Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2027-04-05 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS2.44170%31%
2Jake Oettinger DALDAL24150%50%
3Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL24156%35%
4Jet Greaves CBJCBJ23067%35%
5Ilya Sorokin NYINYI23067%0%
6Joey Daccord SEASEA1.94150%35%
7Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA1.94150%35%
8Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.93064%0%
9Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.53050%35%
10Dustin Wolf CGYCGY1.43045%100%
11Frederik Andersen CARCAR1.43047%100%
12Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.43045%0%
13Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.43046%0%
14Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.43155%35%
15Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.34132%35%
16Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.33044%35%
17Lukas Dostal ANAANA1.32065%27%
18Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.33147%35%
19Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.23042%35%
20Joel Hofer STLSTL1.23041%0%
21Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.23040%100%
22Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.12054%0%
23Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.13036%35%
24Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF13035%20%
25Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA13150%0%
26Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.93029%35%
27Akira Schmid VGKVGK0.93031%100%
28Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS0.92045%100%
29Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR0.72036%0%
30John Gibson DETDET0.73135%0%
31Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.63020%35%
32Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.63129%0%