Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2026-10-19 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS2.44145%100%
2Lukas Dostal ANAANA2.24165%27%
3Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS2.13070%31%
4Ilya Sorokin NYINYI23067%0%
5Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.94164%0%
6Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.64154%0%
7Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.63055%35%
8Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA1.53050%35%
9Joey Daccord SEASEA1.53050%35%
10Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.53156%35%
11Jake Oettinger DALDAL1.53050%50%
12Frederik Andersen CARCAR1.43047%100%
13Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.43046%0%
14Jet Greaves CBJCBJ1.32067%35%
15Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.33147%35%
16Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.23040%100%
17Joel Hofer STLSTL1.23041%0%
18Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.23042%35%
19Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.24129%35%
20Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.23144%35%
21Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.13036%35%
22Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.13036%0%
23John Gibson DETDET13035%0%
24Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA13150%0%
25Arvid Soderblom CHICHI12050%35%
26Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.93029%0%
27Akira Schmid VGKVGK0.93031%100%
28Logan Thompson WSHWSH0.92045%0%
29Eric Comrie WPGWPG0.93032%35%
30Dustin Wolf CGYCGY0.92045%100%
31Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF0.72035%20%
32Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.63020%35%