Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2026-01-26 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS2.44170%31%
2Ilya Sorokin NYINYI24167%0%
3Lukas Dostal ANAANA23065%27%
4Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA1.94150%35%
5Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.94131%100%
6Frederik Andersen CARCAR1.93147%100%
7Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.73056%35%
8Jet Greaves CBJCBJ1.73167%35%
9Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.63054%0%
10Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.63055%35%
11Jake Oettinger DALDAL1.53050%50%
12Joey Daccord SEASEA1.53050%35%
13Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA1.53050%0%
14Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.44136%35%
15Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.43150%35%
16Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.43045%0%
17Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS1.43045%100%
18Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.44146%0%
19Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.33044%35%
20Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.33164%0%
21Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.23042%35%
22Joel Hofer STLSTL1.23041%0%
23Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.23040%100%
24Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.14136%0%
25Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF13035%20%
26John Gibson DETDET13035%0%
27Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.93029%35%
28Eric Comrie WPGWPG0.93032%35%
29Linus Ullmark OTTOTT0.92047%35%
30Dustin Wolf CGYCGY0.92045%100%
31Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.63020%35%
32Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.62029%0%