Alex DeBrincat
R2026-27 projection
82
GP
0.47
G
0.51
A
0.99
Pts
0.31
PPP
3.25
SOG
0.51
Hits
0.47
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 45Expected 81Ceiling 107
Goals
Floor 23Expected 39Ceiling 49
Assists
Floor 22Expected 42Ceiling 58
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 13.7% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±7.2 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 66 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 82 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±11.9 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
NHL seasons
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | PPP | PIM | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 82 | 41 | 44 | 85 | 287 | 23 | 19 | 8 |
| 2024-25 | 82 | 39 | 31 | 70 | 244 | 29 | 29 | -13 |
| 2023-24 | 82 | 27 | 40 | 67 | 237 | 19 | 34 | 1 |
| 2022-23 | 82 | 27 | 39 | 66 | 263 | 30 | 45 | -31 |
| 2021-22 | 82 | 41 | 37 | 78 | 270 | 19 | -13 | |
| 2020-21 | 52 | 32 | 24 | 56 | 155 | 12 | 3 | |
| 2019-20 | 70 | 18 | 27 | 45 | 207 | 15 | -10 | |
| 2018-19 | 82 | 41 | 35 | 76 | 220 | 15 | 0 | |
| 2017-18 | 82 | 28 | 24 | 52 | 181 | 6 | 6 |