Brock Nelson
C2026-27 projection
76
GP
0.35
G
0.39
A
0.73
Pts
0.19
PPP
2.18
SOG
0.46
Hits
0.69
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 30Expected 56Ceiling 81
Goals
Floor 15Expected 26Ceiling 37
Assists
Floor 15Expected 29Ceiling 43
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 15% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±5.9 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 61 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 76 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±8.3 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
NHL seasons
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | PPP | PIM | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 81 | 33 | 32 | 65 | 186 | 18 | 36 | 15 |
| 2024-25 | 80 | 26 | 30 | 56 | 193 | 7 | 18 | 8 |
| 2023-24 | 82 | 34 | 35 | 69 | 250 | 19 | 28 | -5 |
| 2022-23 | 82 | 36 | 39 | 75 | 222 | 17 | 24 | 13 |
| 2021-22 | 72 | 37 | 22 | 59 | 171 | 33 | -5 | |
| 2020-21 | 56 | 18 | 15 | 33 | 121 | 14 | -5 | |
| 2019-20 | 68 | 26 | 28 | 54 | 175 | 32 | 6 | |
| 2018-19 | 82 | 25 | 28 | 53 | 181 | 28 | 20 | |
| 2017-18 | 82 | 19 | 16 | 35 | 138 | 43 | -4 | |
| 2016-17 | 81 | 20 | 25 | 45 | 173 | 36 | -6 | |
| 2015-16 | 81 | 26 | 14 | 40 | 165 | 30 | -3 | |
| 2014-15 | 82 | 20 | 22 | 42 | 190 | 24 | 6 | |
| 2013-14 | 72 | 14 | 12 | 26 | 132 | 12 | -10 |