Pavel Buchnevich
L2026-27 projection
79
GP
0.26
G
0.39
A
0.65
Pts
0.19
PPP
1.74
SOG
0.45
Hits
0.46
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 27Expected 52Ceiling 73
Goals
Floor 11Expected 21Ceiling 29
Assists
Floor 16Expected 31Ceiling 44
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 14% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±5.2 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 63 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 79 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±8.8 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.