2026-27 Projections
Full-category forecasts by projected wins. Method: four seasons of rates (2022-23 → 2025-26), recency-weighted (6/3/1.5/1 × games played) → regressed to position baseline by sample size, age-adjusted, goals blended with expected goals, 84-game season. Backtest-validated.
These are the model's numbers. Think one is wrong? Set your own in the Advanced Projection Sandbox →
Disagree with any of this? Download it as a spreadsheet, edit it, and upload it back →
| # | Goalie | Team | GS | Age | W | L | SHO | SV% | GAA | SV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Logan Thompson WSH | WSH | 55 | 29.6 | 0.61 | 0.28 | 0.06 | 0.909 | 2.59 | 1392 |
| 2 | Andrei Vasilevskiy TBL | TBL | 51 | 32.2 | 0.64 | 0.27 | 0.05 | 0.911 | 2.41 | 1231 |
| 3 | Karel Vejmelka UTA | UTA | 55 | 30.4 | 0.60 | 0.34 | 0.03 | 0.900 | 2.74 | 1329 |
| 4 | Jake Oettinger DAL | DAL | 56 | 27.8 | 0.58 | 0.32 | 0.06 | 0.904 | 2.62 | 1338 |
| 5 | Brandon Bussi CAR | CAR | 55 | 28.3 | 0.55 | 0.31 | 0.05 | 0.902 | 2.37 | 1175 |
| 6 | Jeremy Swayman BOS | BOS | 54 | 27.9 | 0.54 | 0.38 | 0.05 | 0.905 | 2.81 | 1412 |
| 7 | Lukas Dostal ANA | ANA | 58 | 26.3 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.01 | 0.897 | 3.09 | 1531 |
| 8 | Jacob Markstrom FLA | FLA | 56 | 36.7 | 0.51 | 0.39 | 0.04 | 0.895 | 2.8 | 1302 |
| 9 | Mackenzie Blackwood COL | COL | 49 | 29.8 | 0.58 | 0.32 | 0.08 | 0.905 | 2.68 | 1230 |
| 10 | Sergei Bobrovsky TOR | TOR | 55 | 38 | 0.51 | 0.43 | 0.08 | 0.894 | 2.76 | 1244 |
| 11 | Darcy Kuemper LAK | LAK | 53 | 36.4 | 0.51 | 0.32 | 0.07 | 0.901 | 2.59 | 1219 |
| 12 | John Gibson DET | DET | 55 | 33.2 | 0.49 | 0.40 | 0.05 | 0.903 | 2.69 | 1343 |
| 13 | Juuse Saros NSH | NSH | 57 | 31.5 | 0.46 | 0.42 | 0.02 | 0.899 | 2.99 | 1470 |
| 14 | Adin Hill VGK | VGK | 53 | 30.4 | 0.50 | 0.41 | 0.05 | 0.896 | 2.55 | 1147 |
| 15 | Spencer Knight CHI | CHI | 55 | 25.5 | 0.48 | 0.39 | 0.05 | 0.903 | 2.85 | 1428 |
| 16 | Igor Shesterkin NYR | NYR | 54 | 30.8 | 0.48 | 0.41 | 0.05 | 0.909 | 2.66 | 1391 |
| 17 | Jake Allen NJD | NJD | 50 | 36.2 | 0.52 | 0.38 | 0.05 | 0.904 | 2.87 | 1314 |
| 18 | Arturs Silovs PIT | PIT | 46 | 25.5 | 0.55 | 0.35 | 0.05 | 0.898 | 2.83 | 1110 |
| 19 | Ilya Sorokin NYI | NYI | 49 | 31.2 | 0.51 | 0.40 | 0.11 | 0.907 | 2.76 | 1279 |
| 20 | Joey Daccord SEA | SEA | 53 | 30.1 | 0.47 | 0.40 | 0.04 | 0.903 | 2.86 | 1376 |
| 21 | Jet Greaves CBJ | CBJ | 49 | 25.5 | 0.51 | 0.36 | 0.05 | 0.907 | 2.78 | 1306 |
| 22 | Filip Gustavsson MIN | MIN | 47 | 28.3 | 0.52 | 0.37 | 0.08 | 0.907 | 2.73 | 1221 |
| 23 | Tristan Jarry EDM | EDM | 50 | 31.4 | 0.49 | 0.39 | 0.07 | 0.895 | 3.08 | 1276 |
| 24 | Linus Ullmark OTT | OTT | 44 | 33.2 | 0.55 | 0.30 | 0.07 | 0.901 | 2.66 | 1036 |
| 25 | Jakub Dobes MTL | MTL | 41 | 25.3 | 0.57 | 0.31 | 0.01 | 0.904 | 2.8 | 1054 |
| 26 | Scott Wedgewood COL | COL | 35 | 34.1 | 0.65 | 0.20 | 0.09 | 0.912 | 2.37 | 833 |
| 27 | Dan Vladar PHI | PHI | 43 | 29.1 | 0.53 | 0.34 | 0.01 | 0.904 | 2.58 | 1010 |
| 28 | Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUF | BUF | 43 | 27.6 | 0.52 | 0.39 | 0.04 | 0.903 | 2.74 | 1073 |
| 29 | Connor Hellebuyck WPG | WPG | 49 | 33.4 | 0.45 | 0.44 | 0.04 | 0.906 | 2.66 | 1220 |
| 30 | Dustin Wolf CGY | CGY | 55 | 25.5 | 0.39 | 0.53 | 0.04 | 0.903 | 2.85 | 1423 |
| 31 | Jordan Binnington STL | STL | 50 | 33.2 | 0.43 | 0.47 | 0.04 | 0.892 | 3.02 | 1211 |
| 32 | Alex Nedeljkovic SJS | SJS | 40 | 30.7 | 0.49 | 0.40 | 0.01 | 0.900 | 3.18 | 1107 |
| 33 | David Rittich NJD | NJD | 34 | 34.1 | 0.56 | 0.30 | 0.05 | 0.900 | 2.68 | 790 |
| 34 | Joel Hofer STL | STL | 34 | 26.2 | 0.52 | 0.33 | 0.11 | 0.907 | 2.75 | 890 |
| 35 | Elvis Merzlikins CBJ | CBJ | 35 | 32.5 | 0.49 | 0.41 | 0.03 | 0.894 | 3.19 | 913 |
| 36 | Anton Forsberg LAK | LAK | 31 | 33.8 | 0.54 | 0.42 | 0.10 | 0.906 | 2.91 | 842 |
| 37 | Carter Hart VGK | VGK | 31 | 28.1 | 0.54 | 0.34 | 0.01 | 0.900 | 2.61 | 712 |
| 38 | Charlie Lindgren WSH | WSH | 29 | 32.8 | 0.54 | 0.33 | 0.05 | 0.896 | 3.08 | 748 |
| 39 | Frederik Andersen EDM | EDM | 34 | 37 | 0.46 | 0.42 | 0.02 | 0.893 | 2.68 | 749 |
| 40 | Kevin Lankinen VAN | VAN | 45 | 31.4 | 0.33 | 0.56 | 0.02 | 0.893 | 3.26 | 1182 |
| 41 | Stuart Skinner WPG | WPG | 35 | 27.9 | 0.43 | 0.44 | 0.04 | 0.896 | 2.78 | 819 |
| 42 | Pyotr Kochetkov CAR | CAR | 29 | 27.3 | 0.51 | 0.41 | 0.08 | 0.903 | 2.51 | 657 |
| 43 | Joseph Woll PHI | PHI | 30 | 28.2 | 0.49 | 0.43 | 0.04 | 0.903 | 3.11 | 852 |
| 44 | Alex Lyon BUF | BUF | 28 | 33.8 | 0.52 | 0.37 | 0.07 | 0.905 | 2.82 | 731 |
| 45 | Akira Schmid FLA | FLA | 28 | 26.4 | 0.51 | 0.33 | 0.06 | 0.901 | 2.82 | 699 |
| 46 | Sebastian Cossa UTA | UTA | 29 | 23.9 | 0.49 | 0.32 | 0.03 | 0.905 | 2.86 | 774 |
| 47 | Philipp Grubauer SEA | SEA | 31 | 34.9 | 0.45 | 0.44 | 0.01 | 0.902 | 2.94 | 820 |
| 48 | Joonas Korpisalo NYR | NYR | 30 | 32.4 | 0.47 | 0.39 | 0.05 | 0.898 | 3.15 | 816 |
| 49 | Jiri Patera BOS | BOS | 30 | 0.47 | 0.35 | 0.03 | 0.904 | 2.91 | 800 | |
| 50 | Samuel Montembeault MTL | MTL | 29 | 29.9 | 0.48 | 0.41 | 0.03 | 0.895 | 3.08 | 742 |
| 51 | Casey DeSmith DAL | DAL | 28 | 35.1 | 0.49 | 0.39 | 0.04 | 0.906 | 2.78 | 726 |
| 52 | Samuel Ersson OTT | OTT | 28 | 26.9 | 0.49 | 0.40 | 0.02 | 0.889 | 2.93 | 641 |
| 53 | Anthony Stolarz TOR | TOR | 29 | 32.7 | 0.46 | 0.37 | 0.04 | 0.905 | 2.79 | 756 |
| 54 | Daniil Tarasov DET | DET | 29 | 27.5 | 0.45 | 0.45 | 0.01 | 0.899 | 3.11 | 783 |
| 55 | Yaroslav Askarov SJS | SJS | 28 | 24.3 | 0.45 | 0.41 | 0.00 | 0.897 | 3.04 | 721 |
| 56 | Arvid Soderblom CHI | CHI | 29 | 27.1 | 0.43 | 0.47 | 0.03 | 0.894 | 3.54 | 840 |
| 57 | Justus Annunen NSH | NSH | 27 | 26.6 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.03 | 0.903 | 3 | 735 |
| 58 | Ville Husso ANA | ANA | 26 | 31.6 | 0.47 | 0.41 | 0.01 | 0.895 | 3.08 | 670 |
| 59 | Jesper Wallstedt MIN | MIN | 24 | 23.9 | 0.48 | 0.36 | 0.12 | 0.908 | 2.91 | 669 |
| 60 | Jonas Johansson TBL | TBL | 22 | 31 | 0.51 | 0.34 | 0.02 | 0.897 | 3.17 | 586 |
| 61 | Devin Cooley CGY | CGY | 29 | 29.4 | 0.36 | 0.43 | 0.00 | 0.906 | 3.11 | 850 |
| 62 | Thatcher Demko VAN | VAN | 26 | 30.8 | 0.40 | 0.47 | 0.05 | 0.902 | 2.68 | 622 |
| 63 | Sergei Murashov PIT | PIT | 19 | 22.5 | 0.52 | 0.34 | 0.03 | 0.905 | 2.86 | 507 |
| 64 | Joel Blomqvist PIT | PIT | 19 | 0.51 | 0.35 | 0.04 | 0.902 | 2.91 | 506 | |
| 65 | Vitek Vanecek NYI | NYI | 23 | 30.7 | 0.38 | 0.50 | 0.04 | 0.894 | 3.03 | 577 |
| 66 | Eric Comrie SJS | SJS | 16 | 31.2 | 0.48 | 0.45 | 0.03 | 0.900 | 2.76 | 395 |
| 67 | Calvin Pickard MIN | MIN | 14 | 34.5 | 0.49 | 0.42 | 0.01 | 0.897 | 3.15 | 371 |
| 68 | Jacob Fowler MTL | MTL | 14 | 21.9 | 0.48 | 0.39 | 0.06 | 0.905 | 2.56 | 338 |
| 69 | Leevi Meriläinen OTT | OTT | 13 | 24.1 | 0.46 | 0.43 | 0.05 | 0.897 | 2.6 | 291 |
| 70 | Colten Ellis BUF | BUF | 12 | 26 | 0.47 | 0.37 | 0.07 | 0.905 | 3.16 | 349 |
| 71 | Semyon Varlamov NYI | NYI | 12 | 38.4 | 0.44 | 0.34 | 0.06 | 0.905 | 2.82 | 315 |
| 72 | Dennis Hildeby TBL | TBL | 11 | 25.1 | 0.45 | 0.35 | 0.06 | 0.906 | 3.54 | 364 |
| 73 | Nikita Tolopilo VAN | VAN | 13 | 26.5 | 0.36 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.900 | 3.23 | 374 |
| 74 | Aleksei Kolosov PHI | PHI | 10 | 24.7 | 0.42 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.898 | 3.08 | 261 |
| 75 | 0 | — | — | — | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 76 | Marcus Hogberg | 0 | — | — | — | 0 | 0 | |||
| 77 | 0 | — | — | — | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 78 | 0 | — | — | — | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 79 | 0 | — | — | — | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 80 | 0 | — | — | — | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 81 | Ivan Fedotov | 0 | — | — | — | 0 | 0 |