Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2026-12-14 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Scott Wedgewood COLCOL2.64064%0%
2Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS2.44170%31%
3Jet Greaves CBJCBJ23067%35%
4Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL24156%35%
5Jake Oettinger DALDAL24150%50%
6Ilya Sorokin NYINYI24167%0%
7Lukas Dostal ANAANA23065%27%
8Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA1.94150%35%
9Frederik Andersen CARCAR1.93147%100%
10Joey Daccord SEASEA1.94150%35%
11Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.83140%100%
12Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.64142%35%
13Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.63055%35%
14Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.63054%0%
15Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.43047%35%
16Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.44036%35%
17Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS1.43045%100%
18Dustin Wolf CGYCGY1.43045%100%
19Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.44146%0%
20Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.43045%0%
21Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.33044%35%
22Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF1.24135%20%
23Joel Hofer STLSTL1.23041%0%
24Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.14136%0%
25Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA13150%0%
26John Gibson DETDET14135%0%
27Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD14120%35%
28Eric Comrie WPGWPG13132%35%
29Arvid Soderblom CHICHI12050%35%
30Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.93129%35%
31Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.63129%0%
32Akira Schmid VGKVGK0.62031%100%