Erik Karlsson
D2026-27 projection
72
GP
0.17
G
0.64
A
0.81
Pts
0.29
PPP
2.21
SOG
0.31
Hits
0.95
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 29Expected 58Ceiling 87
Goals
Floor 6Expected 12Ceiling 19
Assists
Floor 24Expected 46Ceiling 68
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 7.1% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±4.1 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 58 (injury), ceiling 78 (full health) vs 72 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±12.9 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
NHL seasons
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | PPP | PIM | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 75 | 15 | 51 | 66 | 176 | 26 | 22 | 8 |
| 2024-25 | 82 | 11 | 42 | 53 | 191 | 15 | 20 | -24 |
| 2023-24 | 82 | 11 | 45 | 56 | 213 | 17 | 44 | 4 |
| 2022-23 | 82 | 25 | 76 | 101 | 209 | 27 | 36 | -26 |
| 2021-22 | 50 | 10 | 25 | 35 | 117 | 14 | -14 | |
| 2020-21 | 52 | 8 | 14 | 22 | 110 | 18 | -18 | |
| 2019-20 | 56 | 6 | 34 | 40 | 120 | 16 | -15 | |
| 2018-19 | 53 | 3 | 42 | 45 | 169 | 22 | 6 | |
| 2017-18 | 71 | 9 | 53 | 62 | 196 | 36 | -25 | |
| 2016-17 | 77 | 17 | 54 | 71 | 218 | 28 | 10 | |
| 2015-16 | 82 | 16 | 66 | 82 | 248 | 50 | -2 | |
| 2014-15 | 82 | 21 | 45 | 66 | 292 | 42 | 7 | |
| 2013-14 | 82 | 20 | 54 | 74 | 257 | 36 | -15 |