Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2026-11-02 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS2.44145%100%
2Lukas Dostal ANAANA2.24165%27%
3Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS2.13070%31%
4Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL24156%35%
5Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.94131%100%
6Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.94150%35%
7Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.94164%0%
8Dustin Wolf CGYCGY1.84045%100%
9Jet Greaves CBJCBJ1.73167%35%
10Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.63055%35%
11Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA1.54150%0%
12Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA1.53050%35%
13Jake Oettinger DALDAL1.53050%50%
14Frederik Andersen CARCAR1.43047%100%
15Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.33044%35%
16Ilya Sorokin NYINYI1.32067%0%
17Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.23040%100%
18Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.23042%35%
19Joel Hofer STLSTL1.23041%0%
20Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.13036%35%
21Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.13154%0%
22Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.13036%0%
23John Gibson DETDET14135%0%
24Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD14120%35%
25Joey Daccord SEASEA12050%35%
26Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF13035%20%
27Eric Comrie WPGWPG0.93032%35%
28Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.93129%35%
29Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.94129%0%
30Logan Thompson WSHWSH0.92045%0%
31Linus Ullmark OTTOTT0.92047%35%
32Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK0.92046%0%