548+26.25014354634
31Gavin McKenna TOR · LTORLL3PP213.568143246+0.060179011337
32Zach Benson BUF · LBUFLL2PP215.86921.4153145+11.36212964026
33Chris Kreider ANA · LANALL1PP218.67335.4222244-1.2152139207321
34Jonathan Huberdeau CGY · LCGYLL1PP118.67433.3172744-11.6141119124645
35Jake DeBrusk VAN · LVANLL1PP119.27830251944-17.7200185127436
36Viktor Arvidsson DET · LDETLL3PP114.56633.5192343+10.380154102532
37Anders Lee UTA · LUTALL3PP214.87536.2212042+0.670174439535
38Noah Cates PHI · LPHILL3PP215.47727.7162541+11.9711144359149
39Will Cuylle NYR · LNYRLL2PP216.78024.7202040-3.5711523028957
40Ivar Stenberg SJS · LSJSLL410.765132740+0.05016708236
41Jason Zucker BUF · LBUFLL3PP115.56234.7192140-2.5150116406320
42Taylor Hall CAR · LCARLL2PP216.37034.9152339+0.660113234329
43Jake Neighbours STL · LSTLLL3PP214.87024.5172138-4.59098614940
44Trevor Moore LAK · LLAKLL3PP215.87631.5172138+4.23216656838
45Matias Maccelli NYI · LNYILL3PP213.97026122437-13.0809442118
46Dmitri Voronkov CBJ · LCBJLL3PP213.56826.1181836+2.090123379734
47Blake Coleman MIN · LMINLL315.67534.8181736+7.7241682115352
48Jamie Benn DAL · LDALLL3PP212.96137.2132335+5.880831438027
49Gabriel Landeskog COL · LCOLLL2PP115.86133.9152035+24.4501231648532
50Fabian Zetterlund OTT · LOTTLL4PP212.38127.1171835-1.4801431214646
51Lawson Crouse UTA · LUTALL215.87929.3191635+7.9211302619749
52Jaden Schwartz COL · LCOLLL3PP215.46734.3161834-0.161119444144
53Kiefer Sherwood SJS · LSJSLL2PP217.27431.5181533-8.7811501835530
54Joel Farabee CGY · LCGYLL216.17926.6161833-8.543139246049
55Andrei Kuzmenko PIT · LPITL6230.7141731-3.21308012018
56Andre Burakovsky OTT · LOTTLL4PP214.37131.6102131-18.9908732130
57Trevor Connelly VGK · LVGKLL311.76592130+0.0409308936
58Nick Robertson PIT · LPITL7525.1151430-5.73012597535
59Erik Haula LAK · LLAKLL4PP214.77235.5121730-8.48110843410042
60J.T. Compher DET · LDETLL2PP215.77931.5111830-8.340925052656
61Alex Killorn ANA · LANALL2PP218.37137141529+0.941117266224
62Victor Olofsson VGK · LVGKLL3PP214.17231.2141529+5.07012622120
63Nick Paul TOR · LTORLL413.07531.5151429-7.3501094319333
64Michael Carcone UTA · LUTALL4PP212.17530.4141327+0.6301231111718
65Alex Iafallo WPG · LWPGLL1PP216.57632.8121426+6.961102148853
66Jordan Martinook CAR · LCARLL314.77334.2111526+5.90298329144
67Emil Heineman NYI · LNYILL215.77424.917926-5.840141521743
68Drew O'Connor VAN · LVANLL215.67528.3131124-7.112116457133
69Warren Foegele OTT · LOTTLL314.27230.514923+7.410127157525
70Rutger McGroarty PIT · LPITLL313.34771623+0.0306506326
71A.J. Greer ANA · LANALL411.67529.8111222+6.91088918828
72Anthony Duclair NYI · LNYILL3PP213.86231.1101222-3.5507641837
73Nick Foligno MIN · LMINLL4PP212.26338.981321-3.9427223815033
74Nick Lardis CHI · LCHILL412.25021.212920-5.7408617019
75Alexandre Texier MTL · LMTLLL412.9552781220+3.9107936119
76Andrew Mangiapane CHI · LCHILL412.26930.591019-10.2107347029
77Tye Kartye NYR · LNYRLL313.16725.471118-4.90064618338
78Liam Ohgren VAN · LVANLL412.56422.781018-7.8019586536
79Tanner Jeannot BOS · LBOSLL412.37329.371118-2.71070923050
80Mark Jankowski CAR · LCARLL411.2673210817+5.310633194041
81Eric Robinson CAR · LCARLL411.46831.39817+5.2018239615
82Danton Heinen CBJ · LCBJLL410.96031.271016+5.31060126630
83Isaac Howard EDM · LEDML348816+0.0206004519
84Daniil But UTA · LUTAL4221.67815+0.33077102724
85Carter Bear DET · LDETL387815+0.0207406421
86Wyatt Cullen NSH · LNSHL336915+0.0207706418
87Paul Cotter VAN · LVANLL312.67726.99615-13.910705620426
88Ondrej Palat NYI · LNYILL412.07035.57815-6.82073511055
89William Carrier CAR · LCARLL311.96831.87815+3.60077717719
90Cole Eiserman NYI · LNYIL359514+0.0207804919
91Bradly Nadeau CAR · LCARL317714+0.0205004417
92Conor Sheary BUF · LBUFL6034.36814+0.31171142233
93Zachary L'Heureux COL · LCOLL306713+0.0205206316
94Cole Koepke WPG · LWPGLL410.56528.46613+0.40179017321
95Elmer Soderblom PIT · LPITL5925.26613-0.1007449821
96Marcus Foligno MIN · LMINLL412.35835.16511-4.41061818443
97Reid Schaefer NSH · LNSHLL311.3286511+0.0103605515
98Max Plante DET · LDETL275611+0.0105303915
99Miles Wood CBJ · LCBJLL411.460316511-7.4018657322
100Liam Greentree NYR · LNYRL265510+0.0103804514
101Ethan Wyttenbach CGY · LCGYL254610+0.0104203614
102Samuel Honzek CGY · LCGYL3221.93710+0.0103304618
103Andrew Cristall WSH · LWSHL24369+0.0102503213
104Lynden Lakovic WSH · LWSHL24639+0.0104103313
105Marek Vanacker CHI · LCHIL25549+0.0104103614
106Nils Hoglander NSH · LNSHL5225.8459+0.2005616414
107Cole Reinhardt FLA · LFLALL410.25826.7549-1.20050712418
108Beck Malenstyn BUF · LBUFLL411.37828.7459-2.700691324869
109Ilya Protas WSH · LWSHL20448+0.0102302911
110Jordan Greenway CHI · LCHIL6329.6358-8.100601311441
111Jeffrey Viel TBL · LTBLL4929.7348-1.60063112723
112Joel Kiviranta DAL · LDALL5930.5447+5.6005687822
113Brandon Duhaime TOR · LTORL7929.4347-0.501671415954
114Ethan Belchetz UTA · LUTAL21437+0.0102803312
115Viljami Marjala EDM · LEDML20257+0.0102602711
116Joshua Roy UTA · LUTAL19437+0.0103402810
117Nathan Walker STL · LSTLL5432.6347-4.600466219140
118Ross Johnston STL · LSTLL6332.6256-1.20030418320
119Oscar Hemming CBJ · LCBJL18156+0.0101302910
120Alex Bump PHI · LPHIL1722.9336+0.010300259
121Adam Novotny VAN · LVANL18336+0.0103502510
122Jeff Malott ANA · LANAL5730.1236-3.10053415127
123Landon Slaggert CHI · LCHILL410.65624.3235-1.7005517525
124Cameron Reid NSH · LNSHL16145+0.010130239
125Ivan Miroshnichenko WSH · LWSHL3122.7235+0.4104204914
126Ryan Lomberg CBJ · LCBJL6431.8235-2.90057512718
127Brennan Othmann CGY · LCGYL12224+0.000170257
128Nico Myatovic ANA · LANAL20134+0.0001302811
129Brandon Tanev UTA · LUTAL5834.8224-8.60051414148
130Marcus Nordmark ANA · LANAL9213+0.000170135
131Jaxon Cover OTT · LOTTL9123+0.00090145
132Adam Sykora NYR · LNYRL1222.1123+0.000130177
133Florian Xhekaj MTL · LMTLL12213+0.000110257
134Aydar Suniev CGY · LCGYL12213+0.000110167
135Max Jones EDM · LEDML3828.6113-2.600394969
136Jonah Gadjovich FLA · LFLAL3228112-0.5002929013
137Nicolas Deslauriers CAR · LCARL3835.6011-4.60024213111
138Kurtis MacDermid OTT · LOTTL3532.5001-4.4001014612