Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2027-03-08 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS2.44170%31%
2Kevin Lankinen VANVAN24155%35%
3Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.94150%35%
4Dustin Wolf CGYCGY1.93145%100%
5Frederik Andersen CARCAR1.93147%100%
6Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.93064%0%
7Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.84147%35%
8Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.83140%100%
9Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.73056%35%
10Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.63054%0%
11Lukas Dostal ANAANA1.63165%27%
12Joey Daccord SEASEA1.53050%35%
13Jake Oettinger DALDAL1.53050%50%
14Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS1.43045%100%
15Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.43046%0%
16Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.33044%35%
17Ilya Sorokin NYINYI1.33167%0%
18Jet Greaves CBJCBJ1.32067%35%
19Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.23042%35%
20Joel Hofer STLSTL1.23041%0%
21Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.13036%0%
22Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.13036%35%
23Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF13035%20%
24Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA12050%35%
25Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA12050%0%
26John Gibson DETDET13035%0%
27Logan Thompson WSHWSH0.93145%0%
28Akira Schmid VGKVGK0.93031%100%
29Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.94129%0%
30Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.93029%35%
31Eric Comrie WPGWPG0.93032%35%
32Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.63020%35%