Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2026-12-28 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS2.94245%100%
2Frederik Andersen CARCAR2.44147%100%
3Jet Greaves CBJCBJ2.44167%35%
4Dustin Wolf CGYCGY2.44145%100%
5Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL24156%35%
6Kevin Lankinen VANVAN24155%35%
7Lukas Dostal ANAANA23065%27%
8Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.94131%100%
9Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.93064%0%
10Joey Daccord SEASEA1.74250%35%
11Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS1.73170%31%
12Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.64244%35%
13Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.64142%35%
14Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA1.54150%0%
15Jake Oettinger DALDAL1.53050%50%
16Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA1.53050%35%
17Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.43046%0%
18Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.44145%0%
19Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.43047%35%
20Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.43150%35%
21Ilya Sorokin NYINYI1.32067%0%
22Joel Hofer STLSTL1.24141%0%
23Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.23040%100%
24Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.13036%0%
25Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.13154%0%
26Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.13036%35%
27Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF13035%20%
28John Gibson DETDET14135%0%
29Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.93129%35%
30Eric Comrie WPGWPG0.93032%35%
31Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.94129%0%
32Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.83120%35%