2026-27 Projections

Full-category forecasts by projected points. Method: four seasons of rates (2022-23 → 2025-26), recency-weighted (6/3/1.5/1 × games played) → regressed to position baseline by sample size, age-adjusted, goals blended with expected goals, 84-game season. Backtest-validated. The Upside view re-weights the scoring stats toward each player's recent ceiling — a draft-board read that trades accuracy for upside; Expected is the accuracy-optimal default.

These are the model's numbers. Think one is wrong? Set your own in the Advanced Projection Sandbox →

Rank by my categoriestick the ones your league counts — the order and the # column follow
#PlayerTeamPosRolePPTOIGPAgeGAP+/-PPPSHPSOGFOWHITBLK
1Jason Robertson DAL · LDALLL2PP118.28127.20.520.671.19+15.20.460.003.320.030.660.44
2Kyle Connor WPG · LWPGLL1PP120.77929.80.470.671.15+1.60.280.033.260.010.380.32
3Kirill Kaprizov MIN · LMINLL1PP121.07229.40.560.631.19+9.60.430.003.440.000.650.38
4Brandon Hagel TBL · LTBLLL1PP119.28028.10.460.601.06+25.80.170.042.820.290.650.59
5Matt Boldy MIN · LMINLL2PP118.87825.50.470.611.09+9.20.390.043.420.720.730.73
6Artemi Panarin LAK · LLAKLL1PP119.57634.90.390.721.11-4.10.330.002.780.010.180.19
7Lucas Raymond DET · LDETLL1PP118.58124.50.340.701.03-3.60.390.002.310.020.570.38
8Matthew Tkachuk FLA · LFLALL2PP117.46828.80.420.741.16-2.60.450.003.060.091.280.27
9Jesper Bratt NJD · LNJDLL1PP118.18128.20.280.680.97-4.80.310.032.230.030.940.36
10Brady Tkachuk FLA · LFLALL1PP118.276270.430.571.00+2.20.350.013.902.852.920.36
11Juraj Slafkovský MTL · LMTLLL1PP117.97822.50.360.570.92+3.20.320.002.240.191.610.87
12Filip Forsberg NSH · LNSHLL1PP119.17932.10.420.480.90-5.60.330.003.060.101.590.46
13Matthew Knies TOR · LTORLL1PP118.380240.320.530.85-11.90.220.011.860.012.040.44
14Nikolaj Ehlers CAR · LCARLL1PP117.67630.60.300.560.86+8.80.330.002.430.110.340.35
15William Eklund OTT · LOTTLL1PP117.779240.250.540.79-18.10.240.012.190.210.840.65
16Alex Ovechkin WSH · LWSHLL3PP115.564410.480.450.93-1.50.300.003.260.021.710.22
17Cutter Gauthier ANA · LANALL1PP119.06822.70.460.410.87+0.40.250.003.611.040.850.39
18Kevin Fiala LAK · LLAKLL2PP117.97730.20.360.400.77-8.60.320.002.610.140.730.36
19Zach Hyman EDM · LEDMLL1PP119.37234.30.480.330.81+13.00.240.002.670.020.910.32
20Dylan Holloway STL · LSTLLL1PP117.967250.350.500.86+9.50.170.002.570.612.160.64
21Alexis Lafrenière NYR · LNYRLL1PP118.481250.290.420.71-5.60.160.002.050.141.150.45
22Brad Marchand FLA · LFLALL3PP215.96438.40.390.500.89-9.90.330.012.550.080.900.36
23Jared McCann SEA · LSEALL1PP117.47630.30.320.420.74-2.70.240.012.240.760.680.49
24Ivan Barbashev VGK · LVGKLL116.37930.80.270.430.70+16.90.070.001.500.211.670.46
25Aliaksei Protas WSH · LWSHLL216.07525.70.300.390.70+15.80.020.041.940.330.410.52
26Pavel Buchnevich STL · LSTLLL2PP116.67931.50.260.390.65-2.70.190.011.741.160.450.46
27Tyler Bertuzzi CHI · LCHILL2PP116.97831.60.330.310.65-16.00.240.001.820.490.750.34
28Connor McMichael STL · LSTLLL2PP216.67725.70.240.400.64+5.90.080.011.872.790.560.53
29Mason Marchment SJS · LSJSLL2PP217.17431.30.270.380.65+13.00.120.001.740.201.240.40
30Artturi Lehkonen COL · LCOLLL1PP218.87031.20.330.360.68+26.20.060.002.040.070.650.49
31Gavin McKenna TOR · LTORLL3PP213.5680.210.470.68+0.00.090.002.630.001.660.54
32Zach Benson BUF · LBUFLL2PP215.86921.40.220.440.66+11.30.080.021.870.090.580.38
33Chris Kreider ANA · LANALL1PP218.67335.40.300.300.60-1.20.200.021.900.281.000.29
34Jonathan Huberdeau CGY · LCGYLL1PP118.67433.30.230.360.59-11.60.190.021.610.160.620.61
35Jake DeBrusk VAN · LVANLL1PP119.278300.320.240.56-17.70.260.002.370.150.950.47
36Viktor Arvidsson DET · LDETLL3PP114.56633.50.290.350.65+10.30.120.002.330.150.380.48
37Anders Lee UTA · LUTALL3PP214.87536.20.290.270.56+0.60.100.002.330.571.270.47
38Noah Cates PHI · LPHILL3PP215.47727.70.210.320.53+11.90.090.011.485.651.180.63
39Will Cuylle NYR · LNYRLL2PP216.78024.70.260.250.50-3.50.080.011.900.383.610.71
40Ivar Stenberg SJS · LSJSLL410.7650.200.420.62+0.00.080.002.570.001.260.55
41Jason Zucker BUF · LBUFLL3PP115.56234.70.310.340.64-2.50.240.001.880.641.020.32
42Taylor Hall CAR · LCARLL2PP216.37034.90.220.330.55+0.60.090.001.610.330.620.41
43Jake Neighbours STL · LSTLLL3PP214.87024.50.240.300.55-4.50.120.001.410.082.120.57
44Trevor Moore LAK · LLAKLL3PP215.87631.50.220.280.50+4.20.030.022.190.060.890.50
45Matias Maccelli NYI · LNYILL3PP213.970260.180.340.52-13.00.110.001.340.060.310.25
46Dmitri Voronkov CBJ · LCBJLL3PP213.56826.10.270.260.54+2.00.140.001.810.551.420.51
47Blake Coleman MIN · LMINLL315.67534.80.250.230.48+7.70.030.052.250.282.040.69
48Jamie Benn DAL · LDALLL3PP212.96137.20.210.370.58+5.80.130.001.352.341.310.45
49Gabriel Landeskog COL · LCOLLL2PP115.86133.90.250.330.58+24.40.080.002.012.701.400.52
50Fabian Zetterlund OTT · LOTTLL4PP212.38127.10.210.220.43-1.40.100.001.770.151.800.56
51Lawson Crouse UTA · LUTALL215.87929.30.230.200.44+7.90.030.021.640.322.500.62
52Jaden Schwartz COL · LCOLLL3PP215.46734.30.230.270.50-0.10.090.011.770.660.610.66
53Kiefer Sherwood SJS · LSJSLL2PP217.27431.50.250.200.45-8.70.110.012.020.244.790.40
54Joel Farabee CGY · LCGYLL216.17926.60.200.220.42-8.50.050.041.760.300.760.62
55Andrei Kuzmenko PIT · LPITL6230.70.220.280.50-3.20.210.001.290.010.310.29
56Andre Burakovsky OTT · LOTTLL4PP214.37131.60.140.290.43-18.90.120.001.220.050.290.42
57Trevor Connelly VGK · LVGKLL311.7650.140.320.46+0.00.060.001.430.001.370.55
58Nick Robertson PIT · LPITL7525.10.210.190.40-5.70.040.001.670.120.990.47
59Erik Haula LAK · LLAKLL4PP214.77235.50.170.240.41-8.40.110.021.496.031.390.59
60J.T. Compher DET · LDETLL2PP215.77931.50.140.230.37-8.30.050.001.166.390.330.71
61Alex Killorn ANA · LANALL2PP218.371370.200.210.41+0.90.060.011.650.360.870.34
62Victor Olofsson VGK · LVGKLL3PP214.17231.20.190.210.40+5.00.090.001.750.030.290.28
63Nick Paul TOR · LTORLL413.07531.50.200.190.38-7.30.070.001.465.751.250.44
64Michael Carcone UTA · LUTALL4PP212.17530.40.180.180.36+0.60.040.001.640.151.560.24
65Alex Iafallo WPG · LWPGLL1PP216.57632.80.160.190.35+6.90.070.011.350.191.160.70
66Jordan Martinook CAR · LCARLL314.77334.20.150.210.36+5.90.000.031.350.431.250.60
67Emil Heineman NYI · LNYILL215.77424.90.230.120.35-5.80.050.001.910.072.930.59
68Drew O'Connor VAN · LVANLL215.67528.30.170.150.32-7.10.010.031.540.600.940.44
69Warren Foegele OTT · LOTTLL314.27230.50.200.130.32+7.40.020.001.760.211.040.35
70Rutger McGroarty PIT · LPITLL313.3470.150.340.49+0.00.060.001.380.001.340.55
71A.J. Greer ANA · LANALL411.67529.80.150.150.30+6.90.010.001.170.112.510.38
72Anthony Duclair NYI · LNYILL3PP213.86231.10.160.190.35-3.50.080.001.220.070.300.60
73Nick Foligno MIN · LMINLL4PP212.26338.90.120.210.33-3.90.060.031.143.772.380.53
74Nick Lardis CHI · LCHILL412.25021.20.240.170.41-5.70.090.001.720.021.400.37
75Alexandre Texier MTL · LMTLLL412.955270.150.210.36+3.90.020.001.440.051.100.34
76Andrew Mangiapane CHI · LCHILL412.26930.50.130.150.28-10.20.020.011.060.061.010.42
77Tye Kartye NYR · LNYRLL313.16725.40.100.170.27-4.90.000.000.960.102.730.56
78Liam Ohgren VAN · LVANLL412.56422.70.120.150.28-7.80.010.011.480.131.010.57
79Tanner Jeannot BOS · LBOSLL412.37329.30.090.150.24-2.70.010.000.950.133.150.68
80Mark Jankowski CAR · LCARLL411.267320.140.110.26+5.30.020.000.944.760.600.61
81Eric Robinson CAR · LCARLL411.46831.30.140.110.25+5.20.000.011.210.041.420.22
82Danton Heinen CBJ · LCBJLL410.96031.20.110.160.27+5.30.010.011.000.191.100.50
83Isaac Howard EDM · LEDML340.240.240.47+0.00.060.001.760.001.320.56
84Daniil But UTA · LUTAL4221.60.180.180.36+0.30.060.001.820.240.640.57
85Carter Bear DET · LDETL380.180.210.39+0.00.050.001.950.001.680.55
86Wyatt Cullen NSH · LNSHL330.180.270.45+0.00.060.002.330.001.940.55
87Paul Cotter VAN · LVANLL312.67726.90.110.080.19-13.90.010.000.910.722.640.33
88Ondrej Palat NYI · LNYILL412.07035.50.090.120.21-6.80.030.001.040.071.570.78
89William Carrier CAR · LCARLL311.96831.80.100.120.21+3.60.000.001.130.112.600.28
90Cole Eiserman NYI · LNYIL350.260.140.40+0.00.060.002.230.001.400.54
91Bradly Nadeau CAR · LCARL310.230.230.45+0.00.060.001.610.001.420.55
92Conor Sheary BUF · LBUFL6034.30.090.130.23+0.30.020.011.180.230.370.55
93Zachary L'Heureux COL · LCOLL300.200.230.43+0.00.070.001.730.002.100.53
94Cole Koepke WPG · LWPGLL410.56528.40.100.100.20+0.40.000.011.210.002.660.33
95Elmer Soderblom PIT · LPITL5925.20.110.110.21-0.10.000.001.250.071.650.36
96Marcus Foligno MIN · LMINLL412.35835.10.110.090.20-4.40.020.001.060.133.170.73
97Reid Schaefer NSH · LNSHLL311.3280.210.180.39+0.00.040.001.290.001.960.54
98Max Plante DET · LDETL270.190.220.41+0.00.040.001.960.001.440.56
99Miles Wood CBJ · LCBJLL411.460310.090.090.18-7.40.000.011.430.081.210.37
100Liam Greentree NYR · LNYRL260.190.190.38+0.00.040.001.460.001.730.54
101Ethan Wyttenbach CGY · LCGYL250.160.240.40+0.00.040.001.680.001.440.56
102Samuel Honzek CGY · LCGYL3221.90.090.220.31+0.00.030.001.030.001.440.56
103Andrew Cristall WSH · LWSHL240.130.250.38+0.00.040.001.040.001.330.54
104Lynden Lakovic WSH · LWSHL240.250.130.38+0.00.040.001.710.001.380.54
105Marek Vanacker CHI · LCHIL250.200.160.36+0.00.040.001.640.001.440.56
106Nils Hoglander NSH · LNSHL5225.80.080.090.17+0.20.000.001.080.021.230.27
107Cole Reinhardt FLA · LFLALL410.25826.70.080.070.15-1.20.000.000.860.112.140.31
108Beck Malenstyn BUF · LBUFLL411.37828.70.050.060.11-2.70.000.010.890.173.180.88
109Ilya Protas WSH · LWSHL200.200.200.40+0.00.050.001.150.001.450.55
110Jordan Greenway CHI · LCHIL6329.60.040.080.13-8.10.000.000.950.201.810.65
111Jeffrey Viel TBL · LTBLL4929.70.070.090.16-1.60.000.001.280.032.590.47
112Joel Kiviranta DAL · LDALL5930.50.070.060.13+5.60.000.000.960.141.320.38
113Brandon Duhaime TOR · LTORL7929.40.040.050.09-0.50.000.010.850.172.020.68
114Ethan Belchetz UTA · LUTAL210.190.140.33+0.00.050.001.330.001.570.57
115Viljami Marjala EDM · LEDML200.100.250.35+0.00.050.001.300.001.350.55
116Joshua Roy UTA · LUTAL190.210.160.37+0.00.050.001.790.001.470.53
117Nathan Walker STL · LSTLL5432.60.050.070.12-4.60.000.000.841.153.540.74
118Ross Johnston STL · LSTLL6332.60.030.070.10-1.20.000.000.470.062.900.32
119Oscar Hemming CBJ · LCBJL180.060.280.33+0.00.060.000.720.001.610.56
120Alex Bump PHI · LPHIL1722.90.180.180.35+0.00.060.001.760.001.470.53
121Adam Novotny VAN · LVANL180.170.170.33+0.00.060.001.940.001.390.56
122Jeff Malott ANA · LANAL5730.10.040.060.10-3.10.000.000.930.072.650.47
123Landon Slaggert CHI · LCHILL410.65624.30.040.050.09-1.70.000.000.970.011.340.45
124Cameron Reid NSH · LNSHL160.060.250.31+0.00.060.000.810.001.440.56
125Ivan Miroshnichenko WSH · LWSHL3122.70.070.080.15+0.40.030.001.340.001.580.45
126Ryan Lomberg CBJ · LCBJL6431.80.030.040.07-2.90.000.000.880.081.990.29
127Brennan Othmann CGY · LCGYL120.170.170.33+0.00.000.001.420.002.080.58
128Nico Myatovic ANA · LANAL200.050.150.20+0.00.000.000.650.001.400.55
129Brandon Tanev UTA · LUTAL5834.80.030.040.07-8.60.000.000.880.072.440.83
130Marcus Nordmark ANA · LANAL90.220.110.33+0.00.000.001.890.001.440.56
131Jaxon Cover OTT · LOTTL90.110.220.33+0.00.000.001.000.001.560.56
132Adam Sykora NYR · LNYRL1222.10.080.170.25+0.00.000.001.080.001.420.58
133Florian Xhekaj MTL · LMTLL120.170.080.25+0.00.000.000.920.002.080.58
134Aydar Suniev CGY · LCGYL120.170.080.25+0.00.000.000.920.001.330.58
135Max Jones EDM · LEDML3828.60.030.030.07-2.60.000.001.030.122.520.23
136Jonah Gadjovich FLA · LFLAL32280.020.030.05-0.50.000.000.890.072.820.41
137Nicolas Deslauriers CAR · LCARL3835.60.010.010.02-4.60.000.000.640.043.440.28
138Kurtis MacDermid OTT · LOTTL3532.50.000.010.01-4.40.000.000.280.031.330.35