Goalie Expected Starts
Week of 2026-12-21 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.
❓ How to read this (plain English)
The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?
- xStarts
- Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
- Start %
- His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
- B2B repeat
- How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
| # | Goalie | Team | xStarts | Team GP | B2Bs | Start % | B2B repeat | Own% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jet Greaves CBJ | CBJ | 2 | 4 | 2 | 35% | — | |
| 2 | Jakub Dobes MTL | MTL | 1.8 | 3 | 1 | 100% | — | |
| 3 | Jeremy Swayman BOS | BOS | 1.7 | 3 | 1 | 31% | — | |
| 4 | Akira Schmid VGK | VGK | 1.6 | 3 | 1 | 100% | — | |
| 5 | Ilya Sorokin NYI | NYI | 1.3 | 3 | 1 | 0% | — | |
| 6 | Lukas Dostal ANA | ANA | 1.3 | 2 | 0 | 27% | — | |
| 7 | Anthony Stolarz TOR | TOR | 1.1 | 3 | 1 | 0% | — | |
| 8 | Kevin Lankinen VAN | VAN | 1.1 | 2 | 0 | 35% | — | |
| 9 | Andrei Vasilevskiy TBL | TBL | 1.1 | 2 | 0 | 35% | — | |
| 10 | Karel Vejmelka UTA | UTA | 1 | 2 | 0 | 35% | — | |
| 11 | Sergei Bobrovsky FLA | FLA | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0% | — | |
| 12 | Jake Oettinger DAL | DAL | 1 | 2 | 0 | 50% | — | |
| 13 | Frederik Andersen CAR | CAR | 0.9 | 2 | 0 | 100% | — | |
| 14 | Logan Thompson WSH | WSH | 0.9 | 2 | 0 | 0% | — | |
| 15 | Darcy Kuemper LAK | LAK | 0.9 | 2 | 0 | 0% | — | |
| 16 | Dustin Wolf CGY | CGY | 0.9 | 2 | 0 | 100% | — | |
| 17 | Juuse Saros NSH | NSH | 0.9 | 2 | 0 | 35% | — | |
| 18 | Yaroslav Askarov SJS | SJS | 0.9 | 2 | 0 | 100% | — | |
| 19 | Joel Hofer STL | STL | 0.8 | 3 | 1 | 0% | — | |
| 20 | Jacob Markstrom NJD | NJD | 0.8 | 3 | 1 | 35% | — | |
| 21 | Dan Vladar PHI | PHI | 0.7 | 2 | 0 | 35% | — | |
| 22 | Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUF | BUF | 0.7 | 2 | 0 | 20% | — | |
| 23 | John Gibson DET | DET | 0.7 | 2 | 0 | 0% | — | |
| 24 | Igor Shesterkin NYR | NYR | 0.7 | 2 | 0 | 0% | — | |
| 25 | Arturs Silovs PIT | PIT | 0.6 | 2 | 0 | 0% | — | |
| 26 | Filip Gustavsson MIN | MIN | 0.6 | 2 | 0 | 35% | — | |
| 27 | Eric Comrie WPG | WPG | 0.6 | 2 | 0 | 35% | — | |
| 28 | Scott Wedgewood COL | COL | 0.6 | 1 | 0 | 0% | — | |
| 29 | Joey Daccord SEA | SEA | 0.5 | 1 | 0 | 35% | — | |
| 30 | Linus Ullmark OTT | OTT | 0.5 | 1 | 0 | 35% | — | |
| 31 | Arvid Soderblom CHI | CHI | 0.5 | 1 | 0 | 35% | — | |
| 32 | Connor Ingram EDM | EDM | 0.4 | 1 | 0 | 35% | — |