Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2026-11-09 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS2.44145%100%
2Ilya Sorokin NYINYI23067%0%
3Jet Greaves CBJCBJ23067%35%
4Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.93064%0%
5Dustin Wolf CGYCGY1.93145%100%
6Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.74144%35%
7Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.63055%35%
8Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.64142%35%
9Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.63054%0%
10Lukas Dostal ANAANA1.63165%27%
11Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA1.54150%0%
12Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.53156%35%
13Jake Oettinger DALDAL1.53150%50%
14Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.44136%35%
15Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.43047%35%
16Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.43045%0%
17Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.43046%0%
18Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA1.43150%35%
19Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS1.42070%31%
20Joel Hofer STLSTL1.23041%0%
21Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.23040%100%
22Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.13036%0%
23John Gibson DETDET13035%0%
24Joey Daccord SEASEA12050%35%
25Arvid Soderblom CHICHI12050%35%
26Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.93029%35%
27Eric Comrie WPGWPG0.93032%35%
28Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF0.93135%20%
29Akira Schmid VGKVGK0.93031%100%
30Frederik Andersen CARCAR0.92047%100%
31Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.63020%35%
32Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.62029%0%