Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2027-02-15 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS2.84070%31%
2Frederik Andersen CARCAR2.44147%100%
3Jet Greaves CBJCBJ2.34167%35%
4Lukas Dostal ANAANA2.24165%27%
5Ilya Sorokin NYINYI23067%0%
6Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA24050%35%
7Kevin Lankinen VANVAN24155%35%
8Joey Daccord SEASEA1.94150%35%
9Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.93064%0%
10Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.84147%35%
11Dustin Wolf CGYCGY1.84045%100%
12Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.74144%35%
13Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.73056%35%
14Joel Hofer STLSTL1.64041%0%
15Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.63054%0%
16Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA1.54150%0%
17Jake Oettinger DALDAL1.53050%50%
18Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS1.43045%100%
19Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.44146%0%
20Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.43045%0%
21Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.43150%35%
22Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.34032%35%
23Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF1.24135%20%
24Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.24129%35%
25Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.14136%0%
26Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.13036%35%
27John Gibson DETDET14135%0%
28Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD14120%35%
29Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.94129%0%
30Akira Schmid VGKVGK0.93031%100%
31Connor Ingram EDMEDM0.82042%35%
32Jakub Dobes MTLMTL0.82040%100%