Auston Matthews
CProbable for start of season2026-27 projection
75
GP
0.54
G
0.53
A
1.07
Pts
0.28
PPP
3.87
SOG
0.75
Hits
1.29
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 44Expected 80Ceiling 114
Goals
Floor 24Expected 40Ceiling 55
Assists
Floor 21Expected 40Ceiling 59
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 13% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±7.3 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 60 (injury), ceiling 81 (full health) vs 75 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±11.2 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
NHL seasons
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | PPP | PIM | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 60 | 27 | 26 | 53 | 227 | 12 | 18 | -4 |
| 2024-25 | 67 | 33 | 45 | 78 | 261 | 25 | 20 | 11 |
| 2023-24 | 81 | 69 | 38 | 107 | 369 | 29 | 20 | 31 |
| 2022-23 | 74 | 40 | 45 | 85 | 327 | 28 | 20 | 31 |
| 2021-22 | 73 | 60 | 46 | 106 | 348 | 18 | 20 | |
| 2020-21 | 52 | 41 | 25 | 66 | 222 | 10 | 21 | |
| 2019-20 | 70 | 47 | 33 | 80 | 290 | 8 | 19 | |
| 2018-19 | 68 | 37 | 36 | 73 | 251 | 12 | -9 | |
| 2017-18 | 62 | 34 | 29 | 63 | 187 | 12 | 25 | |
| 2016-17 | 82 | 40 | 29 | 69 | 279 | 14 | 2 |