Connor McDavid
C2026-27 projection
78
GP
0.54
G
1.19
A
1.74
Pts
0.66
PPP
3.50
SOG
0.62
Hits
0.36
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 73Expected 135Ceiling 190
Goals
Floor 25Expected 42Ceiling 56
Assists
Floor 48Expected 93Ceiling 134
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 14.3% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±7.4 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 62 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 78 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±26.1 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
NHL seasons
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | PPP | PIM | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 82 | 48 | 90 | 138 | 306 | 54 | 44 | 17 |
| 2024-25 | 67 | 26 | 74 | 100 | 196 | 31 | 37 | 20 |
| 2023-24 | 76 | 32 | 100 | 132 | 263 | 44 | 30 | 35 |
| 2022-23 | 82 | 64 | 89 | 153 | 352 | 71 | 36 | 22 |
| 2021-22 | 80 | 44 | 79 | 123 | 314 | 45 | 28 | |
| 2020-21 | 56 | 33 | 72 | 105 | 200 | 20 | 21 | |
| 2019-20 | 64 | 34 | 63 | 97 | 212 | 28 | -6 | |
| 2018-19 | 78 | 41 | 75 | 116 | 240 | 20 | 3 | |
| 2017-18 | 82 | 41 | 67 | 108 | 274 | 26 | 20 | |
| 2016-17 | 82 | 30 | 70 | 100 | 251 | 26 | 27 | |
| 2015-16 | 45 | 16 | 32 | 48 | 105 | 18 | -1 |