Dawson Mercer
C2026-27 projection
82
GP
0.26
G
0.27
A
0.53
Pts
0.10
PPP
1.90
SOG
0.43
Hits
0.61
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 23Expected 44Ceiling 59
Goals
Floor 12Expected 22Ceiling 29
Assists
Floor 11Expected 22Ceiling 30
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 13.3% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±5.4 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 66 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 82 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±6.2 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
NHL seasons
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | PPP | PIM | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 82 | 20 | 22 | 42 | 158 | 7 | 33 | -2 |
| 2024-25 | 82 | 19 | 17 | 36 | 141 | 8 | 16 | 4 |
| 2023-24 | 82 | 20 | 13 | 33 | 134 | 5 | 29 | -26 |
| 2022-23 | 82 | 27 | 29 | 56 | 161 | 10 | 14 | 22 |
| 2021-22 | 82 | 17 | 25 | 42 | 154 | 28 | -25 |