Seth Jarvis
ROut2026-27 projection
37
GP
0.45
G
0.51
A
0.96
Pts
0.30
PPP
3.09
SOG
1.19
Hits
0.49
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 18Expected 36Ceiling 57
Goals
Floor 9Expected 17Ceiling 27
Assists
Floor 10Expected 19Ceiling 30
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 14.2% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±4.8 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 30 (injury), ceiling 43 (full health) vs 37 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±5.3 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
NHL seasons
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | PPP | PIM | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 71 | 32 | 34 | 66 | 224 | 21 | 23 | 6 |
| 2024-25 | 73 | 32 | 35 | 67 | 204 | 19 | 16 | 12 |
| 2023-24 | 81 | 33 | 34 | 67 | 176 | 20 | 14 | 23 |
| 2022-23 | 82 | 14 | 25 | 39 | 187 | 5 | 12 | 10 |
| 2021-22 | 68 | 17 | 23 | 40 | 110 | 18 | 11 |